POSTSOVIET CENTRAL ASIA

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POST-SOVIET CENTRAL ASIA
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TODAY

• Administratia
• News
• Central Asia and Its Neighbors
• Tajik Civil War

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ADMINISTRATIVE

• Paper I am taking drafts
• And will until next Wednesday
• Final Exam, Essays, and Extra Credit Papers due
  next Thursday (same place and time as usual)

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IN THE NEWS...
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KAZAKHSTAN

• Political Developments
• Lots of Slavs heavily colonized
• Islam not as well developed
• Economic Developments
• East Asian Model
• Poor taxation policy
• Commodity rich

• Military Developments
• Nuclear Policy
• Creating national army
• Strong Russian ties

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UZBEKISTAN

• Political Developments
• Historical Center of Region
• Largest Population
• Desire to be the regional power
• Little democratization
• Economic Developments
• Crisis, no needed reform

• Military Developments
• No local army
• Creating national army
• Strong Russian ties
• Desire for dominance

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TURKMENISTAN

• Political Developments
• Backwards
• Authoritarian (Niyazov)
• Desire for independence
• Less domestic strife
• Economic Developments
• Natural Gas

• Military Developments
• No local army
• VERY Strong Russian ties
• Keep Russian Border Troops

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KYRGYZSTAN

• Political Developments
• Poor borders
• Democrat elected (Akayev)
• Switzerland of CA
• Economic Developments
• Poor, despite reforms

• Military Developments
• No local army
• National Guard
• Some Soviet leftovers
• Swiss model

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TAJIK CIVIL WAR

• Clan CPSU
• KohdjentKulyabi
• Kohdjent in North
• Kulyabi in South
• Opposition vs. CP
• DPIRP vs. KoKu
• North Opposition
• Kohdjent compromises
• South Alienated
• South vs. Opposition
• Armed struggle vs. IRP
• Sid regime favored an Islamic State?!
• South got Uzbek help, won
• Nabiyev (Ko)Out
• Rakhmonov (Ku) In

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CHINA AND CENTRAL ASIA

• China
• Xinjiang
• Trade
• Religion?
• Language?
• Geography?

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AFGHANISTAN AND CENTRAL ASIA

• 4m Tajiks
• 1m Uzbeks
• .4m Turkmen
• refugees
• Porous borders
• Too weak

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IRAN AND CENTRAL ASIA

• Strong H-Ties
• Tajiks Persian
• Others Turkic
• CA Sunni
• Turkmen in Iran
• Moderation Key

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TURKEY AND CENTRAL ASIA

• History
• CA Turkish
• But not Ottoman
• Initial Hope
• But obstacles...

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INDIA PAKISTAN AND CENTRAL ASIA

• Pakistan
• Religious ties
• Focused on
• India
• Afghanistan
• India
• vs. Pakistan
• Religious concerns

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CENTRAL ASIA AND ISLAM

• Proximity to
• Iran and Pakistan
• Plus Soviet Atheism
• Cause for Concern?
• Overplayed
• Pan-Islamic Union Rare
• Not Centralized
• Tribe/Kinship Rivalries
• Islam fills a real need