Rapid Prototyping Candidates: A Langley Perspective

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• Rapid Prototyping Candidates A Langley
  Perspective
• Richard Eckman

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NASA Strategic Plan (2006)

• Sub-goal 3A Study Earth from space to advance
  scientific understanding and meet societal needs
• NASAs Applied Sciences Program will continue the
  Agencys efforts in benchmarking the assimilation
  of NASA research results into policy and
  management decision-support tools that are vital
  for the Nations environment, economy, safety,
  and security.

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Next Generation Missions
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Assumptions

• RPC Experiments must align with agency,
  administration (e.g., CCSP/CCTP, US GEO), and
  international (GEOSS) programs goals
  objectives.
• Engage researchers with experience in analyzing
  NASA satellite and model products (many partially
  funded by SMD RA program)
• For next generation missions, must connect with
  instrument science teams for OSSE-generated
  simulated data sets
• Utilize systems engineering, visualization, and
  analysis expertise in a regional or national
  collaboratory setting

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Assumptions (contd.)

• Where appropriate, use current NASA satellite
  products or climatologies to explore suitability
  of next generation products in specific
  application (e.g., TRMM or GPCP for GPM, Aura for
  NPP, JASON for OSTM)
• Identify and, if possible, engage Decision
  Support Tool owners/agencies at an early stage

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Biofuel Crop Production Assessment
Potential Partners
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
RAPID PROTOTYPING VV DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS

• Climate Models GISS Model E
• Earth System Climate Change MAP 05, GEOS,
  GMAO Analysis
• Seasonal Prediction Models NSIPP Analysis
• Aerosol Transport Models RAQMS, GMAO fvCAM
• Atmospheric Analysis Projects ISCCP, GPCP
• Project Columbia (Supercomputing)

• Crop Production Potential Models (e.g., Ecosys)
• RFF Haiku Energy Model
• Assess applicability of spaceborne measurement
  for crop production potential models
• Use simulated next generation mission datasets to
  assess differences in model predictions of
  precipitation and downwelling solar radiation
• Interagency Alignment Climate Change Technology
  Program (CCTP), APPC

Predictions
VALUE BENEFITS

• Global/Regional scale model products
• Regional differences in precipitation, solar
  radiation wrt climatology
• 12 18 month seasonal forecasts
• 10 20 year forecasts

• Optimize production of biofuel-relevant crops
• Assess optimal mix of energy sources

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Cloud systems
• Soil Moisture
• Tropical/Global Precipitation
• Total Aerosol Amount
• Trace gas profiles
• Land Surface Topography

• Atmosphere MODIS, SSE, TRMM, AMSR, CALIPSO,
  CloudSat, GPM, Glory, NPP, LDCM, A-Train
• Land Terrestrial Networks, ARM, SURFRAD

Draft For Discussion Purposes Richard Eckman
4/14/06
Observations
Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor
Next Generation Missions
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NASA Spaceborne Measurements To Assess Efficacy
of Carbon Sequestration
Potential Partners
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
RAPID PROTOTYPING VV DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS

• Climate Model GISS Model E. Hadley Centre
• Earth System Climate Change CASA, GEOS
• Regional Models
• Project Columbia (Supercomputing)

Predictions

• CQUEST model
• MiniCAM model
• Use simulated data from OCO, Glory to assess
  improvements in earth system and regional models
• Interagency Alignment Climate Change Technology
  Program (CCTP), Climate Change Science Program
  (CCSP)

VALUE BENEFITS

• Global/Regional scale model products
• 12 18 month seasonal forecasts
• Long-term forecasts

• Carbon budget models
• Carbon sequestration assessment, monitoring,
  validation
• Carbon credits, compliance
• Policy decisions

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Natural anthropogenic aerosols, black carbon
• Global CO2
• CH4, other GHGs

• Atmosphere Emission databases, ground-based
  measurements, airborne field missions, SSE, AMSR,
  AURA, OCO, Glory
• Land Terrestrial Networks, Field missions

Draft For Discussion Purposes Richard Eckman
4/14/06
Observations
Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor
Next Generation Missions
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Texas Air Quality Study Rapid Synthesis Experiment
Potential Partners
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS RAPID PROTOTYPING VV
Predictions

• Regional Models (e.g., RAQMS)

• Air Quality Forecast Models
• CMAQ model
• Assess value of next generation missions in
  contributing to future coordinated experiments
• Use spaceborne, surface, and airborne
  measurements and model data products for
  verification validation of air quality modeling
  tools used in the Texas state implementation plan

VALUE BENEFITS

• Regional scale model products for transport

• Assess regional scale influences on Houston and
  other TX metro areas air quality

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Ozone
• NO2
• CO
• Aerosols

• Atmosphere OMI, AIRS, TES, MODIS, AURA, CALIPSO,
  NPP, OCO
• Field Mission INTEX-B / Milagro

Draft For Discussion Purposes Richard Eckman
4/14/06
Observations
Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor
Next Generation Missions
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Understanding Ocean Circulation Using NASA
Spaceborne Measurements
Potential Partners
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
RAPID PROTOTYPING VV DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS
Predictions

• Climate Models
• Ocean Models ECCO
• GPCP
• NSIPP

VALUE BENEFITS

• Use TRMM measurements and Global Precipitation
  Climatology Project to simulate GPM measurements
  and assess their utility.
• Use simulated data from Aquarius, GPM and
  existing measurements of SST, tropical precip. to
  estimate next generation mission contributions to
  water cycle modeling, climate change modeling

• Water Cycle Models
• Ocean Circulation
• Coastal Fisheries
• Coastal Runoff
• International Alignment Intergovernmental
  Oceanographic Commission

• Global/Regional scale model products
• Precipitation Models
• Seasonal-long term model products

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Sea Surface Salinity
• Ocean Winds
• Sea Surface Temperature
• Global Precipitation
• Sea Surface Height

• Atmosphere AVHRR, TRMM, QuickSCAT, ICESat,
  Aquarius, GPM, OSTM
• Surface Buoys

Draft For Discussion Purposes Richard Eckman
4/14/06
Observations
Uncertainty Analysis and Scientific Rigor
Next Generation Missions
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Operational NWP Data Assimilation
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
RAPID PROTOTYPING VV

• Aviation Models RUC, WRF RRC, COAMPS
• Earth System GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS GMAO Analysis
• Aerosol Transport Models RAQMS, GMAO fvCAM, CMAQ
• Atmospheric Analysis Projects

Predictions

• Assess applicability of spaceborne measurement
  for operational global, mesoscale, micro-scale
  forecast models and nowcast tools for general,
  aviation severe weather, etc.
• Use simulated next generation mission datasets to
  assess impact weather forecast and nowcast models

• Global/Regional scale model products
• Regional differences in precipitation, solar
  radiation
• 12 18 month seasonal forecasts
• 10 20 year forecasts

DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS / VALUE BENEFITS

• NWS WFSOs, NOAA ADDS, NOAA NSSL Severe Wx
  Warnings
• Assist all users of general and ad hoc weather
  forecasts

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Atmospheric Chemistry
• Total Aerosol Amount
• Trace gas profiles
• Basic State Variables
• Cloud properties

• Atmosphere Weather, Chemistry and Aerosol data
  from GOES, NOAA and MODIS imagers and sounders,
  AURA, CALIPSO/Cloudsat, NPP (CrIS, VIIRS), METOP
  (IASI), GOES-R (ABI) and the list goes on
• Land

Observations
Next Generation Missions
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Aircraft Emissions
EARTH SYSTEM MODELS
RAPID PROTOTYPING VV

• Climate Models GISS Model E
• Earth System Climate Change GMAO Analysis
• Emission inventory
• Aerosol Transport Models RAQMS, GMAO fvCAM
• Air Quality Model

Predictions

• Assess applicability of spaceborne measurements
  for quantifying environmental impacts from
  enroute and terminal areas operations
• Use simulated next generation mission datasets to
  assess
• impact on air quality and climate
• Impact on cirrus cloud cover

• Global/Regional scale model products
• Regional differences in precipitation, solar
  radiation wrt climatology
• Local air quality forecast
• 12 18 month seasonal forecasts
• 10 20 year forecasts

DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS / VALUE BENEFITS

• Air Quality Models (e.g., CMAQ)
• Climate Models
• Assist JPDO planning for Next Generation Air
  Transportation System (NGATS)

EARTH OBSERVATIONS

• Atmospheric Composition
• Total Aerosol Amount
• Basic State Variables
• Cloud properties

• Atmospheric Composition and Climate OMI, TES,
  NPP, GPM, Glory, Data from Geostationary orbit
• Cloud CALIPSO, CloudSat
• Land land-use data will drive regional
  emission inventory

Observations
Next Generation Missions
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Conclusions

• Utilize RA expertise of researchers (NASA
  centers, academia) to brainstorm, design,
  initiate RPC experiments in collaboration with
  research, engineering, visualization, and
  computation expertise of other partners (e.g.,
  SSC, MRC, PNWRC, IAGT, )
• Connect with next generation mission science
  teams for OSSE-produced simulated data sets. Need
  facility responsible for maintaining this
  collaboration.