Designing a Detachment Regime

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Designing a Detachment Regime
The Separation Operation as Part of a
Comprehensive Strategic Process
Eylon Javetz - ECF
2
Unilateral Separation The line might create a
new political and violent struggle
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Separation without Agreements - Some
Operational Difficulties
1. The populations are intertwined geographically
- it is hard to define a clear-cut line of
separation 2. The topography will not enable full
physical separation (it is almost impossible to
stop individual terrorists and mortar shells) 3.
The cost of establishing and maintaining the
separation is very high, while its efficiency is
questionable 4. Unilateral withdrawal will weaken
Israeli deterrence 5. Physical separation might
sharpen the struggle both politically-mentally
and practically in the border area
4
The Systemic Viewpoint An Asymmetric
Conflict
I
Gaps in Attitudes Political, in Interests,
Cultural, linguistic, in Religious terms
P
Tensions
Gaps in Capabilities Institutional, in
resources, in experience, in stage
of development
Conflict
Tensions
Separation does NOT narrow the Gaps and Tensions,
but even increases them
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In view of the demographic trends, artificial
Separation barriers might strengthen Palestinian
affinities in case they will remain unsatisfied
(politically or socio-economically)
P
I
P 20
P 60
J
90
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In view of the inherent problems in the
Separation concept, an alternative strategic
process, based on a strategic concept, should be
devised and implemented. The process should
combine many action items/big projects, which
will be planned and synchronized according to the
desirable end state, and according to basic
guidelines
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Action Item
Desirable End State
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The Desirable End State
To live WITH and not to live Despite
Neighborliness and not Denial
The Process
Detachment
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The Action Item Separation

• The Separation Action causes an EFFECT which
  influences the DETACHMENT PROCESS
• Shapes the physical dynamics in the system
• Shapes the perceptual dynamics in the system

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Principles for the Detachment Process
1. The strategy of the Detachment Process should
integrate different action items separation,
partition, capacity-building, institutionalization
, etc. 2. Separation elements will be installed
only if they create and effect of detachment for
both parties to the system.
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Principles for the Detachment Process
1. Establish agreement or a give and take
dilemma regarding each action item 2. Take
positive steps in both sides (e.g.
capacity-building) 3. Guarantee the public,
institutional and international legitimacy of
each action item (e.g. peace-building and
education) 4. Create reliable deterrence
concerning red lines (e.g. a critical and
gradual advancement)
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The Detachment Process
1. Developing the Strategy by a Steering Body and
Work Teams 2. Initiating a Public Debate
concerning the Concept, the End State, the
Interests, the Guidelines and Redlines 3.
Binational and Multi-national Talks 4.
Implementation of Projects with a Positive
Strategic Effect
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Detachment Process - Strategic Projects
1. Security-Oriented Projects
2. Economic Projects
3. Infrastructure Projects
4. Capacity and Institution-Building Projects
5. Culture, Media and Education Projects
6. Rules-of-the-Game Projects
7. Political/Permanent Status Projects