First African HDR: Outline

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First African HDR Outline

• Michael Chege
• Nairobi, September 24-26th 2007
• UNDP Workshop

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Africa Compared to Other Developing Regions
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HDI Inter-Country Variation Set 1
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HDIIntercountry Variation Set-2
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SEAsia Left Africa Behind. But Inter-African GDP
Performance Varies

• Highest Non-oil Performers70-79
• Botswana-15
• Cameroon-7
• Seychelles-7.7
• Kenya-7
• Cote dIvoire-7.6

• Highest Non-oil Performers 1990-03
• Mozambique-6.6
• Cape Verde-5.7
• Uganda-6.7
• Benin-5

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Varied GNP per capita growth

• 1970-79
• Botswana 11.1
• Lesotho 7.5
• Seychelles 5.6
• Cameroon 4.1
• Kenya 3.1
• East Asia 4.2

• 1990-2003
• Mozambique 4.2
• Mauritius 4.0
• Uganda 3.7
• Cape Verde 3.1
• East Asia 6.4

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Within-country Variations

• Regional HDI Vary from Region to
• Region
• West Africa N vs S
• Eastern Africa
• Southern Africa
• Evidence from National HDRs

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Proposed Chapters

• 1.Africa compared i) Historical evolution ii)
  With other regions iii) Africa compared with
  Africa. Lessons.
  
• 2. Empirical Evidence on Institutional
  Performance
  
• 3. Proximate Causes i) Leadership/ideas
  political instability and bad governance poor
  management of ethnic diversity wrong economics
  low institutional capacity deference to donors.
  Resulthuge diversities.
• 3. Solutions in diversity of policies the
  reality of staggered development
  
• 4. Rising to the challenge the developmental
  state rising to the challenge of
  globalization--competitiveness.
  
• 5. Rising to the challenge international policy
  agendaaid technical assistance trade and
  development.