Title: Telecom
1Telecom Cable TV Fixed Income
Conference September 13, 2006 Robert
McFarlane EVP Chief Financial Officer
2Forward-looking statements
- Presentations and answers to questions today
contain forward-looking statements that require
assumptions about expected future events
including income trust conversion and timing,
financing, financial and operating results, and
2006 guidance that are subject to inherent risks
and uncertainties. There is significant risk that
predictions and other forward-looking statements
will not prove to be accurate so do not place
undue reliance on them. - There are many factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially. For a full listing
and description of the potential risk factors and
assumptions, please refer to the TELUS 2005
annual report, updates in the 2006 quarterly
reports, Sept. 11, 2006 income trust proposal
news release and other filings with securities
commissions in Canada and the United States.
3Agenda
- About TELUS
- TELUS wireless review
- TELUS wireline review
- TELUS consolidated review
- Credit profile
- QA
- Appendix
- Definitions
3
4About TELUS
- Executing national growth strategy focused on
data, IP wireless - Financial results (12ME June 30, 2006)
- Revenue 8.4B
- EBITDA 3.3B
- FCF 1.5B
- Enterprise value 26B (net debt 5.7B)
- Listings TSX T, T.A NYSE TU
- Reporting segments wireless and wireline
Best performing Canadian telco
4
5Leading the way with a proven strategy
- Focusing on growth markets of data wireless
- Building national capabilities
- Providing integrated solutions
- Investing in internal capabilities
- Partnering, acquiring and divesting as necessary
- Going to market as one team
Strategic intent to unleash the power of the
Internet to deliver the best solutions to
Canadians at home, in the workplace and on the
move.
Consistent strategy and execution 2000 ? 2006
5
6Wireless-wireline merger rationale
- Advance our industry leading strategy
- Achieve meaningful commercial differentiation in
the market - Capitalize on technology convergence of wireless
and wireline - Drive continued operating efficiency and
effectiveness
One team, united behind one strategy, defined by
one brand
6
7Strategic focus on data and wireless
Revenue
20062
20001
LD
Wireless Voice
LD
10
23
41
Wireless
18
Voice
Data
Voice
10
28
49
Wireline Data
Wireless Data
19
2
5.7B
8.4B
2 12 months ending June 2006
1 12 months ending June 2000
Data and wireless now represent 62 of revenue
7
8Strategic focus on wireless generating cash flow
Cash Flow
20062
20001
(EBITDA less capex)
Wireless 22
Wireless 59
Wireline 41
Wireline 78
1.1B
1.9B
1 12 months ending June 2000
2 12 months
ending June 2006
Wireless now represents 59 of Cash Flow
8
9Total subscriber connections
10.4
(millions)
9.9
9.4
Res NALs
Bus NALs
Dial-up Internet
High-speed Internet
Wireless
Q2-06
Q2-05
Q2-04
Connections increasing with strong wireless and
Internet growth
9
10TELUS subscriber trends
Change
Jun-06
Jun-04
3-year trend
31
?
4.7M
3.6M
Wireless subscribers
33
?
831K
624K
High-speed Internet
?
4.6M
(4)
4.8M
NALs
10
11Wireless
12Wireless segment financial results
Change
H1-06
H1-05
18
?
1,827M
1,555M
Revenue
19
?
837M
704M
EBITDA1
20
?
209M
174M
Capital expenditures
19
?
628M
530M
Cash flow (EBITDA less capex)
1 Includes 3M in restructuring workforce
reduction costs in H1-06
Excellent revenue, EBITDA and cash flow growth
12
13Increasing Canadian wireless penetration
review of operations
Dec-03
Dec-08E
Jun-06
42
65 - 68
53.5
Penetration
Source Industry analysts, CWTA
4 to 5 million net additions expected over next
2.5 years
13
14Wireless data ARPU growth
63.18
60.84
Data ARPU
4.45
2.30
Q2-05
Q2-06
ARPU growth led by 93 increase in wireless data
14
15Industry ARPU comparison
review of operations wireless
Q2-06 prepaid ARPU
Q2-06 postpaid ARPU
72
67
63
26
14
13
TELUS Wireless
Rogers Wireless
BCE Wireless
TELUS Wireless
Rogers Wireless
BCE Wireless
Significant ARPU premium over peers
15
16Staying ahead on wireless data
- Expanding EVDO high speed wireless service
- 24 major urban markets
- Cool new applications
- Music downloads and video games
- Watch 15 channels on Mobile TV
- TELUS Mobile Radio powered by XM Canada
- 5 times faster
- Ampd Powered by TELUS coming in 2007
Fostering continued wireless data growth
16
17Exclusive Ampd arrangement and investment
- Ampd Mobile responsible for marketing, freshest
and exclusive entertainment content, and
optimized handsets - Targeting 18 to 35 age demographic and lifestyle
- TELUS responsible for managing sales and
distribution, billing, client care, network
options and pricing - Exclusive licensing and service agreement not a
traditional MVNO - Ampd Mobile is a premium brand with high ARPUs
focused on mobile media (not traditional voice)
and postpaid - TELUS Ventures invested US7.5M in US business of
Ampd Mobile, Inc.
17
18Wireless industry economics comparison
Q2-06
BCE
Rogers
TELUS
51
55.951
63.18
ARPU
1.60
1.821
1.30
Blended churn
3188
3074
4860
Avg. lifetime revenue per sub
419
397
394
COA per gross add
13.1
12.9
8.1
COA / lifetime revenue
1Calculated using prepaid and postpaid metrics
due to non-disclosure by Rogers
TELUS subscriber economics compare favourably
18
19Staying ahead in North American performance
Q2 YTD cash flow yield1 of national wireless
companies ()
34
33
26
21
21
12
12
Sprint Nextel
TELUS Wireless
Rogers Wireless
T-Mobile
BCE Wireless
Verizon Wireless
Cingular
1 EBITDA less capex as a percentage of total
revenue. Source Company reports
Highest Q2 YTD cash flow yield in North America
19
202006 wireless guidance
2006 guidance2
annual change
?
Revenue
3.8 to 3.875B
15 to 18
?
EBITDA
1.7 to 1.75B
18 to 21
?
approx. 450M
Capex
11
Wireless net adds
560 to 590K
flat
1 See forward looking statement caution
2 August 4, 2006
Solid wireless momentum
20
21Wireline
22Wireline segment financial results
Change
H1-06
H1-05
2.1
?
2.39B
2.44B
Revenue
9.3
?
923M
1,017M
EBITDA1
6.4
?
968M
1,034M
EBITDA (excl. restructuring)
12
?
570M
508M
Capital expenditures
31
?
353M
510M
Cash flow (EBITDA less capex)
1 Includes 17M and 45M in wireline
restructuring costs in H1-05 and H1-06
respectively
Results reflect challenging wireline environment
and increased restructuring
charges
22
23Year-over-year NAL declines
Trailing six quarters ended Q2-06
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Source Merrill Lynch, company reports
2005
2006
23
24Future Friendly Home
- Suite of IP applications
- Home Networking (wireless LAN)
- HomeSitterTM
- TELUS TV targeted roll-outs in
- Edmonton and Calgary 2005/2006
- Vancouver lower mainland 2006/2007
24
25Expanding TELUS TV availability
financial review
- Offering customers differentiated entertainment
- Choice of 200 digital stations
- Customized channel packaging
- Interactive programming guide
- Video on demand
- myTELUS channel
- Call display
Targeted launches to continue
25
26Non-ILEC revenue EBITDA
EBITDA (M)
Revenue (M)
650-675
632
561
555
25-30
21
2004
2003
2005
2006E1
2004
2005
2006E1
2003
(22)
(29)
1 August 4, 2006 guidance. See forward looking
statement caution.
Continued focus on profitable, long-term growth
26
272006 wireline guidance1
2006 guidance 2
annual change
Revenue
4.825 to 4.850B
0 to (1)
?
?
Non-ILEC Revenue
650 to 675M
3 to 7
?
EBITDA
1.8 to 1.85B
0 to (3)
?
Non-ILEC EBITDA
25 to 30M
18 to 42
?
approx. 1.15B
Capex
26
?
High speed net adds
gt 125K
gt52K
1 See forward looking statement caution
2 August 4, 2006
Guidance reflects challenging wireline environment
27
28Consolidated Review
29TELUS Consolidated
Change
H1-06
H1-05
5.6
?
4.22B
3.99B
Revenue
2.2
?
1,760M
1,721M
EBITDA
47M
17M
Restructuring costs
4.0
?
1,807M
1,738M
EBITDA (excl. restructuring)
16
?
706M
611M
EBIT
36
?
1.63
1.20
EPS (reported)
1 Normalized for tax-related adjustments,
retroactive regulatory decisions and and a BC Tel
bond litigation accrual, EPS in H1-05 H1-06,
would have been 1.06 and 1.29, up 22
Strong gains in revenue and EPS
29
30Strategic operating model
Growth opportunities
Challenges
Competitive Intensity
Technological Substitution
Non-ILEC Growth
Future Friendly Home
Organization Effectiveness
Price Cap Regulatory Framework
Short-term dilutive
Strive to hold wireline EBITDA (before
restructuring) flat over medium term
?
Growth in revenues and EBITDA from wireless
business
Continued improvements in consolidated results
30
31Push to implement the Telecom Policy Report
- Supporting TPR panel and Industry Canadas
thought leadership
Other CRTC developments
- 2005 VoIP decision re-affirmed by CRTC
- Re-assessing aspects of local forbearance
decision - Mobile TV broadcasting not regulated
- Third local price cap proceeding underway for
2007
Opportunity for positive regulatory and policy
change
31
322006 consolidated guidance summary
annual change
2006 guidance1
Revenue
8.625 to 8.725B
? 6 to 7
EBITDA2
3.5 to 3.6B
? 6 to 9
2.90 to 3.10
EPS3
? 48 to 58
approx. 1.6B
Capex
? 21
1.55 to 1.65B
Free Cash Flow
? 6 to 13
1 September 11, 2006 guidance (unchanged from Aug
4/06), and reflects est. 7M of expenses in 2006
related to trust conversion. See forward looking
statement caution 2 Including restructuring
workforce reduction costs of 54M in 2005 and up
to 100M in 2006 3 Including 34 cents of positive
tax-related adjustments in 2006
Annual consolidated financial guidance remains
unchanged 2007 guidance planned for December 2006
32
33Income trust transaction overview
- Sept. 11/06 announced approved proposal for
reorganization into income trust - Represents conversion of TELUS in its entirety
- Via plan of arrangement under Business
Corporations Act (B.C.) - Subject to approval of 2/3rds of each class of
shares - To be one class of Fund Unit vs current dual
class share structure - Anticipate initial distributions of between 3.90
to 4.10 on annualized basis - Compares to current 1.10 annualized dividend
Conversion entails increase in cash distributions
by 255 to 273
33
34Strategic rationale for TELUS conversion into
Income Trust
- Transaction supports advancement of national
growth strategy - Optimizes ability to make future growth
investments - Enhances tax efficiency at TELUS and
significantly increases cash distributions to
shareholders - Ensures integrated operations drive customer
service excellence and competitive
differentiation - Avoids costs and governance complexity of a
partial conversion - Offers investors high quality assets, strong
predictable cash flow and prospect of growth
Creating Canadas premier income trust
34
35Benefits of proposed conversion in January 2007
- Tax efficiency as TELUS has fully utilized its
tax assets as of June 30, 2006 - TELUS now generating current tax liability on go
forward basis - Status quo would entail paying cash taxes
commencing in 2008 - Optimal timing for TELUS as expect to be able to
shelter 2006 tax liability on conversion, in
addition to ongoing tax efficiencies - Optimal timing for shareholders as taxable deemed
disposition on conversion of shares for units
generally not payable until April 2008 - Beneficial to debt holders as increases future
cash flow for debt servicing
35
36Return of capital pre and post conversion
per share
3.90 to 4.10
Normal Course Issuer Bid
4
Dividends paid
3.38 2,3
3.30
Income trust cash distribution
3
2.62 1
2
0.82
1
0.60
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007E3
1 Total Cash per Share annualized 2006
dividend, plus YTD NCIB as at Aug 30, 2006
2 Total Cash per Share annualized 2006
dividend, plus YTD NCIB as at Aug 30, 2006
annualized
36
3 See forward looking statement caution
37Transaction time line1
- Notice of special meeting of TELUS shareholders
Nov. 2006 - Information circular mailing Dec. 2006
- Special shareholder meeting Jan. 2007
- Obtain regulatory and other approvals
- Closing and conversion expected late Jan. 2007
1 See forward looking statement caution
To create premier income trust in Canada
37
38Credit Profile
39Debt overview
- Simplified debt structure with 86 of total debt
now at TELUS Corporation - Average term to maturity is 5.0 years (at June
30, 2006) - Fixed to floating ratio currently 99 fixed
- 3.7B of existing debt denominated in US and
fully hedged - No long-term debt maturities until 2007 when
US1.2B TELUS Notes and 70M TCI Medium Term
Notes mature
39
40Credit profile
Current debt structure
TELUS Corporation Maturity Bank1 - 3
Year 0.8B revolver May 2008
- 5 Year 0.8B revolver May
2010 US 7.5 Notes C1.5B June 2007 US 8.0
Notes C3.0B June 2011 C 5.0
Notes C0.3B June 2013
100
- TELUS Communications Inc.
- Maturity
- Mortgage Bonds 0.030B July 2010
- MTNs 0.070B Feb 2007
- Debentures 0.799B 2010 to
2025 - Net Sr. Notes to TC 2.5B
-
1 Canadian dollars or U.S. dollar equivalent.
At June 30, 2006, 74M in borrowings existed
under the Bank credit facilities. TCI may also
borrow on the bank credit facility.
86 of total debt at TELUS Corporation
40
41Credit profile
Current debt structure - maturities
Process of refinancing 2007 maturity already begun
41
42TELUS US1.2B Notes maturing in 2007
- TELUS US1.2B 7.50 Notes mature June 1, 2007
- At time of issue, swapped into C1.8B liability
with yield of 8.109 - Notes are redeemable at any time in whole or in
part at the US Treasury yield plus 25 basis
points - TELUS may consider early redeeming a portion of
notes - TELUS has already taken two steps to refinance
notes - Interest rates locked for 500M of future fixed
rate debt through forward starting interest rate
swaps - In May 2006 TELUS issued 300M 5 7 year Note to
repay a portion of the foreign exchange liability
May 2006 300M 7-year note offering met strong
demand
42
43Committed credit facilities
- Total committed credit facilities of 1.6B
- 3-year 800M credit facility due in May 2008
- 5-year 800M term facility due in May 2010
- Term of facilities extend beyond the maturity
date of TELUS' June 2007 public note maturity - Reinforces TELUS' strong liquidity position
43
44Consolidated leverage
Jun-06
Jun-04
Jun-05
Jun-03
7,223
6,096
Net debt (M)
5,740
9,120
51.9
46.0
Net debt Capital
45.5
55.7
1.7x
1.8x
2.4x
3.0x
Net debt EBITDA
16
23
FCF1 Net debt
27
4
1 12-month trailing Free cash flow
Strong leverage improvement / credit enhancement
44
45Credit ratings
- All four rating agencies upgraded TELUS ratings
in 2005 - Moodys reiterated rating, changed outlook to
positive May/06 - DBRS rating under review Sep/06
- Moodys affirmed rating, with a developing
outlook Sep/06
Credit rating changes in 2005 2006
Credit rating overview for TELUS Corporation
45
46Long term financial policy targets
long term policy
Q2-06
45 to 50
Net Debt Capital
45.5
?
1.7x
1.5 to 2.0x
Net Debt EBITDA
?
gt1B
Minimum liquidity
1.5B
?
? 3 of 4
BBB to A-
Credit rating
BBB
Conversion does not change TELUS debt targets /
lessens risk profile
46
47Recognized leader in disclosure
- Annual Report on Annual Reports
- TELUS 2005 Annual Report ranked BEST in world
- Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants
(CICA) - Best Corporate Governance Disclosure in Canada
- 2004 Annual Report received Award of Excellence
- 11 consecutive years of recognition
- IR Magazine (Canada) awards
- 2006 Best annual report disclosure policy
- Member of 2007 Dow Jones Sustainability Index
- only North American telco in global index
e.Com Report Watch
47
48Why invest in TELUS?
- Premium asset mix - high wireless exposure
- Offer investors high quality assets, strong
predictable cash flow and prospect of growth - Orderly refinancing of 2007 notes already
underway - Significant gt1B of annual free cash flow
generation pre-trust conversion - Trust conversion announced
- Increases cash flow and lessens TELUS risk
profile - Beneficial to debt holders as increased future
cash flow for debt servicing - TELUS has met or exceeded all leverage targets
- Excellence in reporting, transparency and
governance
Track record of delivering on commitments to
investors
48
49investor relations 1-800-667-4871 telus.com ir_at_tel
us.com
50Appendix
Definitions
- EBITDA Earnings, after restructuring and
workforce reduction costs, before interest,
taxes, depreciation and amortization - Capital intensity capex divided by total revenue
- Cash flow EBITDA less capex
- Cash flow yield EBITDA less capex, divided by
total revenue - Free Cash Flow EBITDA, adding Restructuring and
workforce reduction costs, cash interest received
and excess of share compensation expense over
share compensation payments, subtracting cash
interest paid, cash taxes, capital expenditures,
and cash restructuring payments
TELUS definitions for non-GAAP measures