The International MANPADS Scenario

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• The International MANPADS Scenario

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SA-14 fired at DHL cargo plane near Baghdad
airport, November 2003

• The MANPADS Threat

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• A manpad used against an airliner is not a
  hit-to-kill weapon it is more like a
  launch-to-scare weaponThere isn't a current and
  qualified airline crew that could not handle an
  inflight emergency regarding any...hit by a
  manpad.- Letter to the Editor,
• Aviation Week Space Technology

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• Launch to Scare?

DHL A300 hit by a MANPADS near Baghdad
International Airport, Nov. 2003
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MANPADS Proliferation
Source Defense Intelligence Agency
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MANPADS Proliferation Non-Govt

• 1000s acquired by non-state actors
• 1996-2001 acquistion by NSAs 14 confirmed, 27
  reported
• FAS Study illicit MANPADS activity in at least
  17 countries (mid-2001-mid-2007)

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(No Transcript)
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MANPADS in Iraq

• Hundreds, possibly thousands, of MANPADS outside
  of government control
• Sources Saddams stockpiles, external

One of 188 SA-7 missiles turned in by an Iraqi
Civilian in October 2003
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MANPADS in Iraq
British Lynx helicopter hit by a MANPADS near
Basra, 6 May 2006
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Recent Reports

• 100 Igla missiles available immediately to
  Viktor Bout
• 30 shoulder-fired, surface-to-air missiles
  found in arms cache near Gaza.

SA-18 Igla
SA-16 Igla-1
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Conclusion

• MANPADS pose threat to all aircraft, although
  some are more vulnerable than others
• MANPADS have proliferated widely, including to
  many non-state groups
• Terrorists and insurgents worldwide continue to
  acquire and use MANPADS

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Questions?