Title: FFT Live Guidance
1FFT LIVE AN INTERACTIVE GUIDE TO KS4/5 SUBJECT
ESTIMATES
How do I use the interactive guide? This guide
provides information on some of the reports and
features of FFT Live, FFTs online reporting
system for schools and Local Authorities. By
clicking on the boxes and using the navigation
tools at the bottom right hand side of the screen
you can view individual guidance for the specific
report or area of FFT Live that wish to use. To
use the interactive features in this guide you
will need to view the slides as a slide show
(click ViewSlideShow from the pull-down menu
at the top of the screen or click
F5). Alternatively, view all the guidance by
simply clicking on the navigation tools or
pressing page up or page down on your
keyboard. How can I access the actual reports
for my school or LA? The reports are available
at https//www.fftlive.org. You will require a
username and password which are available from
your LA FFT contact. Further Information If you
would like further information on any aspect of
Fischer Family Trust then please visit our
website at www.fischertrust.org. Menu
buttons
KS5 Subject Estimates
KS4 Subject Estimates
Return to main menu
FFT Live Technical Issues
Logging in to FFT Live
Previous/next slide
2Logging in to FFT Live
1
- Login to the website at
- https//www.fftlive.org
- 2. Enter your username and password in the
relevant boxes. - If you do not have a username and password or a
problem occurs when entering your details then
you should contact your LA.
3USING FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Group
Estimates
How do I use the KS4 estimates interactive
guide? This part of the guidance provides
information on the FFT KS4 Subject Group Estimate
reports and features of FFT Live, FFTs online
reporting system for schools and Local
Authorities. By clicking on the boxes and using
the navigation tools at the bottom right hand
side of the screen you can view individual
guidance for the specific report or area of FFT
Live that wish to use. Alternatively, view all
the KS4 guidance by simply clicking on the
navigation tools or pressing page up or page
down on your keyboard. How can I access the
reports? The reports are available at
https//www.fftlive.org. You will require a
username and password which are available from
your LA FFT contact. Further Information If you
would like further information on the statistical
methodologies used in these reports then a
companion FFT factsheet is available in the
downloads section at www.fischertrust.org.
Overview/Methodology
Logging in/Basic Options
Using reports with students (Important Please
read)
Individual Subject Reports (all pupils)
Subject Group Details
Individual Pupil Reports (all subject areas)
Click a window to view guidance
4Using KS4 Reports with pupils (1)
- Using reports appropriately and effectively
- Probabilities are included for all grades from
A-G - The colour coding shows the most likely grades
within the top 5,10,15, 20 or 25 (as selected by
the user) in green and the grade with the highest
probability in orange. - When looking at potential progress for individual
students (or a group of students) the estimates
and colour coding can be used to support the
process of target setting but should not take the
place of target setting. - Take the example of Evan Almond to the left.
Think for a moment about what the information is
telling you. Whilst his highest probability grade
in English is a B (39 and highlighted in
orange), the estimates are telling you that last
year, 24 of similar students (nearly 1 in 4) who
passed English attained an A or A grade (shaded
green as these grades are within the top 25).
With support, could Evan be one of those 4 or
could he actually attain a A/A grade quite
easily? Its rarely as simple as just using the
highest probability or most likely grade! - The data shows that theres a chance that Evan
may be able to attain far more but what other
questions would you need to consider when setting
a target for Evan? - What do you think Evan could achieve?
- What have similar pupils in your school achieved
in the past? - What are your aspirations? What are Evans
aspirations? - What other data is available to help you set an
ambitious but appropriate target for Evan? - What additional work would Evan need to do to
achieve an A/A grade? - What additional resources would be required to
ensure that Evan (and similar pupils) had a
chance of achieving an A/A grade in English? - Remember, use the reports ALONGSIDE other data,
your own professional judgement and aspirations
AND THE ASPIRATIONS OF YOUNG PEOPLE THEMSELVES!
If you make average progress, you might get
a. Lets look at the range of grades achieved by
similar students last year what will you aim to
achieve?
5Using KS4 Reports with pupils (2)
Using reports appropriately and effectively Using
Estimates based on KS2 or KS3? You can produce
KS4 estimates based on KS2 or KS3 prior
attainment. In some cases these may vary
considerably for example, if a pupil has made
excellent progress between KS2 and KS3, their
KS3-4 estimates may be much higher than their
KS2-4 estimates to reflect this progress. In
such cases, it may be sensible to review, revise
or set targets using the KS3-4 estimates as a
starting point for discussions, backed up by
other available data and professional
judgement. However, care should be taken where
progress between KS2 and KS3 has been low. In
such cases, there might be a temptation to lower
expectations. Alternative, more positive
responses, might be in the past, has it been a
general pattern in our school that students have
made lower than average progress from KS2 to KS3
but KS3 to KS4 has been much better than
average? or how can we intervene to get things
back on track?. Remember also that estimates and
predictions are not the same as targets. Targets
should be aspirational with some built in
challenge. Subject Groups The guidance
emphasises the importance of using estimates to
support the process of target setting alongside
other data. This is particularly important when
using KS4 subject group estimates. We know, for
example, that in subject areas such as PE or
Creative Arts, pupils may have specific aptitudes
or skills. In such cases estimates maybe less
relevant and your own professional judgement and
common sense should be used alongside the data.
Also, subject groups are just that subject
groups! They are not estimates for individual
subjects or examination boards. Again, you
should you use your own professional judgment
alongside other data when using the estimates.
How accurate/relevant have the estimates been in
the past for YOUR pupils? Remember, use the
reports ALONGSIDE other data, your own
professional judgement and aspirations AND THE
ASPIRATIONS OF YOUNG PEOPLE THEMSELVES!
If you make average progress, you might get
a. Lets look at the range of grades achieved by
similar students last year what will you aim to
achieve?
6FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Group Estimates
Overview
- Overview
- FFT have developed a suite of online KS4 reports
which include pupil level estimates for a range
of KS4 GCSE subject areas. - Unlike previous FFT reports which have included a
single estimated grade, all estimates are shown
as probabilties or chances i.e. the
probability of achieving an individual grade
(A-G), the probability of achieving an A-C grade
or the probability of passing a particular exam. - The estimates are based on national KS2-4 and
KS3-4 progress in the previous year and use the
familiar FFT underlying principle - if a young person (or group of young people)
make the same progress as similar pupils did last
year then their estimated chance of achieving a
particular grade(s) is - Whilst FFT estimates data can be used to support
the process of target setting and progression, it
is, of course, just one piece of information
which should be used alongside other data and a
teachers own professional judgement. - How can these slides help me?
- These slides provide an overview of the main
features of the KS4 online reports. They will - Give you information on the basic methodology
used in the reports - Show you how to login and navigate around the
reports including how to export reports - Provide an explanation of each individual report
and the various menus and terms used in the
reports - Provide you with information on how the reports
can be used most effectively with young people.
7Key Stage 4 Subject Group Estimates Basic
methodology
- The essential things you need to know
- The estimates are based on national datasets and
look at the historical progress made by students
between KS2-4 and KS3-4. - There are 4 basic inputs used in the model to
estimate future GCSE attainment. - These are
- KS2/3 Test and TA prior attainment
- Subject differences at KS2/3
- Gender
- Month of birth
- Which estimate models are used
- 2 models are currently used in the reports
- Type A (based on prior attainment, month of
birth and gender) - Type B (based on prior attainment, month of
birth, gender and school context)
8Key Stage 4 Subject Group Estimates Basic
methodology
- Where does the pupil data come from and how often
is it updated? - The data is based on the information provided by
schools in the school census supplemented with
individual pupil test and TA data at KS2 and 3.
During the year, estimates will be updated to
take account of new starters/leavers in schools
although updates will always lag a term behind
each census e.g. updated estimates based on the
September census wouldnt be available until the
following Spring term. As estimates are based on
the previous years national progress, estimates
for ALL pupils are also updated once a year. - Why dont the A-G estimates add up to the pass
estimate? - This relates to the way in which fails are
treated. If U and X grades are treated as
fails and included in estimates along with all
pass grades this causes various issues including - Fail grades can result from a variety of
situations and can, therefore, have different
meanings. They are a small proportion of the
total. - Including fails along with other grades in the
estimates also means that, where historically
value added is low, it is not always easy to know
whether this resulted from a high proportion of
fails or whether it was a consequence of low
progress. - In the current FFT KS4 estimate reports we have
resolved these issues by undertaking TWO
calculations one for the Pass Rate which
includes the possibility of failure and a more
aspirational A-G grade estimate based on the
national progress of only those students who
previously passed a KS4 or equivalent exam. This
provides both a realistic view of the probability
of passing an exam and a more aspirational set of
data for setting A-G targets for young people.
It also means that the accuracy of analyses for
lower attaining students is improved. - How are 0 and 100 probabilities treated?
- Probabilities are never shown as 0 or 100.
Instead, minimum and maximum probabilities are
set at 1 and 99. This is to avoid the
situation whereby pupils appear to have no chance
of achieving a particular grade or are 100
certainties to achieve a particular grade(s).
This rounding may also mean that overall A-C and
A-G rates may not add up to their individual
grade probabilities.
9Step 1 Logging in and selecting a Key Stage 4
Estimates Report
1
2
- Login to the website at
- https//www.fftlive.org
- 2. Enter your username and password in the
relevant boxes. - If you do not have a username and password or a
problem occurs when entering your details then
you should contact your LA.
3. Click one of the three Key Stage 4 reports to
access the KS4 estimates. PUP Individual KS4
subject group estimates for pupils. Reports are
available for an individual pupil (all subject
areas) or for an individual subject area (all
pupils).
10Basic Menu Options for KS4 Subject Group Estimate
Reports
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25.
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range).
Click Select Pupil to view estimates for an
individual pupil
Click to select Year GroupY12Y14
Click to return to the main Home page
Click to logout completely.
Each time you make a change to a report click the
View Report button (on the far right hand side of
the screen) to view the changes.
Click to move forward to the next page of a
report (if available)
Click to return to the parent report.
Choose an export option and click Export to
create an export file. See following slide for
more details.
Click Select Group to view All subject groups or
individual groups AD (Art Design)
CA (Creative Arts)
EN (English) GE
(Geography) HI
(History) HU
(Other Humanities) IT (ICT)
LA (Modern Foreign
Languages) MA (Mathematics)
PE (Physical Education) SC
(Science) TE
(Design Technology) CY (Welsh)
- Click Select Model to view
- Type A estimates (based on prior attainment,
gender and month of birth) - b) Type B estimates (based on prior attainment,
gender, month of birth and school context)
- Click From KS to view
- KS4 estimates based on KS2 prior attainment
- b) KS4 estimates based on KS3 prior attainment
11Exporting a report
- Exporting Reports
- Once youve chosen the report you wish to export
simply click on the pull down menu (as
illustrated) and select an export format. - When youve selected a format, the word Export
will now appear in blue (next to the pull down
menu). Click Export. - You will now be given the option to open or save
your export file. - The final export will include all available
pages, not just the part you can see on the
screen. In most cases, we would recommend that
you use - a) the pdf option if you wish to provide a
printable file b) the excel/csv
options if you wish to access the actual data.
12Step 2 Drilling down KS4 Pupil Estimates
(all subjects)
A-G grade estimates All reports show estimates
for each individual grade from A to G. In this
example, Evan Almond has a 26 chance of
achieving a grade C and a 39 chance of achieving
a grade C in the English subject group. The A
and B grades are highlighted in Green because
they are within the top 25. The C grade is
shown in orange indicating the highest
probability grade (39). A-G estimates will
usually, but not always, add up to 100 (see
below for details) A-C combined
estimate Calculated by simply adding the
individual A, B and C subject probabilities
together. If the figures do not match exactly
this will be due to a) rounding, or b) minimum
and maximum probabilities are set at 1 and 99.
This is to avoid the situation whereby pupils
appear to have no chance of achieving a
particular grade or are 100 certainties to
achieve a particular grade(s).
Select Group Click to select an individual
subject area showing estimates for all pupils.
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range)
Click From KS to view estimates based on KS2 or
KS3 prior attainment
Click Select Model to view Type A (based on prior
attainment, gender and month of birth) or Type B
estimates (based on prior attainment, gender,
month of birth and school context)
Pass The percentage chance of passing a
subject. This is not simply derived from adding
the A-G estimates. Instead it is a separate
calculation which does build in the chance of
failing a subject. It should be used alongside
the A-G and A-C estimates to potentially give a
more realistic view of likely performance in a
subject.
Coloured boxes (Linked to Highlight options
above) Green highlight - shows a grade range or
single grade (user option) that is within the TOP
5,10,15,20 or 25 (user option) Orange
highlight shows the grade with the highest
probability (orange).
13Step 3 Drilling down KS4 Subject Estimates
(all pupils)
A-G grade estimates All reports show estimates
for each individual grade from A to G. In this
example, Evan Almond has a 26 chance of
achieving a grade C and a 39 chance of achieving
a grade C in the English subject group. The A
and B grades are highlighted in Green because
they are within the top 25. The C grade is
shown in orange indicating the highest
probability grade (39). A-G estimates will
usually, but not always, add up to 100 (see
below for details) A-C combined
estimate Calculated by simply adding the
individual A, B and C subject probabilities
together. If the figures do not match exactly
this will be due to a) rounding, or b) minimum
and maximum probabilities are set at 1 and 99.
This is to avoid the situation whereby pupils
appear to have no chance of achieving a
particular grade or are 100 certainties to
achieve a particular grade(s).
Select Group Click to select an individual
subject area showing estimates for all pupils or
select ALL to view estimates for an individual
pupil.
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range)
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25
Click From KS to view estimates based on KS2 or
KS3 prior attainment
Click Select Model to view Type A (based on prior
attainment, gender and month of birth) or Type B
estimates (based on prior attainment, gender,
month of birth and school context)
Pass The percentage chance of passing a
subject. This is not simply derived from adding
the A-G estimates. Instead it is a separate
calculation which does build in the chance of
failing a subject. It should be used alongside
the A-G and A-C estimates to potentially give a
more realistic view of likely performance in a
subject.
Coloured boxes (Linked to Highlight options
above) Green highlight - shows a grade range or
single grade (user option) that is within the TOP
5,10,15,20 or 25 (user option) Orange
highlight shows the grade with the highest
probability (orange).
14Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
- Why use subject groups?
- Subject groups are used in reports rather than
individual subjects for 2 basic reasons - FFT dont know what KS4 exams pupils are taking
until after they have taken them. - b) There are just too many subjects to produce
individual pupil estimates for every one of them. - So instead, FFT have categorised subjects under
the following 13 groups - If you forget what the subject group
initials stand for then simply place your mouse
pointer over the subject (on the online reports)
and a description will appear!
AD (Art Design) CA (Creative Arts)
EN (English)
GE (Geography)
HI (History)
HU (Other Humanities) IT
(ICT) LA (Modern
Foreign Languages) MA (Mathematics)
PE (Physical Education)
SC (Science) TE (Design
Technology) CY (Welsh)
15FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
16FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
17FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
18FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
19FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
20FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
21FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
22FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
23FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
24FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
25FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
26FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
27FFT LIVE Key Stage 4 Subject Groups
28USING FFT LIVE Key Stage 5 Estimates for schools
How do I use the KS5 estimates interactive
guide? This part of the guidance provides
information on the FFT KS5 Estimate reports and
features of FFT Live, FFTs online reporting
system for schools and Local Authorities. By
clicking on the boxes and using the navigation
tools at the bottom right hand side of the screen
you can view individual guidance for the specific
report or area of FFT Live that wish to
use. Alternatively, view all the KS5 guidance by
simply clicking on the navigation tools or
pressing page up or page down on your
keyboard. How can I access the reports? The
reports are available at https//www.fftlive.org.
You will require a username and password which
are available from your LA FFT contact. Further
Information If you would like further information
on the statistical methodologies used in these
reports then a companion FFT factsheet is
available in the downloads section at
www.fischertrust.org.
Overview/Methodology
Logging in/Basic Options
Using reports with students (Important Please
read)
School Reports
Student Reports
Subject Reports
Click a window to view guidance
29Using KS5 Reports with students
- Using reports appropriately and effectively
- Probabilities are provided for all grades from
A-E - The colour coding shows the most likely grades
within the top 5,10,15, 20 or 25 (as selected by
the user) in green and the grade with the highest
probability in orange. - When looking at potential progress for individual
students (or a group of students) the estimates
and colour coding can be used to support the
process of target setting but shouldnt take the
place of target setting. - Think for a moment about what the information is
telling you. Take the example of Jenna Argon to
the left. Whilst her highest probability grade
in Biology is a D (30 and highlighted in
orange), the estimates are telling you that last
year, 17 of similar students (nearly 1 in 5)
who passed Biology attained an A or B grade
(shaded green as these grades are within the top
25). Also, 43 of similar students achieved an
A-C grade! i.e. it isnt as simple as just using
the highest probability or most likely grade.
- The data shows that theres a chance that Jenna
may be able to attain far more but what other
questions would you need to consider when setting
a target for Jenna? - What do you think Jenna could achieve?
- What have similar pupils in your school achieved
in the past? - What are your aspirations? What are Jennas
aspirations? - What other data is available to help you set an
ambitious but appropriate target for Jenna? - What additional work would Jenna need to do to
achieve an A/B grade? - What additional resources would be required to
ensure that Jenna (and similar pupils) had a
chance of achieving an A/B grade in Biology? - Remember, use the reports ALONGSIDE other data,
your own professional judgement and aspirations
AND THE ASPIRATIONS OF YOUNG PEOPLE THEMSELVES!
30FFT LIVE Key Stage 5 Estimates Overview
- Overview
- FFT have developed a suite of online reports
aimed at post-16 education. The reports, which
cover a wide range of Level 3 examination
courses, provide estimates of future performance
at pupil, subject and school level for Y12-14
students. - All estimates are shown as probabilties or
chances i.e. the probability of achieving a
grade A, B, C, D or E, the probability of
achieving an A-C grade or the probability of
passing a particular exam. - The estimates are based on national KS4-KS5
progress in the previous year and use the
familiar FFT underlying principle - if a young person (or group of young people)
make the same progress as similar pupils did last
year then their estimated chance of achieving a
particular grade(s) is - Whilst FFT estimates data can be used to support
the process of target setting and post-16
progression, it is, of course, just one piece of
information which should be used alongside other
data and a teachers own professional judgement. - How can these slides help me?
- These slides provide an overview of the main
features of the KS5 online reports. They will - Give you information on the basic methodology
used in the reports - Show you how to login and navigate around the
reports including how to export reports - Provide an explanation of each of the 3 reports
(pupil, subject, school) and the various menus
and terms used in the reports - Provide you with information on how the reports
can be used most effectively with young people.
31Key Stage 5 Estimates Basic methodology
- The essential things you need to know
- The estimates are based on national datasets and
look at the historical progress made by students
between KS4 and KS5. At the present time,
estimates are only available for LA schools and
Academies. Estimates are included for Y12, Y13
and Y14 students. - There are 4 basic inputs used in the model to
estimate future progress. These are - KS4 Average Points Score (KS4 APS, based upon
all accredited qualifications) - Number of A/A KS4 passes
- Attainment in the same/similar subject at KS4
- Gender
- How is a KS4 same/similar subject determined?
- The inclusion of a same/similar subject
indicator at KS4 marks a significant difference
between FFT reports and other estimate models.
This is based on the premise that in general, and
other things being equal, a young person who does
well in a particular subject at KS4 is more
likely to do well in the same subject at KS5. - Take, as an example, a pupil studying AS level
Chemistry. What KS4 same/similar subject grade
would be used? - First, if the student had taken KS4 Chemistry
then this grade would be used (same subject)
32Key Stage 5 Estimates Basic methodology
33Key Stage 5 Estimates Basic methodology
- Where does the pupil data come from?
- The data is based on the information provided by
schools in the Autumn school census. The census
contains not only general pupil details but also
the courses that they are currently studying. - Why dont the A-E estimates add up to the pass
estimate? - This relates to the way in which fails are
treated. If U and X grades are treated as
fails and included in estimates along with all
pass grades this causes two issues - Fail grades can result from a variety of
situations and can, therefore, have different
meanings. They are a small proportion of the
total. - For some subjects, particularly at KS4, the mean
prior-attainment of students with U (Ungraded)
results can be higher than that for students with
G or F grades. This affects the accuracy of
analyses for lower-attaining students. - Including fails along with other grades in the
estimates also means that, where historically
value added is low, it is not always easy to know
whether this resulted from a high proportion of
fails or whether it was a consequence of low
progress. - In the current FFT KS5 estimate reports we have
resolved these issues by undertaking TWO
calculations one for the Pass Rate which
includes the possibility of failure and a more
aspirational A-E grade estimate based on the
national progress of only those students who
previously passed their KS5 or equivalent exam.
This provides both a realistic view of the
probability of passing an exam and a more
aspirational set of data for setting A-E targets
for young people. It also means that the
accuracy of analyses for lower attaining
students, particularly at KS4, is improved. - How are 0 and 100 probabilities treated?
34Key Stage 5 Estimates Basic methodology
Which examinations are included in the
analysis? Where applicable, estimates for the
following qualification groups are included in
reports. Please note however, that estimates may
not be available for all subjects (e.g. where
there is a low number of students taking a course
nationally or for new courses where no value
added data is available) Applied GCE Single
Award Applied GCE AS level Applied GCE AS level
Double Award Applied GCE Double Award BTEC
National Award BTEC National Certificate BTEC
National Diploma GCE A level GCE AS
level International Baccalaureate OCR National
Certificate at Level 3 OCR National Diploma at
Level 3 OCR National Extended Diploma at Level
3 Vocational GCE Single Award (VCE A) Vocational
GCE AS Single Award (VCE AS) Vocational GCE
Double Award (VCE DA) How have the equivalent
scores been calculated? The following
equivalence classification system has been
devised by FFT and should not be taken as
representing any form of recognised equivalence.
We would value feedback on the appropriateness of
this approach.
35Step 1 Logging in and selecting a Key Stage 5
Estimates Report
1
2
3. Click one of the three Key Stage 5 reports to
access the KS5 estimates. PUP Individual
estimates for Y12, Y13 and Y14 pupils where
available. SBJ Subject level report showing
estimates for each individual subject along with
individual estimates for students taking that
subject. SCH School level report showing
estimates for all subjects.
- Login to the website at
- https//www.fftlive.org
- 2. Enter your username and password in the
relevant boxes. - If you do not have a username and password or a
problem occurs when entering your details then
you should contact your LA.
36Basic Menu Options for KS5 Reports
Click Pupil Estimates to view a) All pupils b)
only those pupils with KS5 estimates c) those
pupils without estimates
Click to select Year GroupY12Y14
Click to return to the main Home page
Click to logout completely.
Each time you make a change to a report click the
View Report button (on the far right hand side of
the screen) to view the changes.
Click to move forward to the next page of a
report (if available)
Click to return to the parent report.
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25.
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range).
Choose an export option and click Export to
create an export file. See following slide for
more details.
- Click Exam Type to view
- All available exams
- Individual exam types. You can select individual
exam types or multi-select a range of exams by
using the tick boxes
37Exporting a report
- Exporting Reports
- Once youve chosen the report you wish to export
simply click on the pull down menu (as
illustrated) and select an export format. - When youve selected a format, the word Export
will now appear in blue (next to the pull down
menu). Click Export. - You will now be given the option to open or save
your export file. - The final export will include all available
pages, not just the part you can see on the
screen. In most cases, we would recommend that
you use - a) the pdf option if you wish to provide a
printable file b) the excel/csv
options if you wish to access the actual data.
38Step 2 Drilling down - KS5 School Estimates
A-E grade estimates All reports show estimates
for each individual grade from A to E. In this
example, 11 of students are estimated to attain
a Grade C in Biology with 9 estimated to achieve
a Grade B. Nearly half (46) of students are
estimated to achieve an A-C grade. A-E estimates
will usually, but not always, add up to 100 (see
below for details). Make sure you look at the
number of pupils taking an exam. In this case
only 5 pupils are taking Biology! A-C combined
estimate Calculated by simply adding the
individual A, B and C subject probabilities
together. If the figures do not match exactly
this will be due to a) rounding, or b) because
0 probabilities are not shown on reports.
Instead a 1 figure is used. This is to avoid
the situation whereby pupils appear to have no
chance of achieving a particular grade.
Exam/Subject/Pupils The Exam Type, Subject and
Total number of pupils taking the exam are shown
at the top of the report
KS4 APS Average Points Score per subject at KS4
Blank Estimates Where a pupil has no estimates
(e.g. where no matched data is available or where
there is insufficient national exam data) the
pupils background details are still shown.
Click on an individual subject to access all
pupil estimates for that subject.
Total figures for each exam type based on an
average of all pupils in all subjects. They are
shown in both percentage and number format. In
this example, 49 or (46 pupils) are estimated to
attain an A-C grade across all Y13 AS
levels. Total estimates are also shown based on a
national pass rate (which includes the chance of
failing).
Pass The percentage chance of passing a
subject. This is not simply derived from adding
the A-E estimates. Instead it is a separate
calculation which does build in the chance of
failing a subject. It should be used alongside
the A-E and A-C estimates to potentially give a
more realistic view of likely performance in a
subject.
39Step 3 Drilling down - KS5 Subject Estimates
A-E grade estimates All reports show estimates
for each individual grade from A to E. In this
example, Joshua Boron has a 24 chance of
achieving a grade C and a 4 chance of achieving
a grade B in Biology. The A and B grades are
highlighted in Green because they are within the
top 25. The E grade is shown in orange
indicating the highest probability grade (41).
A-E estimates will usually, but not always, add
up to 100 (see below for details) A-C combined
estimate Calculated by simply adding the
individual A, B and C subject probabilities
together. If the figures do not match exactly
this will be due to a) rounding, or b) minimum
and maximum probabilities are set at 1 and 99.
This is to avoid the situation whereby pupils
appear to have no chance of achieving a
particular grade or are 100 certainties to
achieve a particular grade(s).
Year/Exam/Subject The Year Group, Exam Type and
Subject are shown once at the top of the report
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range)
Subject Click to select a different subject. Or
click All to see all subjects
Blank Estimates Where a pupil has no estimates
(e.g. where no matched data is available or where
there is insufficient national exam data) the
pupils background details are still shown.
Click on individual student to see all estimates
for that student
Total figures for each exam type based on an
average of all pupils (with estimates). Shown as
a percentage and as a total number. In this
example, 51 or (6 pupils) are estimated to
attain an A-C grade.
Coloured boxes (Linked to Highlight options
above) Green highlight - shows a grade range or
single grade (user option) that is within the TOP
5,10,15,20 or 25 (user option) Orange
highlight shows the grade with the highest
probability (orange).
40Step 4 Drilling down - KS5 Student Estimates
A-E grade estimates All reports show estimates
for each individual grade from A to E. In this
example, Jenna Argon has a 26 chance of
achieving a grade C and a 15 chance of achieving
a grade B in Biology. The A and B grades are
highlighted in Green because they are within the
top 25. The D grade is shown in orange
indicating the highest probability grade (30).
A-E estimates will usually, but not always, add
up to 100 (see below for details) A-C combined
estimate Calculated by simply adding the
individual A, B and C subject probabilities
together. If the figures do not match exactly
this will be due to a) Rounding, or b) minimum
and maximum probabilities are set at 1 and 99.
This is to avoid the situation whereby pupils
appear to have no chance of achieving a
particular grade or are 100 certainties to
achieve a particular grade(s).
Select Pupil Click to select an individual pupil
or select All to view all pupils.
Highlight Top Select options for colour coding
grades within the top 5-25
Show Highlight As Show top 5-25 performance as
a grade range or a specific grade (lowest grade
within the range)
Blank Estimates Where a pupil has no estimates
(e.g. where no matched data is available or where
there is insufficient national exam data) the
pupils background details are still shown.
Click on an individual subject to access all
pupil estimates for that subject.
Pass The percentage chance of passing a
subject. This is not simply derived from adding
the A-E estimates. Instead it is a separate
calculation which does build in the chance of
failing a subject. It should be used alongside
the A-E and A-C estimates to potentially give a
more realistic view of likely performance in a
subject.
Coloured boxes (Linked to Highlight options
above) Green highlight - shows a grade range or
single grade (user option) that is within the TOP
5,10,15,20 or 25 (user option) Orange
highlight shows the grade with the highest
probability (orange).
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