Title: TeleMed and eHealth
1TeleMed and eHealth06
- Lifestyle Monitoring as a Predictive Tool in
Telecare - Hanson, J.1, Osipovic, D.1, Hine, N.2, Amaral,
T.2, Curry, R.3 and Barlow, J.3 - 1 The Bartlett School of Graduate Studies,
University College London, UK - 2 School of Computing, University of Dundee, UK
- 3 Tanaka Business School, Imperial College
London, UK
2What is telecare?
- Care provided remotely by means of information
and communication technology (ICT) to people in
their own homes. (Curry et al., 2003). - Telecare at home can be provided by deploying a
wide variety of sensors which monitor - - Security and safety of the domestic environment
- - Personal safety
- - Vital health signs
- - Daily activities or lifestyle
-
Chair sensor
Door sensor
PIR
Fall detector
3Three generations of telecare
2nd generation 1st generation
3rd generation
Prediction of possible acute situations
Automatic detection and generation of alert calls
Personal response without system intelligence
- Three generation of Telecare (Porteus and
Brownsell 2000) - Generations 1 and 2 are in active mode. Real time
response to an emergency. - Third generation is in passive mode. Continuous
monitoring of a persons behaviour within the
home.
4Aims of Telecare
- The rationale behind this way of delivering
care is an assumption that it will allow older
people and people with longstanding health
conditions - to live independently in their homes for longer
- and at the same time it will save public
resources - 80m Preventative Technology Grant has been
made available to local authorities in England
for implementing telecare over the next two years.
5Why is it needed?
Government and other official reports calling for
telecare
- Significant demographic, political and economic
drivers ageing, longstanding illness and
chronic conditions, care system capacity - Wider policy agenda provides impetus focus on
capacity, chronic disease, prevention and self
care - Targets. DH, Delivering C21 NHS IT Support
(2002, reiterated by ODPM in Nov 2005) and
Building Telecare in England (July 2005)
6Challenges of Telecare
- Telecare often presented as an all win
solution, but implementation faces challenges - - technological, not just about re-engineering
existing services but moving on from adding to
the widely available social alarm technology to
an intelligent sensor system - - organisational, diverse and complex service
involving a range of stakeholders. Need for clear
policy and strategy - - cost-effectiveness, requires tools for
evaluation - - ethical, telecare touches on issues of
surveillance, empowerment and control. Clear
guidance called for when prioritising need,
offering the service, obtaining informed consent
and activating response protocols
7Supporting Independence
- Funding from EPSRC (EQUAL Programme)
- Interdisciplinary team of academics, charitable
housing providers and technology manufacturers - Overall aim is to understand the opportunities
for and barriers to mainstreaming telecare
services in peoples own homes - Study conducted in two locations
- - South Yorkshire in mainstream housing
- - Devon in an extra care housing scheme (the
focus in this presentation) - Use of existing off the shelf technology to
test the LSM concept.
8History of LSM
- The concept of LSM was developed back in the late
1990s as - a non-intrusive, low cost technological solution
to enhance care to older people - reassurance for carers (formal and informal)
- proactive rather than reactive service to large
numbers of geographically dispersed clients - - cuts the time needed to detect potentially
serious problems - Widespread understanding right across the board
that LSM is possible now, and can provide a basis
for clinical assessment and intervention.
9How LSM works
- LSM sensors monitor peoples habitual
domestic movements and daily activities such as
movement around the house. - By constant passive monitoring of the domestic
environment - integrating into an intelligent LSM system,
- learning peoples routines
- recognising deviations from this norm.
- Some deviations may be interpreted as signs of
a forthcoming crisis, in which case upon
detecting them an alert is issued to a carer.
Therefore the ultimate aim of LSM is to prevent a
crisis. - Our study exposed a number of limitations to
this concept of LSM. I will touch upon some of
them in this presentation.
10Participants profiles at the start of the
research (October 2005)
11Data and Methodological Approach
- Mixed research methodology
- - Monitoring began in January 2006 and lasted
for 10 months. - - Detailed floor plans prepared, taking account
of the furniture. - - On average 14.8 sensors were installed in each
of the six flats. - - Four rounds of in-depth interviews have been
conducted. - - All six participants received regular blood
pressure monitoring, and two participants
received blood sugar monitoring. - - Half way through the project a systematic
review of sensor output data was conducted. This
allowed us to create a number of vignettes. - - Vignettes represent case studies of sensor
activity around the time of a specific, known
event in the life of our participants, together
with an attempt to interpret this pattern of
activity with the benefit of available contextual
information.
12Busyness
- Busyness is a measure of movement within a
dwelling, and a count of interactions with
sensored objects. These interactions time tag
aspects of routine and result in regular patterns
that can be detected within periods of each day,
within days of each week, monthly, annually and
so forth. - Busyness is measured by normalising the overall
sensor activity graphs by the number of sensors
active in the particular period of time, applying
weightings to each sensor depending on number of
firings. - Busyness should not be attributed directly to
people, but to the firing patterns of the sensors
in their home - Flagging up changes in the busyness of individual
sensors or sensor arrays that indicate
deterioration of health or well-being.
13Example of a Vignette Emergency Hospitalisation
- Miss Evans is 84 years old and lives alone in a
bedsit flat that she rents from the charitable
housing provider. She has both vision and hearing
impairment, epilepsy and a history of coronary
heart disease. Her personality could be described
as a bit of a worrier. - She has a fairly regular daily routine. For
example round about lunch time she normally takes
an afternoon nap. As she explains herself - I go to dinner and after dinner I have a
little nap on the bed, not a sleep so much as to
get my back flat because the doctor said I must
lie flat for an hour or so during the day.
14Sensors installed in Miss Evans flat
15The Event Itself
- Until the day of the crisis all of Miss Evans
blood pressure readings were within a range
considered normal for this individual. - On the 3rd of March 2006 quite out of the
blue Miss Evans felt very ill, her blood
pressure was very high and she was taken to
hospital. She was discharged from hospital on the
17th of March 2006. - The hospitalisation of Miss Evans is precisely
the type of crisis event that lifestyle
monitoring system aims to predict and prevent. In
this case, analysis of lifestyle monitoring
devices was done retrospectively.
16Bed occupancy sensor
17(No Transcript)
18Chair occupancy sensor
Daily firings of chair occupancy sensor
19Hourly firings of chair occupancy sensor, 37 days
before hospitalisation
Hourly firings of chair occupancy sensor, 37 days
after hospitalisation
20Validation of the vignette
- Although this interpretation seems to fit in
well with the presented picture of sensor
activity, without some form of validation it
remains speculation. - We therefore re-interviewed Miss Evans some
weeks after she had returned from hospital, to
see how she felt about the episode. - Factors emerged which suggest that it would be
premature to attribute the change in her activity
pattern to a change for the better in her health
or well being. - - Miss Evans did not make a rapid recovery but
rather took a long time to get better. - - a medication change altered her routine
- - daily visits from care workers during the
recovery period also altered the participants
routine
21From a retrospective to a predictive model
- The construction of vignettes is a good way of
becoming familiar with sensor output data and
therefore it is an appropriate technique to be
used at the exploratory and preliminary data
analysis stages. - However, even when used retrospectively, the
vignette must be used cautiously, avoiding
over-interpretation of sensor data. - Even it is possible to make a retrospective link
between busyness and the build up to a crisis, we
cannot assume that this will automatically
translate into a predictive approach. The build
up to the next crisis could be different.
22Making sense of sensors
- In order to make sense of sensors one needs
rich contextual information about the events and
everyday activities of participants to set
alongside the sensor data - This is crucial both at the stage of choosing the
right LSM sensors and when interpreting their
output - Obtaining such information depends on
establishing continuous effective communication -
a dialogue of care - which requires a rapport
between patients and their carers.
23Lessons for mainstream telecare
- What are the challenges if we want to move
towards predictive telecare? - Technological. Gathering and analysing data on
LSM is currently time consuming and laborious. We
need more sophisticated sensors, data mining and
visualisation techniques. Intelligent decision
making tools. - Organisational. Decisions will need to be made
about which activities are monitored, who
monitors them and which pattern of sensor firings
represents a norm in the case of any particular
individual. - Resource. Who is going to pay for the service?
Can we measure the costs and benefits? - Ethical. Explaining the concept, capturing user
wishes, and obtaining informed consent.
24LSM Lite
- There are potential benefits to LSM for both
active / reactive and passive / predictive
telecare. - In active mode the signals are usually clear.
There is either an alert or there is not. - In passive mode the signals are both less clear
and more open to interpretation. The real
challenge is knowing when a weak signal indicated
by a change in busyness is showing that something
is going wrong. - In the long run, LSM will probably have to
become much more sophisticated but in the short
term we may need to make it simpler - LSM Lite
- selecting one or a few key sensors to monitor,
based on individual case histories.