Title: Hanging Out with Supermodels
1Hanging Out with Supermodels
Models
Computer
Code
Yes, we have our own magazine!
2Supermodels and You
- Built and natural environments are very complex
systems - Huge payoffs to be able to understand how they
will respond to human/natural intentional/unintent
ional perturbations - Emissions controls
- Land-use planning
- Transportation planning
- Current computational systems allow us to
simulate a variety of systems affecting future
air quality - Emissions
- Traffic and other
- Atmospheric dynamics
- Economics
- Climate
- Etc.
Is this a built or natural environment?
Theres a joke here involving laptops, but I am
not going there.
3Supermodels Undressed
- Underneath all of the dressing they are simply
representation of physical, chemical, and
economic processes - Result set of mathematical equations
- Numerical integration routines
- Scientifically most sound method to assess how
our systems will respond
Supermodels undressed air quality model
Computational Planes
5-20
50-100
50-200
Computational grid
Numerics CAxBE
Emissions
Meteorology
200 species x 10000 hor. grids x 20 layers 40
million coupled, stiff non-linear differential
equations
I was warned not to use a state-owned computer to
find the corresponding figure for this slide
4What You Will See Today
- How air quality modeling is going to calm our
hearts - Jim Boylan
- Traffic, traffic everywhere, but where are we
going, how fast can we get there, and what are we
doing to the air? - Randy Guensler
- Supermodels They dont have to be so bright to
get what they want - Anna Nicole Smith and Doug Noonan
- Looking to tomorrow
- Talat Odman
I know, not exactly what you were hoping for,
though I am told Jim Boylan might have something
5Parting Words
All models are wrong, but some are useful
Some go bad
6My FavoriteSupermodels