A New Model for Parking Requirements

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A New Model for Parking Requirements
Oil is in the news
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
"We believe oil markets may have entered the
early stages of what we have referred to as a
'super spike' period ... Resilient demand has
caused us to revise up our super-spike range to
50-105 per bbl up from 50-80 per bbl
previously. -- Goldman-Sachs Global Investment
Research
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
"Over the next five years, crude prices will
almost double, averaging close to 77/bbl and
reaching as much as 100/bbl by 2010. ...
Tomorrow's price hikes will follow from the
inevitable collision between surging global crude
demand and accelerating depletion of conventional
crude supply. -- CIBC World Markets
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A New Model for Parking Requirements

• Peak Oil means supply never grows and probably
  begins to decline.
• Demand then exceeds supply.
• Prices rise (but supplies do not).
• Fierce energy competition ensues among key
  users.
• Economic rationing will divert supplies to
  highest price purchasers and highest need areas.
• Lifestyles have to change to accommodate less
  supply.
• -- Matthew Simmons, Simmons Company Intl.

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A New Model for Parking Requirements
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
What does this mean for our built environment?
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
1. Cars will get smaller.
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
2. People will drive less.
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
3. Many people will have to make other
transportation choices.
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A New Model for Parking Requirements

• When transportation is based around cars, some
  people are hurt more by high gas prices
• The Young
• The Poor
• The Elderly
• but everyone is affected.

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A New Model for Parking Requirements
Were so used to planning around cars that it has
become second nature, blinding us to the effects
of car-dependence.
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
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A New Model for Parking Requirements
Off-street parking requirements are a fertility
drug for cars. -- Prof. Donald Shoup
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A New Model for Parking Requirements

• Hamilton Draft Parking Requirements
• Residential 1 space per dwelling unit
• Day Care 1 space per 3 children who may be
  lawfully acommodated
• Elementary School 1.25 spaces per classroom
• Secondary School 3 spaces per classroom plus 1
  space for each 7 seat capacity in an auditorium,
  theatre or stadium
• Office 1 space per 50 square metres of gross
  floor area in excess of 450 square meters

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A New Model for Parking Requirements