BEHAVIORAL TRAPS

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BEHAVIORAL TRAPS

• Individuals or groups embark on promising course
  of actiongtundesirable and difficult to escape

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Collective Choice Dilemmas

• What is the NORMATIVE CORRECT Solution ? (game
  theory)
• People usually dont pursue rational strategy
• WHY???

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Taxonomy of traps(Cross-Guyer)

• Time delay traps (short-term vs long-term
• gains and
  losses)
• Ignorance traps (unforeseen or known
• negative
  consequences)
• Investment traps (sunk cost effects)
• Deterioration traps (sliding reinforcer traps)
• COLLECTIVE TRAPS (self-interests leads to
  negative consequences for whole)

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Prisoner Dilemma

• Interdependent choice situation
• What would you do?
• WHY???

• Prisoner A
• Confess Dont
• Con. -5,-5 -10,0
• B
• Dont 0, -10 -1,-1

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Prisoners Dilemma

• Depends how view (FRAME) problem
• ONE-SHOTE choice
• STRATEGY over time

• Mutual cooperation
• NOT rational choice
• ONE SHOT
• Stable equilibrium
• over time

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CHICKEN

• 2 cars heading for a crash
• Whoever swerves FIRSTgtLOSES
• What would you do?

• Prisoner A
• Dont swerve S
• Sw 10, -10 0,0
• B
• Dont -100,-100 -10,10

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Analogy for what type of political conflict?

• BALANCE of TERROR
• (Cuban Missile Crisis)

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Tragedy of the Commons

• Garrett Hardin
• What happens to common grazing area if every
  herder follows own self interest?

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(No Transcript)
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Analogy used in negotiation of Law of the Seas
Treaty

• National waters
• EEZ Economic Zones
• Open seas

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How to deal with futureTragedy of the Commons?

• Population growth
• Environmental degradation
• Loss of bio-diversity
• System collapse???