FNCE 3020 Financial Markets and Institutions

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FNCE 3020 Financial Markets and Institutions

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Title: FNCE 3020 Financial Markets and Institutions


1
FNCE 3020Financial Markets and Institutions
  • Lecture 8 Financial Markets (With A Global View)
  • (1) The Money Markets
  • (2) The Bond Markets
  • (3) The Equity Markets

2
Where are we?
3
The Money Markets
  • The money market is the financial market for
    short-term borrowing and short term lending (1
    year or less).
  • Money market instruments can be as short as
    overnight.
  • Federal Funds and Repurchase market
  • Includes short-term debt securities, such as
    banker's acceptances, commercial paper,
    repurchase agreements, negotiable certificates of
    deposit, and Treasury Bills.
  • Money market securities have historically been
    viewed as very safe investments.
  • Many, but not all, have well developed secondary
    markets, and those that do are regarded as being
    highly liquid financial assets.

4
The Money Markets
  • Many money market instruments sell at a discount
    of par value.
  • Similar to zero coupon bonds (i.e., there is no
    coupon rate).
  • Examples would include T-Bills and Bankers
    acceptances.
  • Money market securities generally have
  • (1) low default risks,
  • (2) low price (i.e., interest rate) risk, and
  • (3) high reinvestment risk.
  • When trading in secondary markets, these assets
    generally have small bid and ask spreads (i.e.,
    the buying and selling spread).
  • These spreads are relatively small due to the
    large size and competitive nature of the market.

5
Purpose of Money Markets
  • Satisfying Needs of Investors
  • Provides investors, non-financial business firms
    and financial institutions a place for investing
    surplus (i.e., idle) funds over short periods of
    time.
  • For example, a non-financial business firm with
    net positive working capital (surplus cash).
  • Again, these investments can be as short as
    overnight (e.g., Fed funds market or the
    repurchase agreement market) or out to a year.
  • Firms can tailor their cash flow needs to the
    maturities of the money market instruments they
    are acquiring.
  • In addition, money market instruments can offer a
    high degree of liquidity (as measured by relative
    price stability and good secondary markets).

6
Purpose of Money Markets
  • Satisfying Needs Borrowers
  • Mainly corporates and governments.
  • Provides borrowers a source of short-term funds.
  • For example, financing the net deficit working
    capital needs of businesses.
  • Commercial paper market
  • Money markets provide a way to manage cash-timing
    problems.
  • Important to borrowers because the timing of
    their short term cash inflows and outflows may
    not be well synchronized.
  • Money markets also become important during safe
    haven situations.

7
Participants in U.S. Money Markets
  • U.S. Treasury Department
  • Financing its internal (domestic) deficit (when
    government expenditures exceed tax receipts), or
  • Refinancing operations as national debt
    maturities.
  • Foreign Governments (and Central Banks)
  • Recycling their U.S. dollar (external) trade
    surpluses back into U.S. financial markets.
  • Involves many Asian countries today (Japan,
    China, South Korea).
  • Federal Reserve System (U.S. Central Bank)
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York conducts Open
    Market Operations in the money markets (buying
    and selling U.S. T-Bills) to meet the fed funds
    target.

8
Participants in U.S. Money Markets
  • Commercial Banks and Other Depository
    Institutions (e.g., savings banks)
  • Important use and source of funds to these
    institutions
  • They hold secondary reserves in the form of
    liquid U.S. Treasury bills (these are part of
    their investment portfolio) and earn interest on
    these.
  • Also as a source of funds (cash) for meeting
    unexpected deposit withdrawals and increases in
    loan demands.
  • Non Depository Financial Firms (e.g., finance
    companies, leasing companies)
  • Securing funds in the money markets to lend to
    potential customers
  • Non-financial Businesses Firms
  • Financing short term working capital needs (cash
    shortfalls)
  • Important for financing foreign trade (financing
    export sales is done through bankers acceptances)
  • Investing their short term surplus funds (idle
    funds)

9
Participants in U.S. Money Markets
  • Contractual Financial Firms (e.g., property and
    casualty insurance companies)
  • Holding liquid assets to meet unpredictable and
    unanticipated claims from policy holders.
  • Investment firms (brokerage firms, asset
    managers mutual funds pension funds)
  • Offering money market portfolios to investors.
  • Encourages investors with limited funds (and
    limited investor knowledge) to participate in the
    money markets.
  • Individuals (Households)
  • In the U.S., investors enter this market
    primarily through money market mutual funds.
  • Although individuals can invest directly (e.g.,
    commercial paper).

10
Comparing Major Money Market Securities
11
Money Market Rates Move Together
12
Marketable U.S. Government Debt June 2008
  • Security Amount Percent of Total
  • T-Bills 1,056 billion 23
  • T-Notes 2,543billion 54
  • T-Bonds 581 billion 12
  • Other (TIPs) 497 billion
  • Total 4,677 billion
  • Note 10 of the marketable debt is held by the
    Federal Reserve. About half the marketable debt
    is held by foreigners (private and public
    holdings), with Japan the largest at 680 billion
    and China second at around 400 billion (end of
    2007 data).
  • Source http//www.fms.treas.gov/bulletin/index.ht
    ml (federal debt link Table FD-2).

13
Repurchase Agreement (Repos)
  • In a repurchase agreement, or repo, an investor
    provides cash to a government securities dealer
    or other financial institution in exchange for a
    Treasury bill, note or bond.
  • Essentially a short-term collateralized loan to
    the government securities dealer.
  • Party selling securities receives immediate cash.
  • Party buying securities will receive interest.
  • The repo is reversed the next day, with the
    investor receiving interest on the overnight
    loan.
  • Under these agreements, one can invest or borrow
    money for periods ranging from 1 to 365 days.
  • Major participants are primary government
    securities dealers.

14
Use of Repurchase Agreements
  • Financial institutions enter into repo
    transactions in order to cover cash short
    positions or to earn a return on idle cash.
  • Borrow or lend funds for short periods of time.
  • Most typical time frame 3 to 14 days.
  • Central banks use repurchase agreements for
    temporary or defensive open market
    operations.
  • Central bank buying securities from government
    securities dealers to temporarily increase funds
    in market (these are called repurchase
    agreements) seller agrees to buy back.
  • Central bank selling securities to government
    securities dealers to temporarily remove funds
    from market (these are called reverse repurchase
    agreements, or matched sale-purchase
    transactions) buyer agrees to sell back.
  • The United States has the largest repo market in
    the world, followed by France.

15
Commercial Paper
  • Short term, promissory notes, issued by financial
    and non-financial corporations as a way of
    raising money
  • U.S. market About 1.7 trillion outstanding
    commercial paper offered by approximately 2,000
    companies.
  • Non-financial companies (25) and financial (75)
  • U.S. Commercial paper maturities are less than
    270 days.
  • This does not require SEC registration for a
    public placement.
  • In practice, most commercial paper has a maturity
    of between 5 and 45 days, with 30-35 days being
    the average maturity. Many issuers continuously
    roll over their commercial paper, financing a
    more-or-less constant amount of their assets
    using commercial paper.
  • Small secondary market, thus generally held until
    maturity.
  • Thus, not nearly as liquid as T-Bills.
  • Commercial paper is viewed as an alternative to
    short term borrowing from commercial banks (prime
    loans).
  • Spread between the two usually produces a lower
    nominal return (or cost) on commercial paper than
    on prime loans.
  • Difference is about 200 to 300 basis points (See
    next slide)

16
Prime Rate and Commercial Paper Rate
Notice that difference between the two ranges
from 200 to 300 basis points.
17
Explaining the Cost Difference Commercial
Paper Backup Requirements
  • What accounts for the interest rate differential?
  • In 1970, Penn Central Transportation Co.
    defaulted on 82 million worth of commercial
    paper.
  • Since that time, investors have required that
    almost all commercial paper be rated by a rating
    service.
  • Rating services require evidence of short-term
    liquidity (a backup) and will not issue a
    commercial paper rating without it.
  • Thus, commercial paper issuers need to have
    access to funds that can be used to pay off all
    or some of their maturing commercial paper.
  • These back up funds are either in the form of
    their own cash reserves or bank lines of credit,
    with most commercial paper issuers maintain
    backup liquidity through bank lines of credit.
  • Banks charge a fee for these lines of credit (a
    percentage of the credit line) whether or not the
    line is activated.

18
Investors in Commercial Paper
  • Major investors in the commercial paper market
    are institutions, and include
  • Money market mutual funds and commercial bank
    trust (private banking) departments
  • Money market mutual funds hold about 33 of
    outstanding commercial paper, while bank trust
    departments hold up to 25 percent.
  • Other important investors include non-financial
    corporations, life insurance companies, and
    pension funds.
  • Individuals hold little commercial paper
    directly.
  • However, individuals are large indirect investors
    in commercial paper through their investment in
    money market mutual funds.

19
Money Market Mutual Funds
  • Investment funds that invest only in short-term
    securities.
  • Money market fund investments can include U.S.
    Treasury securities, federal agency notes,
    certificates of deposit, repurchase agreements,
    bankers acceptances, and commercial paper (see
    next slide).
  • Open end funds (also called mutual funds)
    unlimited capitalization (number of shares)
    offered to the public.
  • Purchase and sale of mutual fund share is through
    the investment funds themselves (e.g., Vanguard
    and T. Rowe Price money market funds)
  • Closed end funds fixed (limited) number of
    shares offered to the public
  • Purchase and sale of shares is done through
    financial markets such as OTC or organized
    exchanges like the NYSE (e.g., John Hancock,
    Money Market Fund JHMXX on NASDAQ)
  • Combined these funds totaled 3.1 trillion at the
    end of 2007 (up from 2.4 trillion at the end of
    2006).
  • Market consists of retail market (sold to
    individuals) and Institutional market (sold to
    pension funds and businesses)

20
Assets of Money Market Mutual Funds
  • Corporate notes Debt instruments with
    maturities of 9 month out to a few years.

21
Bankers Acceptances Background
  • Assume an exporter and importer agree on the
    terms of a particular sale
  • What are the issues that remain for both?
  • The exporter usually wants to maintain legal
    title to the goods until they are paid for (or at
    least until payment is assured),
  • While the importer typically is reluctant to pay
    for the goods before they are shipped
    (additionally, the importer wants to make sure
    that the goods ordered are indeed the goods
    shipped).
  • Commercial banks have developed procedures to
    bridge this gap between the concerns of exporters
    and importers.
  • In the process, banks provide external financing
    needed by the trading partners (specifically the
    importing firm).
  • Critical to this process is a letter of credit.

22
Letter of Credit
  • Defined A Letter of Credit is a document which
    acknowledges a banks promise to pay a
    beneficiary (exporter) for merchandise sold to a
    buyer (importer) if specified conditions are met.
  • Thus, a letter of credit substitutes the bank's
    credit for the credit of another party (i.e., the
    buyer of the goods).
  • Letters of credit are used to ensure that payment
    will be received and that the goods ordered will
    be shipped.
  • The use of letters of credit has become a very
    important aspect of international trade due to
    the nature of international dealings including
    factors such as distance, differing laws in each
    country and the potential difficulty in knowing
    each party personally,
  • The bank acts on behalf of the buyer (i.e.,
    importer) by ensuring that the supplier (i.e.,
    exporter) will not be paid until the bank
    receives a confirmation that the goods which have
    been ordered have been shipped.
  • A letter of credit is a tool to reduce payment
    risk.

23
Letter of Credit and Bankers Acceptances
  • Letter of credit arrangement will be requested by
    the exporter (seller) and will required the
    importer (buyer) to initiate a formal letter of
    credit with his/her bank.
  • The letter of credit will detail the conditions
    surrounding the transaction between an exporter
    and importer.
  • What is being purchased, how shipped, when
    shipped, etc.
  • When these conditions have been met, the bank
    will issue a draft (i.e., promise to pay or
    promissory note) which is presented to the
    exporter.
  • Draft can either be a sight draft (on demand) or
    a time draft.
  • When this draft is guaranteed by the importers
    bank it becomes a bankers acceptance.
  • Through the letter of credit, the exporter has
    the promise of a bank to pay, rather than a
    promise of the importer.
  • The bankers acceptance can be sold by the
    exporter before its maturity date in secondary
    markets.
  • It is sold at a discount at the existing bankers
    acceptance rate.
  • Bankers acceptances are a popular investment for
    money market funds.

24
14 Steps in Trade Transaction
25
Eurodollars (aka Offshore Market)
  • U.S. Dollar denominated time-deposits deposited
    in banks located outside of the United States.
  • These banks can be either foreign banks or U.S.
    banks.
  • What is important is location banks must be
    offshore from the U.S.
  • Largest euro-dollar market by location is in
    London, England.
  • Today, other major currencies can also be
    deposited in these offshore markets.
  • Yen, pounds, Swiss francs, European euros.
  • These deposits are also offshore from their
    legal tender countries and are designed by the
    prefix Euro (e.g., euro-yen, euro-pounds, etc.)
  • Large global banks attract these deposits by
    offering interest rates on offshore time
    deposits (with maturities ranging from overnight
    deposits out to one year.
  • These banks then lend these offshore deposits to
    global business who are in need of foreign
    currencies (e.g., needing dollars to pay for
    trade related activities).

26
Brief History of the Eurocurrency Market
  • Market originated in 1956, at the time of the
    Hungarian revolt when communist governments
    (mainly the Soviet Union) concerned about the
    potential freeze of their dollar accounts in U.S.
    banks and needing dollars for international trade
    and, shifted their deposits to London.
  • The first bank in the London which accepting
    these U.S. dollar deposits was the Soviet-owned
    Banque Commerciale pour I'Europe du Nord.
  • This bank was known by its cable code, EURBANK.
  • From this cable code the term euromarket
    originated.
  • By the 1960s, the practice of euro-deposits was
    extended to regular business customers.
  • As the economies of Europe and Asia grew, the
    market was extended to additional currencies
    other than the US dollar.

27
Euro-currency Deposit Rates
  • LIBOR is the London market that establishes the
    interest rate for offshore deposits of various
    currencies.
  • These rates are set by major banks each morning
    (London time)
  • Rates for U.S. dollar deposits can be found at
  • http//www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/update/

28
TED Spread (A Measure of Risk)TED 3-month
LIBOR 3-month T-Bill
  • Peak in October 2008?
  • Data and Daily Quote
  • From 1990 to July 2007 the average spread was 41
    basis points.
  • For daily quotes link to
  • http//www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker.TEDSP
    3AIND

29
Corporate Spreads Another Measure of Risk
Aversion
  • Baa Aaa and Baa- Govt
  • Basis Point Spreads
  • Both a measure of confidence and risk aversion.
  • Baa-Aaa average spread (1977 to Present)
    107basis points.
  • Baa-10 yr Govt average spread (1977 to Present
    208 basis points.

30
What is this?
31
Follow the Stock Market
  • 2001
  • Halfway Rule
  • Forecasters have noted that historically
    investors start discounting a recovering about
    half way through an average recession.
  • Historically, stock prices move up (on average)
    about 5 to 6 months before a recession ends.
  • Has the market bottomed out?
  • 2 weeks ago (Nov 24 29) stocks posted their
    biggest weekly gain since 1974

32
Stock Market Signals
  • 1970s
  • 1980s Early 1990s

33
Follow the Stock Market
  • http//finance.yahoo.com/marketupdate?u

34
Capital Markets
  • Capital Markets Defined Financial markets
    involving financial assets with maturities of
    greater than one year.
  • Best known capital market securities include
  • Stocks and bonds
  • Mortgages
  • Primary issuers of these securities
  • Federal government and local governments
  • Corporations (U.S. and foreign)
  • Individuals
  • Largest purchasers of capital market securities.
  • Individuals and Financial Instructions.
  • Pension funds, mutual funds.

35
Size and Composition of Capital Markets, 2006
  • Stock Bond
    Total Capital
  • Markets Markets
    Markets
  • World 50.8 (43) 68.7 (57) 119.5
    (100)
  • U.S. 19.6 (39) 26.7 (39) 46.3 (39)
  • EU 13.1 (26) 23.2 (34) 36.6 (31)
  • Euro 8.4 (17) 18.8 (27)
    27.2 (23)
  • U.K. 3.8 ( 8) 3.3 ( 5)
    7.1 ( 6)
  • Japan 4.8 ( 9) 8.7 (13) 13.5
    (11)
  • Note Trillions of U.S. dollars, and () of
    total.
  • Source IMF, Global Financial Stability Report,
    2007 http//www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2007
    /02/index.htm

36
Global Capital Markets Summary
  • By year end 2006, the estimated value of all the
    worlds capital markets was 115.5 trillion (this
    was an increase of 24 over 2005).
  • In 2006, stock markets grew by 37 and the bond
    markets by 16
  • Bond markets are the larger of the two capital
    markets (57 versus 43 in 2006 but down from 61
    and 39 in 2005).
  • The United States capital market is the largest
    at 39 of the total (but down from 42 in 2005),
    while the EU is second at 31 (up from 29 in
    2005).
  • Japans share of the worlds capital markets fell
    from 17 in 2005 to 11 in 2006.

37
Size and Composition of Developed and Emerging
Capital Markets, 2006
  • Stock Bond
    Total Capital
  • Markets Markets
    Markets
  • World 50.8 (43) 68.7 (57) 119.5 (100)
  • Developed 39.2 (77) 62.1 (90) 101.3
    (85)
  • Emerging 11.6 (23) 6.1 (10) 17.7
    (15)
  • Asia 6.9 (13) 3.5 (
    5) 10.4 ( 9)
  • Latin Amer 1.5 1.6
    3.1
  • Europe 1.9 .7
    2.6
  • Africa .9
    .1 1.0
  • Note Trillions of U.S. dollars, and () of
    total.
  • Source IMF, Global Financial Stability Report,
    2007 http//www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2007
    /02/index.htm

38
Developed and Emerging Capital Markets Summary
  • Developed country capital markets dominate the
    worlds total capital markets.
  • But their share is declining (89 in 2005 to 85
    in 2007)
  • The increase in emerging capital markets is
    occurring in Asia, and especially in their equity
    markets.
  • Emerging market equity markets increased from 18
    of total world equity markets in 2005 to 23 in
    2006.
  • By 2006, emerging Asia equity markets represented
    13 of the worlds total equity markets.

39
The Bond Markets Governments and Corporates, 2006
  • Bonds Total
  • Government Corporate Bonds
  • World 25.6 (37) 43.1 (63) 68.7(100)
  • U.S. 6.2 (24) 20.5 (48) 26.7 (39)
  • EU 7.7 (30) 15.5 (36) 23.2 (34)
  • Euro 6.6 (26) 12.2 (28)
    18.8 (27)
  • UK .8 ( 3) 2.5 ( 6)
    3.3 ( 5)
  • Japan 6.7 (26) 2.0 ( 5) 8.7
    (13)
  • Emerging 3.8 (15) 2.2 ( 5)
    6.0 ( 9)
  • Note Trillions of U.S. dollars, and () of
    total.
  • Source IMF, Global Financial Stability Report,
    2007

40
Government and Corporate Bond Markets Summary
  • From 2001 to 2006, the worlds bond markets grew
    from 37 trillion to 69 trillion.
  • This represents an increase of about 85
  • The greatest increase in this total was
    represented by the corporate (i.e., private) bond
    market.
  • The corporate (private) bond markets share of
    the total bond market increased from 50 in 2001
    to 63 by 2006.
  • With the exception of Japan, in the United States
    and in the EU, the corporate bond markets are now
    larger than the government bond markets.
  • In the emerging countries as a group, the
    government bond markets dominate the corporate
    bond markets.

41
Rise of the Eurozone Bond Market
  • Historically, the U.S. bond market has dominated
    the global bond market.
  • For both U.S. companies and non-residents.
  • But, since the introduction of the euro in 1999
    and the resulting development of a true
    pan-European debt market, the Eurozone bond
    market has increased in importance.
  • In 2001, the U.S represented 47 of the worlds
    bond market and the Eurozone countries
    represented 21.
  • But by 2006, the U.S. share had fallen to 39 and
    the Eurozone share had grown to 27.

42
Bond Market Growth in Europe
43
The Worlds Bond Markets
  • The worlds bond market can be divided into two
    broad groups (1) the domestic bond market and
    (2) the international bond market.
  • (1) The domestic bond market is comprised of all
    securities issued in each country by domestic
    government entities and corporates.
  • In this case, issuers are domiciled (i.e.,
    headquartered) in the country where those bonds
    are traded.
  • (2) The international bond market is comprised of
    non-residents borrowing in another countrys bond
    markets
  • The international bond market consists of two
    groups Foreign Bonds of and Eurobonds.
  • The domestic market dominates the global bond
    market, accounting for about 80 of the total.

44
Foreign Bonds
  • Foreign Bonds Bonds issued by a non-resident and
    denominated in the currency of the country in
    which it is being placed.
  • Example Ford Motor Corporation issuing a yen
    denominated bond in Japan
  • Foreign bonds are subject to the regulations of
    the country in which the bond is being offered.
  • The SEC regulates foreign bond offerings in the
    U.S.
  • Historically, the most important foreign bond
    markets have been in Zurich, New York, and Tokyo.
  • Foreign bonds are often issued because of
    interest rate considerations (see next slide) and
    then swapped out for another currency.

45
Names for Foreign Bonds
  • The financial markets have come up with unusual
    nicknames for foreign bonds. These include
  • Yankee bonds
  • Issued in the United States,
  • Matador bonds
  • Issued in Spain,
  • Rembrandt bonds
  • Issued in the Netherlands,
  • Samurai bonds
  • Issued in Japan,
  • Bulldog bonds
  • Issued in the United Kingdom,
  • Kiwi bonds
  • Issued in New Zealand.
  • Kangaroo bonds
  • Issued in Australia.
  • Maple bonds
  • Issued in Canada.

46
Eurobonds
  • Eurobonds Bonds issued and sold simultaneously
    in more than one market, and all in a
    jurisdiction outside the country of the currency
    of denomination.
  • Coca Cola issuing a U.S. dollar denominated bond
    in Europe and Asia.
  • The advantage of the Eurobond market is that
    issuers can borrow from individual and
    institutional investors all around the world.
  • Thus the advantage of a large global capital
    market.
  • Issuers include national governments, AAA
    corporations and global banks.
  • Issue size can range from 50 million to 1
    billion and over.
  • U.S. dollar is the dominant currency of
    denomination for Eurobonds.

47
The Main Features of a Eurobond
  • Denominated in an offshore currency.
  • Therefore, investors in eurobonds take both
    credit and foreign exchange risks.
  • Sold to a wide range of individual and
    institutional investors through a multinational
    syndicate of underwriting firms and banks.
  • Generally bearer instruments to ensure the
    anonymity of the ultimate investors.
  • Some publically offered eurobonds trade on stock
    exchanges, normally in London or Luxembourg.
    Others are placed directly with institutional
    investors without a listing (private placement).

48
Eurobond Market Surpasses U.S. Bond Market in 2005
49
Common Stock
  • Defining Common Stock These are securities
    representing
  • equity ownership in a corporation,
  • providing voting rights, and
  • entitling the holder to a share of the company's
    success through dividends and/or capital
    appreciation.
  • One of three major ways in which business obtain
    funds
  • (1) Equity Offerings (IPOs)
  • (2) Issuing Bonds
  • (3) Borrowing Short term in Money Markets

50
World Stock Market Capitalization, 1980 -2007,
Trillions of U.S. Dollars
51
Global Stock Markets Trillions of U.S. Dollars
and of Total, 2006 (2002)
  • World 50.8 100.0
  • Developed Markets 39.1 77.0 (91.8)
  • U.S. 19.6 38.6 (50.1)
  • Japan 4.8 9.5 ( 9.4)
  • UK 3.8 7.5 ( 8.2)
  • EU 13.1 25.8 (25.0)
  • Euro area 8.4 16.5 (15.7)
  • Germany 1.6 3.2
  • Emerging Markets 11.7
    23.0 ( 8.2)
  • Emerging Asia 6.9 13.5 ( 5.7)
  • Emerging Latin America 1.5
    3.0
  • Emerging Europe 1.8
    3.5
  • Note Dollar amount of global equity markets in
    2002 22.1 Trillion

52
Global Stock Markets Summary
  • From 2002 to 2006, the combined stock markets of
    the world has grown 130.
  • Developed markets have grown 93
  • Emerging markets have grown 550
  • U.S. market has grown 77
  • From 2002 to 2006
  • Developed markets share has declined from 92 to
    77
  • Emerging markets share has increased from 8 to
    23
  • U.S. share has declined from 50 to 39

53
Country Preferences for Raising Capital, Debt to
Equity Ratios Average 1980-91
54
Trends in Debt to Equity Ratios, 1977 - 1992
55
Recent Trend in U.S. , 1996 - 2006
56
What Influences a Firms Financing Preferences?
  • Equity Risk Cultures (Investors and Owners)
  • U.S and U.K. well developed and acceptance of
    risk.
  • Europe and Asia not as well developed less
    tolerance for equity risk taking.
  • Chinese versus Americans.
  • Tax Treatment of Sources of Funds
  • Level of Development of Financial Markets
  • Especially equity markets How large, how liquid,
    how open?
  • Level of Development of Financial Institutions
  • Commercial banks, investment banks, brokerage
    firms

57
The Value of Financial Claims on Firms, 2003 as a
of GDP (A Measure of Equity Risk Culture
58
Comparison of Household Financial Asset
Allocation (Risk Cultures)
59
Global Equity Market Recent Trends
  • (1) Equity markets (stock exchanges) going public
  • Historically stock markets were private
    organizations.
  • However, in February of 2001 Germanys stock
    exchange, the Deutsche Börse went public
  • In July 2001, the London Stock Exchange and
    Euronext went public
  • In 2006, the NYSE followed.
  • (2) Consolidations (mergers) between stock
    exchanges.
  • Facilitated by publically traded exchanges.
  • NYSE and Paris based Euronext merged on April 4,
    2007 (formed NYSE Euronext, NYX).
  • Visit their web site at http//www.nyse.com/
  • Why are exchanges merging to provides liquidity
    and global outreach benefits to investors,
    capital raising benefits to corporations and cost
    reductions to the exchanges themselves

60
Global Equity Market Recent Trends
  • (3) Increasing number of stock markets
  • John Thain, 2006, CEO, the NYSE Most countries
    have an army, a flag, an airline, and a stock
    exchange.
  • Approximately 300 stock exchanges around the
    world.
  • Today, many emerging countries have their own
    stock markets.
  • Part of their privatization process.
  • (4) Declining share of U.S. equity market in the
    overall global equity picture.
  • Down to 38.6 in 2006 compared to 50 in 2002.

61
Global Equity Market Recent Trends
  • (5) Companies listing their common stock on
    foreign stock markets as well as their home stock
    market
  • Done through a process called cross listing.
  • Viewed as a means of raising capital globally
    (IPOs) and facilitating global trading in company
    shares (taking on an international investor
    base).
  • (6) Foreign companies engaging in IPOs in foreign
    equity markets, with the U.S. historically being
    dominant, but
  • Perhaps recently slipping in importance because
    of the June 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley Act and its
    requirements (see next slide).
  • London is becoming a major foreign company IPO
    market.

62
Percent of Foreign IPOs in the U.S.
63
Is the U.S. Equity Markets Competitive Position
Declining?
  • Those that say yes, point to data which show a
    decline in U.S. equity market involvement in
  • IPO distribution
  • In 1999, the American markets accounted for 57
    of world wide IPOs. In 2006, Americas share had
    fallen to 18 and to about 7 in 2007.
  • Foreign stocks listed in the U.S.
  • U.S. equity markets have seen a decline in the
    number of foreign companies listings.
  • Since peaking in 2002, NYSE foreign listings have
    fallen 4 to 451 and NSADAQ has fallen 34 to 321
    (since 2000).
  • In 2007, 68 foreign companies delisted from the
    NYSE (including British Airways, Fiat, and
    Bayer), representing about 15 of all foreign
    listings.
  • The explanation for this decline is that
    increasing regulation is putting U.S. markets at
    a competitive disadvantage.
  • It is estimated that Sarbanes Oxley added 2 to
    3 million in average annual compliance costs for
    companies.

64
Is Americas Competitive Position Really
Declining?
  • Some argue no and suggest that the data simply
    suggests that foreign markets have become larger,
    thus encouraging companies to seek IPOs in their
    home markets.
  • In addition, trading across borders has become
    easier, thus reducing the usefulness of a
    non-home country listing.
  • In essence, the changing U.S. position simply
    represents the changing nature of global
    financial markets.
  • For a full development of this side of the
    argument, please see web site reading A Global
    Twist.
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