Title: What Does
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3 What Does Doesnt drive Climate
4The Global Warmers last gasps
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18World Temperatures follow what?
Solar particle magnetic activity - OR
- A special mix of CO2 (nature Man) CH4
N2O O3 volcanoes soot/aerosols some
sunlight .. If the Man-Earth special mix is in
charge then how does the sun decide to send out
particles to match this Earth-based driver?!
The two graphs are lined up so that points of the
upper graph (average up to date shown over double
sunspot cycle of approx 22yr) corresponds to the
date in lower graph, the smoothed CO2/Soot
model The soot model uses global undimmimng
(soot reduction) to explain rises later in the
graph. The solar model can use the same or
effects of the very rapid motion of the North
magnetic pole.
The CO2/soot model has wide uncertainties which
include different assumptions which might fit OK
in one section but not in others (eg so over any
22yr section). The idea there is even rough
closeness to the range needs hidden
inconsistencies.
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25Global Warming Climate Change What is it all
about?
- Climate Change has ALWAYS BEEN.
- There are NO Climate Change Deniers
- WeatherAction forecasts have been falsified (eg
by Paul Simons in The Times) in order to prove
them wrong! - Is there a war on?
-
- Is Current Global Warming Climate Change (if
any) mainly caused by man? -
- Can Science be decided by Opinion Polls?
26- CO2 The Facts!
-
- CO2 is only 0.03 of air
- Other Greenhouse gases are more important
- People play a minor part in CO2 changes.
- Water vapour is at least twice as important as
CO2. Methane, Ozone Nitrous oxide are also
important Greenhouse gases.. - CO2 is being absorbed expelled from the
biosphere/sea all the time. Mans contribution
to this flux is only 4. CO2 is less than ¼ of
the total greenhouse effect.
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35INDEPENDENT EVALUATION OF SWT FORECASTS (1)
From Denis Wheeler (University of Sunderland)
Independent Report produced for consortium of
Insurance Companies - main findings published in
Journal of Atmospheric Solar-Terrestrial
Physics 63 (2001) p 29-34
- Weather Action long range forecasts reveal a
remarkable capacity - to predict periods when major storm, flood and
freezing insurance - claims are likely to occur.
- The forecasting system shows skill in predicting
the severest, and - most expensive, of gale events. All five major
storms for the two - year period were successfully predicted.
- The majority of major insurance claim episodes
(around 55 per - cent) for storm, flood and freezing damage
during the survey - period were predicted by Weather Action.
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