Nations Changing Demographic Environment

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Nations Changing Demographic Environment
NC SDC Meeting

• Wayne Hatcher
• Regional Director
• Census Bureau
• Charlotte, NC

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Today I will discuss..

• Changes Trends that affect us all

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Population of 13 Colonies in 1790 3.9 Million
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Similar to Population of Maricopa County, AZ
today!
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What are Some Significant Trends that affect
Census Work

• Growth

• Diversity

• Aging Population

• Other

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AboutTen years ago . . There were

• 35,000,000 fewer Americans

• 18,000,000 fewer Latinos in the U.S.

• 20,000,000 fewer persons over 50

• 200,000,000 fewer cell phone subscribers

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Or..

• We Are Bigger!

• We Are More Diverse

• We Are Older

• We Are More Connected

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Growth.
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Banking Moves South

• Bank of America and Wachovia
• in Charlotte.

• Citibank in NYC is the only major
• bank left in the North

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Auto Manufacturing Moves South

• BMW in SC

• Nissan in Alabama

• GM Peterbuilt to Texas

• Saturn to Tennessee

• Also, Honda, Hyundai, Toyota.

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Retirees Moving South
Florida, NC and SC are destinations
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Population Growth 1990 - 2000
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National Population at 300,000,000

• 1967 200,000,000

• 2006 300,000,000

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Estimated Growth in NC 2000 - 2030

• More than 50

• 12,000,000 by 2030

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• First Migration West
• End of 17th Century

• Second Migration North West
• Great Depression

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35th Parallel
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Growth of 50 Million Persons over next 20
YearsBelow the 35th Parallel
(Dr. Jim Taylor)
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Diversity
Defined..All the ways in which we differ.
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Diversity
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Diversity

• Latino/Hispanics

• Regional/Local Growth

• Charlotte/Greensboro/Raleigh-Durham
• Hypergrowth Areas

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NC Hispanic Population Changes 1980-2005
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Three Counties in North Carolina With High
Hispanic Population Gains
Are.
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Number 3 - Guilford County, NC
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Number 2 - Wake County, NC
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Number 1 - Mecklenburg County, NC
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Summary Of High Hispanic Growth Counties NC
1980-2006
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Aging Population
First Wave of 78 Million Baby Boomers Nearing
Retirement
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Baby Boom Generation
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65 and Over Population

• Today 1 out of 8

• 2020 (est.) 1 out of 6

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NC Population 50

• Today 28

• 2020 34

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NC Elderly (65)
1990 2000 21 Increase
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NC Elderly (65)
2000 2030 (est.)
More than Double from 969,000 to 2,142,000
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Other Demographic Trends
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More People Live Alone

• 1950 1 in 10

• Today 1 in 4

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Population Less Connected Socially

• Decline in Memberships at Clubs, Lodges, etc.

• More Solitary Activities

• Fewer Group Activities

• Longer Work Hours

• Longer Commutes

• Increased Use of Internet

• Increased Use of Drive Through
• (restaurants/pharmacies)

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Housing Changes

• Bigger houses on Smaller Lots with fewer
• people in the houses

• More garages and bathrooms

• More two story, fewer one story houses

• More Condos

• Housing built further further from downtown

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Ten Years ago Google and Monster.com did Not
Exist
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Ten years ago fewer than 40 of Americans had
Internet Access . . . Compared to more than 70
today.
Estimated that more than 212,000,000 Americans
were Internet Users in 2007
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We were not at War
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Privacy concerns were not Front Page
Issues

• PII was not in our census vocabulary

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Summary What does all this mean to us?

• Growth may mean more demand for Services.

• Population Growth will be un-even in North
• Carolina.

• People from different parts of the country may
  
• want different products, hours, services.

• Diversity brings requirements for bilingual
  staff

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Summary What does all this mean to us?

• Products in Language

• Rapidly increasing older population may
• have more free time.

• Population is becoming more educated and
• more affluent which is good for Society.

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The World, the U.S., the Carolinasand your
community are changing rapidly.
To Flourish Change with them!