Yaqui Valley Land-Water System

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(No Transcript)
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Yaqui Valley Land-Water System
Climate ? (sea level, precip)
Banks Credit
Market ?
Technology ?
Energy ?
Water Demand ? (outside)
Water
Agriculture
Aquaculture
Wetlands
Urban
Estuaries Fisheries
Industry
Fisheries Marine
Note institutions for each , but no
institutions for integrated system
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Vulnerability of the human-environment system

• Responding to
• Climate change and weather variability
• Global Markets
• Fluctuation of Peso
• Demographic shifts
• urbanization
• out-migration
• sea level rise

• Concern about
• Employment
• Economic Status
• Yields and Profits
• Water availability
• Water/Air quality
• Human health
• Conservation of wetlands, marine
• Recreation/Tourism

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Research Questions

• What drives change in the agricultural sector and
  what are the consequences for livelihoods and
  environment?
• Who is most vulnerable to external forcings?
• What role does diversification play, and who can
  do it and under what conditions?
• What are the effects of policy changes?
• What are the trends in fertilizer use and why?
  Technological options?
• How do innovations become adopted?

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Research Questions

• How vulnerable is the water resource, and how
  might it be used and allocated more efficiently
  for sustainable use?
• How can management and allocation approaches
  reduce vulnerability?
• What role does diversification play? What is the
  potential for changes in crops and management?
• How do drought and related changes in water
  allocation interact with soil salinity and
  degradation potential? Who is most vulnerable?

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Research Questions

• What are the fundamental characteristics and
  processes of the coastal zone systems, and how
  are they being altered?
• How do the estuaries work?
• What is the relationship between nutrient loading
  or hydrologic changes due to upland activities
  and processes within the estuaries?
• What are the dynamics of land use change in the
  coastal system?
• What drives change in the coastal zone? Who are
  the players, and what are the linkages to the
  uplands and the sea?

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The science-policy-action continuum

• How do we make our research useful?
• Design research for application in problem
  solving
• Develop decision rules and other tools
• Outreach and communication
• Influence policy

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New Proposals

• NASA - remote sensing focused (pending)
• NOAA - decision support (funded)
• NSF - controls on marine processes (submit in
  Oct)
• ???

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Project Design Yaqui Valley

• How should we evolve in order to make the
  science-policy-action continuum more effective?
• Build the Team
• Decision makers
• Officials (multi-level)
• Stakeholders from each box (farmers, fishers,
  industry owners, etc)
• Researchers
• Modeling (how to go from simple to complex, or
  vice versa?)
• Field-scale analysis
• Monitoring
• Local/national institutions
• Incorporate Education
• Link the multiple institutions
• Research
• Communication, outreach, information transfer

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Figure 3. SUST Vulnerability Framework Complex
New System?
Coupled System
System Responses
Socioeconomic Conditions
Perturbations Stresses environmental
socioeocnomic kinds sequencing
Exposure
Adjustments Adaptations
? Risks impacts
Biophysical conditions
Exposure
Resilience
Sensitivity
Resilience
Temporal and spatial dynamics omitted