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Title: David W. Roberts


1
Computational Models of Team Decision-MakingOve
rview a Proposed Model Structure
  • David W. Roberts Christine M. Mitchell,
    Ph.D.
  • Center for Human-Machine Systems Research
  • School of Industrial and Systems Engineering
  • Georgia Institute of Technology
  • Atlanta, Georgia 30332
  • Ph.D Candidate in Human-Machine Systems in the
    School of Industrial and Systems Engineering
  • Research Scientist II, Georgia Tech Research
    Institute (GTRI), Georgia Institute of Technology
  • dw.roberts_at_gtri.gatech.edu, http//dss.gtri.gat
    ech.edu (404) 894-3135
  • Director and Professor, Center for
    Human-machine Systems, School of Industrial
    Systems Engineering
  • Adjunct Professor of Computer Science,
    Georgia Institute of Technology
  • Faculty-affiliate of Georgia Techs Graphics
    Visualization and Usability Center (GVU) and
    Cognitive Sciences program
  • cm_at_chmsr.gatech.edu http//www.chmsr.gatech.
    edu (404) 894-4321 fax 404 385-0257

2
Overview
  • Background
  • Models of Human-Machine Systems
  • Operator Function Model
  • OFMspert
  • Collaborative Decision Making in Air Traffic
    Management
  • Preliminary ATM Team Model
  • Extensions for Modeling Team Decision-Making
  • Conclusions

3
Background
  • Real-world applications, particularly in complex
    systems, often involve teams and team decision
    making.
  • Developing intelligent training and aiding
    systems for teams requires robust computational
    models of multiple decision makers, including
    team members, the team as a whole, and the
    coordination among teams.
  • Teams may be distributed in time and space.
  • There may be multiple roles within a team or
    between teams with respect to overall team goals.
  • To date, research on computational models has
    primarily addressed models of individual decision
    makers or operators (Pew Mavor, 1998)

4
Models of Human-Machine Systems
  • Thus, robust computational models of groups or
    collaborating decision makers are few.
  • The models that do exist are typically quite
    primitive and restricted in domain of application
    (Pew and Mavor, 1998)
  • Flexible, scalable computational models of team
    decision making are urgently needed to meet the
    training and aiding needs of the armed forces.

5
Operator Function Model (OFM)Extending the OFM
to Teams
  • Originated as a descriptive tool and knowledge
    repository to document and visualize operator
    interaction with complex dynamic engineering
    systems, essentially a cognitive task analysis
    methodology and structure to document cognitive
    and physical operational knowledge.
  • Uses operational language of engineering systems
    and operators, goals are embedded in high-level
    activities (activities include functions,
    sub-functions, tasks, procedures).
  • Though developed predominantly to model
    individual operators and decision-makers, the OFM
    has been used to model and design aids,
    assistants, and tutors for small teams.
  • Two-pilot team comprising the crew of modern
    aircraft
  • Two-person team controlling NASA near-earth
    satellites
  • In several applications, the OFM was used to
    model teams comprised of both human and computer
    agents.

6
Operator Function Model (OFM) Properties
  • Represents how operators organize system
    complexity (hierarchy).
  • Represents the concurrent activities of operators
    in engineering systems and available operator
    choices (heterarchy non-determinism).
  • Network of finite-state automata that includes
    both deterministic and non-deterministic state
    transitions.
  • Nodes are operator activities at various levels
    of abstraction and aggregation. The lowest level
    nodes represent semantic operator actions.
  • Actions can be of several types
  • physical
  • perceptual
  • cognitive
  • The domain is represented as state transition
    functions between activity nodes.

7
OFMspert Computational Implementation of the
OFM
  • A Living Task Analysis
  • Merges the OFM with the Stanford blackboard model
    of problem solving
  • hierarchy
  • heterarchy
  • evolving hypothesis
  • scalable architecture

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9
OFMspert Properties Components
  • OFM and OFMspert have been integrated into one
    computer-based modeling and run-time system
  • OFM/OFMspert (1996) is both domain- (e.g.,
    aviation) and application-independent, (e.g.,
    training)
  • Current Problem Space
  • state variables
  • derived variables
  • workstation description
  • Operations Model
  • static OFM
  • case-base of anomalies/plans
  • initial plan
  • Dynamic Operations Knowledge
  • Currently active plan
  • ACTIN (Actions Interpreter)

10
Operator Function Model (OFM) Syntax (1996)
  • Example of OFM for pilot response to directive
    from ATC to turn to assigned heading.
  • The OFM is a normative model of operator behavior
  • Properties
  • Decomposition
  • AND (do all of these)
  • OR
  • XOR (exactly one)
  • SEQ (sequence)

11
Merged OFM/OFMspert Methodology (1996)
12
OFM/OFMspert Applications
13
Assumptions Underpinning theOFM/OFMspert
Methodology
  • The OFM is an engineering, as opposed to a
    psychological, model. It is an engineering
    cognitive task analysis. It can anticipate with
    high accuracy when and what operators do in
    carrying out nominal and off-nominal system
    functions.
  • Like GOMS, the OFM is intended to model behavior
    of well-trained, well-motivated operators or
    decision makers carrying out activities for which
    normative behavior is rewarded. Given overall
    mission goals and current system state, behavior
    is very predictable within some envelope of
    choices.
  • In such situations, the authors of the GOMS model
    suggest that the models are hardly psychology at
    all, but rather an analysis of the domain (p. 10,
    Human-Computer Interaction, Card, Moran,
    Newell).

14
OFM/OFMspert Research The Future
  • Each of these OFM/OFMspert applications has been
    implemented in proof-of-concept form for
    high-performance dynamic engineering systems and
    empirically evaluated .
  • Without exception, systems designed with the OFM
    or derived from the OFMspert architecture,
    consistently and significantly enhanced overall
    system performance as well as individual operator
    performance. Moreover, for many measures of
    performance the subject effect was
    insignificant. Thus OFM/OFMspert based systems,
    especially used in training, reduce
    student-to-student variance.
  • The OFM/OFMspert methodology derives its face
    validity by domain practitioners to help define
    model requirements using a bottom-up methodology.
    The methodology depends extensively on on-site
    observation of operations to develop and
    subsequently validate the model.
  • The visual form of the OFM is a major advantage
    that enables domain practitioners to
    interactively validate the model.

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Extensions for ModelingTeam Decision-Making
  • As the OFM/OFMSpert methodology has been used for
    small teams, there is evidence to suggest that
    the methodology can be extended to larger and
    more diverse teams.
  • The OFM/OFMspert methodology has been used to
    model and provide the foundation for simulator
    design, and the design of intelligent tutors and
    aids for teams.
  • Small, two-person teams (two-pilot cockpit
    two-person satellite control)
  • Typically identical or very similar visions of
    the mission
  • Tightly coupled in space
  • Given the success of initial team models, the
    next step is to define formal OFM/OFMspert
    extensions to model teams that are more complex.

31
Collaborative Decision-Making In Air Traffic
Management Proof-of Concept
32
Air Traffic Management
  • Realistic distributed systems are critically
    dependent on effective decision making (Orasanu
    et al., 1997)
  • Air traffic management is a tightly coupled
    system comprised of three primary components.
    These components collaborate to keep aircraft
    flowing safely and efficiently through the
    system
  • Pilots (on flight deck)
  • Dispatchers (in the Airline Operations Center)
  • Air Traffic Controllers (in enroute and Terminal
    Area Control or TRACON centers)
  • The relationship between the pilot and ATC is
    well-defined.
  • Given new technology, the relationship between
    the pilot and the dispatcher can be designed to
    enhance safety, while increasing traffic flow.

33
Air Traffic Management
  • The relationship between dispatchers and pilots
    is less defined and open to knew ideas.
  • By law, however, all routing decisions for major
    airlines must be made collaboratively between
    pilot-in-command and dispatcher
  • New concepts require the development of models of
    air traffic management and its associated team.
    Given these models various potential scenarios
    can be implement and evaluated.
  • OFM/OFMspert extensions for more diverse teams
    will use air traffic management as a proof-of
    concept application.
  • Initial efforts suggest that air traffic
    management is a robust environment in which to
    explore the strengths and limitations of
    OFM/OFMspert as a computational team model

34
Preliminary ATMCollaboration Model
  • Model depicts two team members, each with
    different roles
  • First level decomposition for the dispatcher
  • Monitoring sources of available information
  • Flight planning
  • Flight re-planning when unanticipated events occur

35
Preliminary ATMCollaboration Model
  • Pilot-in-command model is only a partial
    representation of pilot activities
  • Represents activities that relate to
    collaboration with the dispatcher
  • Maintain current course (active--green)
  • Deviate from planned route (inactive--with an
    initiator for ATC reroute

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38
OFMspert Team ModelInitial Insights
  • Team members that have different roles are likely
    to require different model representations,
    depending on the collaboration or team decision
    scenario being modeled.
  • Existing OFM/OFMspert models of pilot navigation
    look significantly different than the model shown
    here.
  • Pilot navigation models include much more detail
    for how to navigate under various state
    conditions.
  • While the pilot role in this model is typically
    event-driven, the dispatcher role includes some
    activities that are on-going as well as some that
    are event-driven.
  • The current OFM/OFMspert model requires
    extensions to support multiple types of
    activities, e.g., event-driven and on-going, in
    the same model.

39
Conclusions
  • This modeling exercise provides initial evidence
    that the OFM/OFMspert methodology holds promise
    as a foundation for a robust computational team
    decision making model.
  • Strengths Represents
  • Multiple team members with very different roles
  • Collaboration among multiple team members
  • Weaknesses Extensions needed to easily support
  • Different roles
  • Different activity types
  • This exercise shows that modeling and run-time
    use of the OFM/OFMspert methodology require
    extensions to represent the diversity and
    activities endemic to teams.
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