Title: Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO
1Buying A Call Option On United States Oil USO
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4- Hi, My name is Steve and Im with Options Trading
Research, today were reviewing our recently
published article
5- Buying A Call Option On United States Oil USO
6- Crude oil is once again making headlines as it
plunges towards the 40 per barrel mark. The
worlds most popular commodity has dropped 20
over the past month and has everyone trying to
pick a bottom.
7- Is a drop in the price of oil good for the
economy? Is it bad? Its actually a little of
both, depending on perspective. Overall, its
probably a good thing for the US economy since we
tend to use a lot more of the commodity than we
export.
8- One of the most popular ways to trade crude oil
is through the United States Oil ETF USO. - USO is a heavily traded ETF which tracks the
price of crude oil. The fund trades about 20
million shares per day.
9- Even though commodity ETFs have their issues,
trading them is still the easiest (and cheapest)
way to buy and sell commodities. Currently, USO
is trading at 14.07.
10- Thats 61 from the 52-week high and already 2
below the previous 52-week low. The ETF is down
29 on the year so far.
11- So is now the time to buy a call option on USO?
12- As a reminder, a call option makes money when the
underlying stock goes up. Has USO finally found
a bottom? - For a more in-depth look at this widely traded
oil ETF, you can click the link.
13- Heres the deal
- The price of crude oil is getting hit again for
the same reasons as always. Theres simply a lot
more supply than demand. Recent refinery
outages in the US have resulted in the countrys
stockpiles growing even bigger
14- . And, theres no reason to believe the glut is
going to end anytime soon. - China and other emerging markets arent seeing
enough economic growth to increase demand for
oil. Its more like the opposite.
15- Without a rise in global demand, oil producers
are basically just adding to stockpiles whenever
they get a new barrel of oil from the ground. - Heres the chart of USO
16(No Transcript)
17- As you can see above, the ETF has plummeted this
year. First there was the great oil decline of
2014. Now, crude oil is falling once again
this time to new lows of the year. The price of
USO is well below the 50-day moving average.
18- Now could be a great time to buy an USO call
option.
19- Despite all the negative news regarding oil, this
may actually be a great time to buy a call.
Well, at least its a great time to buy a
long-term call. The supply/demand fundamentals
are too bearish right now to expect a quick
rebound.
20- However, the entire trading world seems to
bearish oil. Thats generally a sign the bottom
is nearing. Eventually, oil producers are going
to have to shut down or slow excess oil
production or risk going out of business. This
will lead to lower supply in the long-run.
21- Given the fundamentals of the situation and the
look-term outlook, I recommend buying a long-term
USO call in this situation. The January 2017 15
calls are trading around 2.25.
22- That looks like a good price for an option within
a dollar of being in the money, and still has 17
months until expiration.
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