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Risk management and stock value maximization.

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Title: Risk management and stock value maximization.


1
CHAPTER 23Derivatives and Risk Management
  • Risk management and stock value maximization.
  • Derivative securities.
  • Fundamentals of risk management.
  • Using derivatives to reduce interest rate risk.

2
Do stockholders care about volatile cash flows?
  • If volatility in cash flows is not caused by
    systematic risk, then stockholders can eliminate
    the risk of volatile cash flows by diversifying
    their portfolios.
  • Stockholders might be able to reduce impact of
    volatile cash flows by using risk management
    techniques in their own portfolios.

3
How can risk management increase the value of a
corporation?
  • Risk management allows firms to
  • Have greater debt capacity, which has a larger
    tax shield of interest payments.
  • Implement the optimal capital budget without
    having to raise external equity in years that
    would have had low cash flow due to volatility.

(More...)
4
  • Risk management allows firms to
  • Avoid costs of financial distress.
  • Weakened relationships with suppliers.
  • Loss of potential customers.
  • Distractions to managers.
  • Utilize comparative advantage in hedging relative
    to hedging ability of investors.

(More...)
5
  • Risk management allows firms to
  • Reduce borrowing costs by using interest rate
    swaps.
  • Example Two firms with different credit
    ratings, Hi and Lo
  • Hi can borrow fixed at 11 and floating at LIBOR
    1.
  • Lo can borrow fixed at 11.4 and floating at
    LIBOR 1.5.

(More...)
6
  • Hi wants fixed rate, but it will issue floating
    and swap with Lo. Lo wants floating rate, but
    it will issue fixed and swap with Hi. Lo also
    makes side payment of 0.45 to Hi.
  • CF to lender -(LIBOR1) -11.40
  • CF Hi to Lo -11.40 11.40
  • CF Lo to Hi (LIBOR1) -(LIBOR1)
  • CF Lo to Hi 0.45 -0.45
  • Net CF -10.95 -(LIBOR1.45)

(More...)
7
  • Risk management allows firms to
  • Minimize negative tax effects due to convexity in
    tax code.
  • Example EBT of 50K in Years 1 and 2,
    total EBT of 100K,
  • Tax 7.5K each year, total tax of 15.
  • EBT of 0K in Year 1 and 100K in Year 2,
  • Tax 0K in Year 1 and 22.5K in Year 2.

8
What is corporate risk management?
  • Corporate risk management is the management of
    unpredictable events that would have adverse
    consequences for the firm.

9
Definitions of Different Types of Risk
  • Speculative risks Those that offer the chance
    of a gain as well as a loss.
  • Pure risks Those that offer only the prospect
    of a loss.
  • Demand risks Those associated with the demand
    for a firms products or services.
  • Input risks Those associated with a firms
    input costs.

(More...)
10
  • Financial risks Those that result from
    financial transactions.
  • Property risks Those associated with loss of a
    firms productive assets.
  • Personnel risk Risks that result from human
    actions.
  • Environmental risk Risk associated with
    polluting the environment.
  • Liability risks Connected with product,
    service, or employee liability.
  • Insurable risks Those which typically can be
    covered by insurance.

11
What are the three steps of corporate risk
management?
  • Step 1. Identify the risks faced by the firm.
  • Step 2. Measure the potential impact of the
    identified risks.
  • Step 3. Decide how each relevant risk should be
    dealt with.

12
What are some actions that companies can take to
minimize or reduce risk exposures?
  • Transfer risk to an insurance company by paying
    periodic premiums.
  • Transfer functions which produce risk to third
    parties.
  • Purchase derivatives contracts to reduce input
    and financial risks.

(More...)
13
  • Take actions to reduce the probability of
    occurrence of adverse events.
  • Take actions to reduce the magnitude of the loss
    associated with adverse events.
  • Avoid the activities that give rise to risk.

14
What is a financial risk exposure?
  • Financial risk exposure refers to the risk
    inherent in the financial markets due to price
    fluctuations.
  • Example A firm holds a portfolio of bonds,
    interest rates rise, and the value of the bonds
    falls.

15
Financial Risk Management Concepts
  • Derivative Security whose value stems or is
    derived from the value of other assets. Swaps,
    options, and futures are used to manage financial
    risk exposures.
  • Futures Contracts which call for the purchase
    or sale of a financial (or real) asset at some
    future date, but at a price determined today.
    Futures (and other derivatives) can be used
    either as highly leveraged speculations or to
    hedge and thus reduce risk.

(More...)
16
  • Hedging Generally conducted where a price
    change could negatively affect a firms profits.
  • Long hedge Involves the purchase of a futures
    contract to guard against a price increase.
  • Short hedge Involves the sale of a futures
    contract to protect against a price decline in
    commodities or financial securities.

(More...)
17
  • Swaps Involve the exchange of cash payment
    obligations between two parties, usually because
    each party prefers the terms of the others debt
    contract. Swaps can reduce each partys
    financial risk.

18
How can commodity futures markets be used to
reduce input price risk?
  • The purchase of a commodity futures contract
    will allow a firm to make a future purchase of
    the input at todays price, even if the market
    price on the item has risen substantially in the
    interim.

19
Chapter 23 ExtensionInsurance and Bond
PortfolioRisk Management
  • Risk identification and measurement
  • Property loss, liability loss, and financial loss
    exposures
  • Bond portfolio risk management

20
How are risk exposures identified and measured?
  • Large corporations have risk manage-ment
    personnel which have the responsibility to
    identify and measure risks facing the firm.
  • Checklists are used to identify risks.
  • Small firms can obtain risk manage-ment services
    from insurance companies or risk management
    consulting firms.

21
Describe (1) property loss and (2) liability
loss exposures.
  • Property loss exposures Result from various
    perils which threaten a firms real and personal
    properties.
  • Physical perils Natural events
  • Social perils Related to human actions
  • Economic perils Stem from external economic
    events

22
  • Liability loss exposures Result from penalties
    imposed when responsi-bilities are not met.
  • Bailee exposure Risks associated with having
    temporary possession of anothers property while
    some service is being performed. (Cleaners ruin
    your new suit.)
  • Ownership exposure Risks inherent in the
    ownership of property. (Customer is injured from
    fall in store.)

23
  • Business operation exposure Risks arising from
    business practices or operations. (Airline sued
    following crash.)
  • Professional liability exposure Stems from the
    risks inherent in professions requiring advanced
    training and licensing. (Doctor sued when
    patient dies, or accounting firm sued for not
    detecting overstated profits.)

24
What actions can companies taketo reduce
property andliability exposures?
  • Both property and liability exposures can be
    accommodated by either self-insurance or passing
    the risk on to an insurance company.
  • The more risk passed on to an insurer, the higher
    the cost of the policy. Insurers like high
    deductibles, both to lower their losses and to
    reduce moral hazard.

25
How can diversification reduce business risk?
  • By appropriately spreading business risk over
    several activities or operations, the firm can
    significantly reduce the impact of a single
    random event on corporate performance.
  • Examples Geographic and product diversification.

26
What is a financial risk exposure?
  • Financial risk exposure refers to the risk
    inherent in the financial markets due to price
    fluctuations.
  • Example A firm holds a portfolio of bonds,
    interest rates rise, and the value of the bonds
    falls.

27
Financial risk management concepts
  • Duration Average time to bondholders' receipt of
    cash flows, including interest and principal
    repayment. Duration is used to help assess
    interest rate and reinvestment rate risks.
  • Immunization Process of selecting durations for
    bonds in a portfolio such that gains or losses
    from reinvestment exactly match gains or losses
    from price changes.
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