Population Trends in OECD countries

1
Population Trends
in OECD countries

• 8th Session of the Working Party on Territorial
  Indicators
• International Workshop on Territorial Indicators
• Lisbon, 31 May 1 June 2004
• OCHIAI Mototsugu
• Rural Development Policy Commission
• JAPAN

2
Objectives

• Identify population trends in OECD member
  countries
• Examine Japanese population trends in detail

3
Population trendsin OECD member countries

• Total population and density
• in each
  country
• Population rate of increase
• Population by age group

4
Total population in memberscountries
5
Population densityin OECD countries
6
Population rate of increase
7
Population trend by age group

• 0-14 years old
• over 65 years old

8
Population rate for 0-14 years old age group
9
Population ratefor over 65 years age group
10
Population trendby territorial typology

• Population rate of increase
• Urban gt Intermediate gt Rural
• .
  12 countries
• Rural regions have the highest rate
• . 2
  countries

11
Aging by territorial typology

• Population rate over 65
• Rural regions have the highest rate
• 
  . 11 countries
• Spain, Portugal, Japan, France, Sweden,
• Norway, Denmark, Slovak Republic,
• Canada, Greece, Mexico

12
Aging by territorial typology

• Population rate over 65
• urban lt intermediate lt rural . 8 countries

13
Population trend in JAPAN

• Total population trend
• TL3 regions population trend for all age group
  and for all kinds of territorial typology
• TL4 regions population trend for some TL3
  regions

14
Total population of Japan
15
Japan total population- age group -
16
TL3 regions population

• Trend in TL3 regions population
• Population 14 years and younger
• Population 65 years and older
• Population between 15 and 64 years old

17
Trend in TL3 regions population
18
Population 14 years and youngerin 1980 and 2000
Ratio of population 14 years and younger in 1980
Ratio of population 14 years and younger in 2000
19
Average ratio of population 14 years and younger
in 1980 and 2000
20
Population 65 years and olderin 1980 and 2000
Ratio of population 65 years and older in 1980
Ratio of population 65 years and older in 2000
21
Average ratio of population over 65 years old in
1980 and 2000
22
Population between 15 and 64years old in 1980
and 2000
Ratio of population between 15 and 64 years old
in 1980
Ratio of population between 15 and 64 years old
in 2000
23
Average ratio of population between 15 and 64
years old in 1980 and 2000
24
Population trend in Japan

• Disparity between urban and rural regions is ever
  widening.
• The aging of the population and the decrease in
  the number of children have advanced and continue
  to do so.
• Aging has advanced more in rural regions than in
  urban regions.
• Over the last two decades, there has been a
  major transition in the age structure.

25
Inside TL3 regions- TL4 regions population
trend -
TL3 regions in Japan
26
TL3 Urban region- TOKYO -urban-center region
27
TL3 Urban region- Kanagawa -adjacent-urban
region
28
TL3 Urban region- Fukuoka -local-center region
29
TL3 Intermediate region- Miyagi -local-center
region
30
TL3 Intermediate region- Tokushima -rural-type
region
31
TL3 Rural region- Akita -rural-type region
32
Different features in similar regions in Japan

• Urban regions defined by WPTI
• urban-center
• adjacent urban
• local-center
• 2) Intermediate regions
• local-center
• rural-type
• 3) Rural regions
• rural-type