Air Transport Association of Canada ATAC

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Air Transport Association of Canada
(ATAC) Annual General Meeting 2004 Does Canada
Need A New Air Transport Policy?
November 15, 2004
www.ekos.com
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OUTLINE

• Environmental Scan
• Government priorities and satisfaction with
  government
• Trust in our governmental institutions
• Economic security
• Air safety
• Appetite for Change in Air Transport
  Policy/Implications of a Minority Government

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Government Priorities (I)
Over the next five years what priority should
the federal governmentplace on
Health care
Education
Child Poverty
Managing the economy
Post-secondary education
Environment
Crime and justice
Food safety
Skills development
Unemployment
Base All Canadians, overall n3000
saying high priority (5, 6, 7)
4
Government Priorities (II)
Over the next five years what priority should
the federal governmentplace on
Farm and agriculture
Preventing acts of terrorism
Debt
Dealing with inequality
Level of taxation
TRANSPORTATION SAFETY
Aboriginal issues
Developing cultural heritage
Immigration
Base All Canadians, overall n3000
saying high priority (5, 6, 7)
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Longer-Term Tracking of Key Priorities
Thinking not just of today but over the next
five years, what priority should the federal
government place on each of the following areas?
indicating high priority (5, 6, 7 on a 7-point
scale)
Note debt and deficit replaced by debt and
public finances in January 1998
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Satisfaction with Performance (I)
In each of the following areas, how would you
rate the current performance of the federal
government?
Food safety
TRANSPORTATION SAFETY
Development of cultural heritage
Managing the economy
Education
Debt
Unemployment
Post-secondary education
Crime and justice
Health care
Base All Canadians, n3000
Base All Canadians
saying good performance (5, 6, 7)
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Satisfaction with Performance (II)
In each of the following areas, how would you
rate the current performance of the federal
government?
Environment
Dealing with inequality
Skills development
Farm and agriculture issues
Immigration
Aboriginal issues
Child poverty
Level of taxation
Base All Canadians
saying good performance (5, 6, 7)
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Performance of Federal Government (Overall)
How would you rate the overall performance of
the federal government?
36
27
Base All Canadians
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Satisfaction with Government Direction
All things considered, would you say the
Government of Canada ismoving in the right
direction or the wrong direction?
55
36
9
Base All Canadians
10
Tracking Political Cynicism in Canada
agreeing
60
52
Canadian Election Studies except 1988 Political
Support in Canada Survey,1990 Royal Commission
on Electoral Reform 2000 Rethinking Citizen
Engagement
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Greatest Influence on Public Policy (paired
choice)
Which of the following groups HAVE/SHOULD HAVE
the most influence in defining public policies in
Canada?
Influence gap
24
Senior business leaders
36
Media
-2
Premiers/PMO
10
Political advisors
15
Lobbyists/special interest groups
-15
Parliamentarians
-4
Senior public servants
-7
Pollsters
-58
Average citizens
Presented in series of random paired choices.
Per cent indicates average number of times
option is selected over all others.
Base All Canadians
12
Economic Insecurity
I feel I have lost all control of my economic
future
August 2004
agree (5, 6, 7 on a 7-point scale)
Aug-04
Base All Canadians
13
Fear of Job Loss
I think theres a good chance I could lose my
job in the next couple of years Sub-group
employed Canadians
August 2004
agree (5, 6, 7 on a 7-point scale)
Aug-04
Base Employed Canadians
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Safety of Transportation Modes
Canada's transportation system includes air,
rail, road, and marine travel How would you rate
the overall safety of each of the following modes
of transportation?
Rail
Air
Marine
Road
n1510 ½ sample
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Better or Worse Safety
Compared to three years ago, do you think that
the safety of each of the following modes of
travel in Canada is better, worse, or the same?
Rail
Air
Marine
Road
n1510 ½ sample
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Appetite for Change in Air Transport Policy (I)

• Canadas Micro Economic Agenda
• Canada-U.S. relations
• Canadas competitiveness
• Smart regulation initiative

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Appetite for Change in Air Transport Policy (II)

• Parliamentary
• Minority government with empowered backbench MPs
• Political
• Minister of Transport is primarily the Minister
  of Quebec. His preoccupation is holding the BQ in
  check.
• Minister Emerson is very keen on changing the
  business climate in Canada deregulation,
  efficiency, competitiveness
• Public Service
• Fatigue
• Expenditure review

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For more information David Zussman, Executive
Vice-President and Chief Operating
Officer dzussman_at_ekos.com t 613 235 7215