Title: Indian Real Estate Analysis of 2016 & concentration into 2017
1Indian Real Estate An analysis of 2016
Concentration into 2017
2 Introduction
- Its time to study what happened in 2016 and
what is to be expected in 2017. The real estate
industry in 2016 saw major changes , mainly on
the policy front.
3 Breakup Of City-level Investments
- Residential and office investments were a
majority in 2016, retail is expected to start
seeing better traction. Investors will remain
focused on the top seven cities.
4 Residential Real Estate
- Capital Values (CVs) across cities, especially in
Hyderabad, Pune and Bengaluru, saw gentle
appreciation in 2016 and this trend is expected
to continue in 2017. - The 3 biggest markets in terms of volumes of
unsold units (including under-construction) are
NCR, Mumbai and Bangalore. By volume, NCR stands
37, Which is more than a third of Indias unsold
(including under-construction) residential
inventory. - Less than 5 units among the total unsold
inventory across the three metros are ready for
possession. Bengaluru, a largely end-user-driven
market, has the lowest unsold inventory in
project launches up to the year 2010. - In Mumbai, the percentage is higher, but if we
discount the longer timelines it takes for large
projects to complete, it would fall under 5.
5 Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
- Budget 2016-17 exempted dividend distribution tax
on special purpose vehicles. Rules for REITs were
relaxed, and the investment cap in
under-construction projects was raised from 10
to 20. SPVs are now allowed to have holdings in
other SPV structures, and the limit on number of
sponsors has also been removed. Currently, around
229 million sft of office space can be seen as
REIT-compliant. If even 50 of this were to get
listed, we are looking at a total REITs listing
worth USD 18.5 bn.
6Advantages
- REITs assure to open up the real estate market to
smaller investors in the next year. - International banks and financial institutions
are under better cost and compliance pressures
and are therefore estimated to outsource more
jobs to India. - For various companies, especially in
non-technology area, money saved through leasing
is reinvested in business. - Requirement for office space is evolving, and
other corporates across industries will take on
innovative workplaces in the near future.
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