SOVIET AND POSTSOVIET FOREIGN POLICY

1
SOVIET AND POST-SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY

• In search of
• CIVILIZATION CLASHES
• with Doug Perkins

2
TODAYS AGENDA

• Administrative
• Web Sites of the Day
• News
• Civilization Clashes

3
ADMINISTRATIVE

• Reminder Do Your Readings!
• For The Icon and the Axe
• Remember the purpose
• Try to read the whole thing
• Pay special attention to
• I (all)
• II (all)
• III (Intro and section 2)
• IV (Intro and section 2)
• V (Intro and sections 13)
• VI (Intro and sections 24)
• Take Roll (remind me of your name)

4
ADMIN (CONTD)

• Extra Credit Opportunities
• The State of Islam in Modern Uzbekistan
• Today 330 in 200 BZ, 1735 Neil Avenue
• Write up a couple of pages for extra credit
• Sea of Instability Thomas Goltz
• Wednesday, 730 in 100 Mendenhall Lab
• Write up a couple of pages for extra credit
• First Assignment

5
WEB SITES OF THE DAY

• World News Connection
• Was FBIS
• Translations of Foreign Press
• Searchable
• The Real Thing!

6
(No Transcript)
7
AND IN THE NEWS...

• Putins State of the Union Address
• US and China
• Yugoslavia
• Other News?

8
THINKING RED

• How Do We Explain/Predict F.P.?
• Desires and Opportunities
• Allow Passions and Normative Concerns
• To pick what we study
• To implement results
• But NOT to influence our analysis
• Can we explain the Talibans destruction of
  statues?
  
• Does this mean we support it?

9
THE FUTURE

• It is my hypothesis that the fundamental source
  of conflict in this new world will not be
  primarily ideological or primarily economic. The
  great divisions among humankind and the
  dominating source of conflict will be cultural.
  Nation states will remain the most powerful
  actors in world affairs, but the principal
  conflicts of global politics will occur between
  nations and groups of different civilizations.
  The clash of civilizations will be the battle
  lines of the future. (Huntington 1993 22)
• So, what about Russia?

10
WHERE WILL THEY CLASH?

• Fault lines
• Examples?
• Yugoslavia
• Middle East
• Horn of Africa
• Former Soviet Union?
• Others?
• Why not here?
• Tuesday Fault lines in the SSS

11

• Russias Civilization
• Characteristics? Issues?

12

• Civilizational Conflict in the Baltics
• Characteristics? Issues?

13

• Civilizational Conflict in Belarus, Ukraine,
• Moldova
• Characteristics? Issues?

14

• Civilizational Conflict in the Caucuses
• Characteristics and Issues

15
CIVILIZATIONAL CONFLICT IN CENTRAL ASIA

• Characterization?
• Issues?

16
QUESTIONS???