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UGBA 10 Module 5

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Note: A winning bid at less than cost means you pay me! Another Game ... When entering, sometimes pays to enter where the trade is (e.g., near other restaurants) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: UGBA 10 Module 5


1
UGBA 10 Module 5
  • Lecture 4 November 26, 2008
  • Avoiding the Bertrand Trap

2
  • Recall the models assumptions
  • firms produce a homogeneous product
  • firms have unlimited capacity
  • firms play once (alternatively, myopically)
  • customers know prices.
  • customers face no switching costs
  • firms have the same, constant unit cost

The Bertrand Trap
3
Avoiding the Bertrand Trap
  • Must alter the assumptions (Kobayashi Moru) that
    is, do at least one of following
  • dont produce a homogeneous product
  • dont have unlimited capacity
  • dont play myopically (facilitate tacit
    collusion)
  • make it difficult for customers to learn prices
  • make it difficult for customers to switch from
    one firm to the other
  • lower your costs

4
Avoiding the Trap Method 1 Lower Costs
Another Game
  • Each bidder (except one) has a cost of 1.
  • Exception has a cost of 0.
  • Simultaneous bid.
  • Lowest bid gets amount bid less cost (unless all
    bids exceed 5, in which case no one gets
    anything).
  • Ties decided by fair randomization.
  • Note A winning bid at less than cost means you
    pay me!

5
Potential Problems with Method 1
  • Question is sustainability of cost advantage
  • Could fail the R test in AURA.
  • Care that cost-cutting today does not result in
    negative long-run consequences.
  • Could make firm vulnerable to fluctuations in
    trade policy (if cost advantage gained by
    exporting jobs).

6
Avoiding the Trap Method 2 limit capacity
Capacity Game
  • Each firm has 7 objects.
  • Simultaneously set price for objects.
  • I will buy 10 objects total. I will pay no more
    than 1 per object.
  • I buy first from firm charging the lower
    price/object.

7
Avoiding the Trap Method 2 limit capacity
Variant of Capacity Game
  • What if each firm decided how many objects it
    had?
  • Dont over produce -- that yields the Bertrand
    trap.
  • But will tend to produce more than a monopolist
    would, thereby driving down price and profit.

8
Setting Capacities
  • Limiting capacity is a way to avoid Bertrand
    trap.
  • Generally, when firms can set capacity, they
    limit capacity to avoid the Bertrand trap.
  • However, overproduce relative to monopoly and
    market price is less than price a monopolist
    would charge.
  • Price falls in the number of firms competition
    is bad for profits!

9
Avoiding the Trap Method 3 Raise search costs
  • Bertrand assumptions, except assume that it costs
    a consumer s gt 0 to visit a second firm
    (store).
  • Assume each consumer wants 1 unit max and values
    it at v gt c gt 0.
  • Let pe be the equilibrium price. That is, the
    price consumers expect to pay. Then each firm
    can charge p minpe s,v, because a customer
    would not be induced to visit a second store.

10
Raise Consumer Search Costs
  • Customers expect both firms to charge same price,
    pe, so they are evenly divided between the firms.
  • There is no benefit to undercutting on price if
    rival is not charging more than minpes,v, you
    wont attract any of its customers.
  • Pressure now is to raise prices.
  • Equilibrium is pe v i.e., the monopoly price.

11
Issues with Implementation
  • How to keep search costs high?
  • Must prevent price advertising.
  • Must ensure comparison shopping hard (or
    pointless).
  • Preventing price advertising.
  • Lobby govt to make illegal (liquor stores)
  • Gentlemens agreement (a form of tacit
    collusion)
  • Have professional association prohibit (generally
    found to be violation of antitrust laws)

12
Making Comparison Shopping Hard
  • Limit store hours
  • Do not readily supply price information
  • Make it pointless
  • guarantee lowest price
  • meeting competition clauses

13
Avoiding the Trap Method 4 Raise switching
costs
Switching Costs
  • Suppose consumers pay a switching cost if buy
    from a different firm than they did before.
  • Examples Frequent-flier programs, modifications
    to adapt existing material to new product, etc.
  • Now to steal business, must lower price more than
    just a bit -- must lower it enough that consumers
    willing to switch
  • This lessens downward pressure on price.

14
Method 5 Product Differentiation
  • By causing to consumers to base their decision on
    something other than price, you lessen price
    competition.
  • Driving, not football!

15
Yes
16
No
17
Another game
  • In this experiment, you need to decide where to
    locate in a differentiated market.
  • The market works as follows
  • Consumers are located on a number line from 1 to
    31.
  • There is one consumer at each location.
  • Every consumer will pay 1 to buy one unit of the
    product, but only from the nearest store.
  • If there is a tie, then a consumer buys
    fractional units from all the equally distant
    stores.

18
Rules continued
  • A monopolist can locate anywhere and make 63
    because all consumers will buy from the
    monopolist and pay 1 each.
  • Costs Entry costs 5 and unit cost is 0.
  • I will invite people (as individuals or teams of
    3 or fewer) to enter.
  • You must choose a location that is a counting
    number between 1 and 63 inclusive (i.e., 3.5 is
    not a valid location).
  • When people cease to be willing to enter, I will
    collect the entry fees and return profits
    according to location.

19
Where to Locate
  • You want to locate far-away from your
    rivalsdriving not football.
  • Caveats
  • If population is concentrated in one place, may
    need to get close to that place.
  • When entering, sometimes pays to enter where the
    trade is (e.g., near other restaurants).

20
Where to locate (continued )
  • Note that product differentiation is not a
    panacea if there is no market discipline.
  • Brand proliferation.
  • If cant block entry or emulation.

21
A repeated Game
22
Rules
  • Repeat the game until a one or two thrown.

23
Conclusions
  • You can avoid the Bertrand Trap if
  • You can achieve a cost advantage (Method 1)
  • You can limit capacity (Method 2)
  • You can raise search costs (Method 3)
  • You can raise switching costs (Method 4)
  • You can differentiate your product (Method 5)
  • You dont play myopically (Method 6)
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