Texas Industries - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Texas Industries

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Supply cement, consumer and aggregate product building materials ... Highway & public works in good shape. Increasing cement prices ($12 per ton) Valuation Inputs ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Texas Industries


1
Texas Industries
  • Sector Industrial Goods
  • Industry Cement

2
Business
  • Supply cement, consumer and aggregate product
    building materials
  • Used in all areas of construction
  • Primary Markets
  • California and Texas
  • receive highest federal funding
  • growing population increases construction
  • 1 producer in TX and 2 in CA

3
Current Events
  • Spin Off of Steel operations in 2005
  • No longer profitable
  • Skewed financial statements
  • Increase production of materials
  • Cement by 50
  • Accounted for 48 of revenues in 2006
  • Gross Profit Margin of Cement 26.9

4
Industry Economy
  • Cons
  • Bad weather delaying housing starts
  • Decline in residential construction
  • Skittish home buyers and backlog of unsold homes
  • Pros
  • Texas not affected by decline in residential
    construction
  • Highway public works in good shape
  • Increasing cement prices (12 per ton)

5
Valuation Inputs
  • Beta 1.63
  • Monthly regression
  • Premium 4
  • Risk Free Rate 4.98
  • Market Return 9
  • Conservative 18 for 5 years

6
Valuation
  • 2 stage dividend discount model
  • 18 50.28
  • 25 62.52
  • 30 72.65
  • 35 84.06
  • Gordon Growth
  • 49.68 Overvalued
  • I dont believe these numbers show true value

7
Ratios
  • Company Industry
  • Quick 1.82 0.90
  • Current 2.58 1.40
  • P/E 17.50 16.07
  • ROE 11.70
  • ROA 10.36
  • Profit Mar 11.15
  • Op. Marg 16.12

8
Analysts Recommendations
  • Current 1 Month 1 Year
  • BUY 3 3 0
  • Outperf. 1 1 1
  • Hold 1 1 1
  • Sell 0 0 0
  • Mean 1.6 1.6 2.5

9
Stock Performance
VMC Vulcan Materials CX Cemex
10
Technical Analysis
11
Technical Analysis
12
Recommendation
  • Buy 10 times (currently own 50 shares)
  • Stop Loss Price 60.48
  • Average of 300 SMA and purchase price
  • Risk to Capital
  • 0.49 lt 1
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