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Is the State Prepared?
FAA FORECAST - 2030
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Critical Issues

• Funding opportunities are tightening as fuel tax
  revenues and federal budgets decline
• FAA forecasts predict significant increases and
  changes in aviation activity by 2030
• Washington lacks a statewide strategy to ensure
  adequate aviation capacity to accommodate
  predicted growth
• Long-range planning is needed now to make smart,
  targeted investments and to protect our aviation
  system for the future

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Statewide Growth

• WA population has doubled in the last 30 years
  and an additional 2 million are expected by 2025
• Significant growth expected in regions
• Puget Sound 1 million increase
• SW Washington 270,000 increase
• Spokane Area 240,000 increase
• Tri-Cities Area 100,000 increase
• Historically, increases in population result in
  increased aviation activity for business,
  freight, emergency access, public safety and
  recreation

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Puget Sound

• Sea-Tac - may reach capacity by 2021
• Boeing Field operations expected to increase by
  50 over next 20 years
• Paine Field GA operations to increase by 80,000
  in next 20 years

Puget Sound forecasts pop. increase of 1
million in 20 years
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Southwest Washington

• 10-year FAA study revealed need for new regional
  airport in southwest Washington
• One of the regions public-use airports is
  closing
• Pearson Field operations constricted by
  structures
• PDX anticipates need for a 3rd parallel runway
  after 2020

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Spokane

• In 20 years
• Enplaned passengers will nearly double
• Even more dramatic increase expected for air
  cargo
• Demand for larger capacity aircraft i.e. regional
  and business jets

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Tri-Cites

• Forecasted increases in 2020
• Enplaned passengers 137,000
• Annual Operations 27,000
• General aviation expects most growth

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Whats Been Done?

• WSDOT requires ALPs more than 30 will be
  completed in 2005-2007 biennium
• PSRC Flight Plan (1992)
• Build 3rd runway at Sea-Tac
• Develop major supplemental airports Paine
  Field eliminated as preferred alternative
• Major Supplemental Airport Feasibility Study
  (1995)
• Requested that state begin long range air study

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Whats Next?

• Governor authorized Long-term Air Transportation
  Study (LATS) in 2005 to determine current
  capacity and what will be needed to meet future
  demands to 2030.
• Consists of three phases.
• WSDOT formed a technical committee to assist with
  consultant selection, review and provide comment
  on technical papers for Phases I and II, and
  provide input on status reports
• Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has
  authorized 900,000 for the study and
  appropriations are expected on schedule in
  January 2006

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Three Phase Approach
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Planning Council

• Governor will appoint ten member planning council
  to include
• WSDOT Aviation Director
• Director of CTED
• Member of Transportation Commission
• Two members of general public
• FAA technical expert
• Commercial airport operator
• Member of GMA hearings board
• WAMA representative
• Airline representative

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System Plan Overview
Existing AirportConditions andCapacity
FutureFacilityCosts
Future Demand and Facility Requirements
Long-Term Prioritization and Investment
Public Information and Outreach
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State System - 139 Public Use Airports
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Phase I Planned Approach
Work Flow Diagram
Conduct RegionalCoordinationMeetings

• Prepare Existing
• Conditions Report
• Service levels
• Airside facilities
• Landside facilities
• Airfield capacity
• Landside capacity
• Airspace

Conduct Regional Coordination Meetings

• Collect Information
• Review existing reports
• Survey commercial service airports
• Survey select GA airports

• Collect Information
• Review existing reports
• Survey commercial service airports
• Survey select GA airports

• Collect Information
• Review existing reports
• Survey and Visit commercial service airports
• Survey GA airports

• Prepare System
• Capacity Reports
• Airspace analysis
• Physical capacities
• Potential demand

Technical Committee Review
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Phase II Planned Approach
Identify/EvaluateKey Factors that May Affect
Future Air Travel
Develop Demand Forecasts

Determine Capacity Limit Timeframe At Commercial
Airports
Prepare Air Cargo Forecast
Perform High Speed Rail Evaluation
Update Airport Roles and Evaluation
Criteria
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Phase II Planned Approach
Regional Meetings 2nd Set
Review and Evaluate Airport Capacity vs
Forecast Demand
Preliminary System Requirement Analysis
Present Findings to ATAC
Capital Improvement Summary
Prepare Final Report And Summary of
Findings
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Phase III Planned Approach
Structure
Review Proposed Aviation Planning Council
Members Present Overview Of Phase I and II

Meet, Create Charter Collaboratively, Establish
Objectives and Overall Structure
Guide Council to Translate Study Purpose/ Goals
Into Vision for Washington
Identify Criteria for Determining Investment
Priorities for Council Review
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Public Information and Outreach

• User friendly documentation and reporting
• Clear and accountable decision process
• Dedicated web page on WSDOT website
• Statewide media outreach
• Newsletters and e-mail updates
• Project team Communication Protocols to assure
  consistent and clear communications
• Leverage existing State Aviation forums and
  organizations
• Assure that new Aviation Planning Council, when
  convened, is working from solid and balanced data
  

Team Philosophy Over Communicate Results and
Key Findings
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Next Three Months

• Statewide Airport Inventory Survey (Web based)
  Scheduled for Release May 30, 2006
• Regional Coordination Meetings and Commercial
  Airport Visits Tentatively Schedule for June 15
  30th
• Preliminary Report of Progress to Date to State
  Legislature- July 1, 2006
• For more information visit
• www.wsdot.wa.gov/aviation/ lats tab
• www.faa.gov/airports_airtraffic/airports/resources
  /advisory_circulars/