Energy Statistics

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Energy Statistics BhutanStatistics and
Forecast Products Recommendation

• Mark Rodekohr and Workshop Participants
• (Based on an earlier presentation by Dechen
  Wangmo, Bhutan DOE)

Bhutan January 2005 South Asia Regional
Initiative - Energy
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Importance of Energy Statistics

• Resource utilization, investment and consumption
  decisions require accurate and timely
  information/data.
• For the countries of South Asian region, the
  governments need a lot of information for
  planning purpose for example either
  under-building or overbuilding electric
  generation and transmission systems can and have
  had severe economic consequences.
• Prospective investors need to know about the
  potential size and institutional characteristics
  of energy markets.

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Who needs data?

• Government (Central, State, Local Bodies)
• Existing or potential entities engaged in doing
  business in the sectors.
• Financial Institutions
• Investors
• Academics
• NGOs / Consultants
• Media (Journalists due to their ability to
  communicate with the general public)
• Multilateral/ Bilateral Agencies
• Energy Bulk Suppliers / Retailers

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How would they use it?

• Government Planning for resource utilization,
  investment, tax regulations etc.
• Business investment, production, pricing
  decisions
• Foreign Investors, Multilateral Institutions
  Lending
• Academics research work

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Bhutan Energy Data Users

• Planning commission
• Ministry of Finance-Arrange fund
• Ministry of Trade Industry-decide export
  import issues
• Researchers/Consultants
• Investors
• Private Firms

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Bhutan Background

• Current electricity consumers - Around 36,000
• Towns electrified - 40
• Villages electrified - 552
• Total estimated households - 1,00,000
• Rural households - Over 65,000
• Current priority - Rural electrification

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Status of Transmission Distribution Lines

• 220 kV - 71 km d/c, 87.69 km s/c
• 132 kV 262.33 km
• 66 kV - 234.77 km
• 33 kV - 248 km
• 11 kV (OH) - 954 km
• 11 kV (UG) - 15 km
• 6.6 kV - 89 km
• 400/230 V (OH) - 1108 km
• 400/230 V (UG) - 45 km

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Future Power Programme

• As per Vision 2020 Document
• Electricity for all.
• 3000 MW additional hydroelectric power generation
  capacity.

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9th Five Year Plan(2003-2007)

• To electrify 15,000 households(for detail info.
  see map-3)
• Feasibility study for large hydropower plants
• Punatsangchhu stage II-650 MW
• Daglai Project-608MW
• Kolongchhu Project-290MW

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Bhutan Existing Energy Data

• Types of energy produced-
• -Hydroelectric.426.858 MW
• -Diesel Power..17.078 MW
• -Solar75 KW
• Types of energy consumed-
• -Electricity.Lighting,Cooking heating
• -BiomassCooking heating
• -LPG.Cooking lighting
• -Kerosine..Cooking, lighting heating

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Bhutan Data Collection

• Collected at different supply sections
  submitted to Head Quarter for annual
  compilation-Power data book
• Inaccuracy in data-due to man made errors in
  collection, data entry, defective instruments.

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Energy Data Analysis

• Short term forecasting.energy forecast for
  2003-2007 is 12 per annum
• Bhutan Electricity Authority (BEA) regulates the
  power sector issues

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Energy Data Checklist
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Key statistical parameters

• Resources (by energy types)
• Production, Import and Export
• Demand (by consumer categories)
• Prices
• Investment
• Tax related information

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Availability

• Dispersed sources.
• Mostly available in print format. (some priced
  and some non-priced)
• Availability of current information on the web is
  improving but the lack of a central energy
  statistics agency makes it difficult to find.

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Example Google Search
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Action Plan Statistics - Bhutan

• Identify data needs by different interest groups.
• Develop standard formats for reporting data.
• Develop uniform quality standards for data
  collection and publication (this may exist).
• Coordination among agencies in collecting and
  reporting of data.
• Move quickly to convert from hard to soft format.
• Need to build and maintain time series.
• Regular updates estimation of missing data.

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Action Plan Produce a Comprehensive Publicly
Available Database (Consider Sri Lanka Example)
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Action Plan Statistics - Bhutan

• Develop a comprehensive short-term (1 to 3)
  forecasting system to aid policy makers at all
  levels of government in planning and analysis.
• Review existing longer term projections for
  accuracy. Make sure projections that are plans
  are clearly labeled as such.

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Action Plan Regional (SARI)

• Identify a set of parameters across various
  sectors Oil Gas, Power, Coal
  Non-commercial.
• Compile data to build time series and update
  these regular basis.
• Identify nodal institutions to do the exercise.
• Disseminate through sari web site.
• This effort could be similar to what the
  International Energy Agency does for its member
  countries.