Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

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Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

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The price of oil is plunging again, so it is time to buy a call option on United States Oil $USO? – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO


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  • OPTIONS TRADING

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil USO
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  • Hi, My name is Steve and Im with Options Trading
    Research, today were reviewing our recently
    published article

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  • Buying A Call Option On United States Oil USO

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  • Crude oil is once again making headlines as it
    plunges towards the 40 per barrel mark. The
    worlds most popular commodity has dropped 20
    over the past month and has everyone trying to
    pick a bottom.

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  • Is a drop in the price of oil good for the
    economy? Is it bad? Its actually a little of
    both, depending on perspective. Overall, its
    probably a good thing for the US economy since we
    tend to use a lot more of the commodity than we
    export.

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  • One of the most popular ways to trade crude oil
    is through the United States Oil ETF USO.
  • USO is a heavily traded ETF which tracks the
    price of crude oil. The fund trades about 20
    million shares per day.

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  • Even though commodity ETFs have their issues,
    trading them is still the easiest (and cheapest)
    way to buy and sell commodities. Currently, USO
    is trading at 14.07.

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  • Thats 61 from the 52-week high and already 2
    below the previous 52-week low. The ETF is down
    29 on the year so far.

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  • So is now the time to buy a call option on USO?

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  • As a reminder, a call option makes money when the
    underlying stock goes up. Has USO finally found
    a bottom?
  • For a more in-depth look at this widely traded
    oil ETF, you can click the link.

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  • Heres the deal
  • The price of crude oil is getting hit again for
    the same reasons as always. Theres simply a lot
    more supply than demand. Recent refinery
    outages in the US have resulted in the countrys
    stockpiles growing even bigger

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  • . And, theres no reason to believe the glut is
    going to end anytime soon.
  • China and other emerging markets arent seeing
    enough economic growth to increase demand for
    oil. Its more like the opposite.

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  • Without a rise in global demand, oil producers
    are basically just adding to stockpiles whenever
    they get a new barrel of oil from the ground.
  • Heres the chart of USO

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  • As you can see above, the ETF has plummeted this
    year. First there was the great oil decline of
    2014. Now, crude oil is falling once again
    this time to new lows of the year. The price of
    USO is well below the 50-day moving average.

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  • Now could be a great time to buy an USO call
    option.

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  • Despite all the negative news regarding oil, this
    may actually be a great time to buy a call.
    Well, at least its a great time to buy a
    long-term call. The supply/demand fundamentals
    are too bearish right now to expect a quick
    rebound.

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  • However, the entire trading world seems to
    bearish oil. Thats generally a sign the bottom
    is nearing. Eventually, oil producers are going
    to have to shut down or slow excess oil
    production or risk going out of business. This
    will lead to lower supply in the long-run.

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  • Given the fundamentals of the situation and the
    look-term outlook, I recommend buying a long-term
    USO call in this situation. The January 2017 15
    calls are trading around 2.25.

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  • That looks like a good price for an option within
    a dollar of being in the money, and still has 17
    months until expiration.

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