TEM and TER Projects Master Plan

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TEM and TER Projects Master Plan
UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE
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The TEM and TER Master Plan

• Background
• Objectives
• Organization
• Final Report
• Conclusions / Recommendations

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Background

• Work started in October 2003
• External consultants were engaged
• IRU co-funded the road part
• Finalized in September 2005

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Objectives

• Investment strategy for development of road,
  rail, combined transport infrastructure in CE
  SEEC
• Identification of core road and rail networks
• Assessment and prioritization of projects
• Availability of resources
• Intermodality, Border crossing facilitation
• Support extension of TEN-T, PETC

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Organization of Work

• National Experts, Organizations, External
  Consultants, PCOs, UNECE
• 2 Expert Groups
• Coordination Group
• Work endorsed by TEM and TER Steering
  Committees

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Final Report

• Method of work
• Priority categories for projects
• Main results
• Benefits
• Main follow-up directions

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Socio-economic Framework and Growth Scenarios

• Two growth scenarios Moderate and Optimistic
• 2000 was chosen as the base year
• 1995-2000-2001-2002-2004 data was used to set
  trends
• Countries were divided in 3 groups
• - Group I Austria, Greece, Italy
• - Group II New EU Member States and acceding
• - Group III Non-EU, non-acceding countries

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Socio-economic Framework and Growth Scenarios
(contd)

• Population trends
• GDP growth
• Foreign trade trends
• Transport trends
• For Group III, limited or no data available to
  support forecasts

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Methodology on Evaluation and Prioritization

• Based on forecasted economic and traffic growth
• Four Phases
• A. Identification ( with three screening levels)
• B. Forecasting (using scenarios of growth)
• C. Evaluation (multi criteria analysis)
• D. Prioritization (in three levels)

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Methodology on Evaluation and Prioritization
(contd)

• A. Identification
• Level 1 Relevance
• Technical standards, TEM-TER goals, On main Axes,
  Connecting other regions
• Level 2 Readiness
• Project well defined, Responsible agent, Time
  plan
• Level 3 Viability
• 10 mill , IRR, Environmental aspects, Justified
  need

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Methodology on Evaluation and Prioritization
(contd)

• B. Forecasting
• Performed on macro level
• Using alternative scenarios of growth
• With data provided by countries

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Methodology on Evaluation and Prioritization
(contd)

• C. Evaluation (Multi-criteria analysis)
• Socio-economic return of investment
• Functionality and coherency of the network
• Strategic / political concerns of the network
• Direct application of evaluation providing the
  scores
• Compliance with commitments
• Financial capability of country (1.5 of GDP)

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Methodology on Evaluation and Prioritization
(contd)

• Priority I May be funded and implemented
  rapidly, including on-going projects up to 2010
• Priority II Require investigations for final
  definition before likely financing, or to be
  implemented by 2015
• Priority III Require further investigations for
  final definition and scheduling before possible
  financing, or to be implemented by 2020
• Priority IV To be implemented in the long run,
  including projects where insufficient data exist

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Project Prioritization

• 491 Projects of a total value of 102 billion
  evaluated and prioritized
• 319 Road Projects - 49.5 billion
• 172 Rail Projects - 52.5 billion
• 46 billion of funding is secured
• (for 45 of total implementation cost - 60 of
  projects)

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Project Prioritization (contd)

• Road (out of 319 Projects of 49.5 billion )
• Category I 152 projects, 25.3 billion (only
  for 141)
• Category II 93 projects, 23.2 billion (only
  for 84)
• Category III 1 project, 0.24 billion
• Category IV 73 projects, 0.9 billion (only
  for 1)
• 15.3 billion of funding is secured (31)
• (For 92 Road projects, implementation cost is
  unknown)

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Project Prioritization (contd)

• Rail (out of 172 Projects of 52.5 billion )
• Category I 128 projects, 32.8 billion
• Category II 39 projects, 18.2 billion
• Category IV 5 projects, 0.5 billion (only
  for 2)
• 30.5 billion of funding is secured (58)
• (For 3 Rail projects, implementation cost is
  unknown)

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Bottlenecks and Missing Links

• Analysis of what may me considered as road and
  rail bottlenecks
• Full consideration of bottlenecks could not be
  made within set time-frame and available
  resources, particularly for TER
• TEM and TER Missing links and extensions
  identified and proposed

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Master Plan Backbone Network and Links

• Major parts of the TEM and TER Networks
• EU TEN-T and High Level Group
• Pan-European Corridors, MEDA
• Euro-Asian Transport Links
• Sections on which countries proposed projects
• TIRS and REBIS studies
• Interconnection and continuity of networks

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Funding Technical - Institutional Aspects

• Funding not secured for 40 of projects
• identification of possible sources of funding
• eligibility criteria to receive funds
• required procedures
• Main sources of funding
• Elements analyzed Initial approach, legal
  framework, eligibility criteria, appraisal,
  examination, monitoring, decision making,
  contract signature, etc.
• Possibility of private participation, via PPP

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Funding Technical - Institutional Aspects
(contd)

• Staged construction
• National and international perspectives
• Inter-country collaboration and interdependence
• Shared cross-border infrastructure
• Environmental perspective and planning
• Harmonized tendering and construction laws
• Interoperability and harmonized standards

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Border Crossing Issues

• Inventory of border crossing points made
• Relevant GIS maps elaborated
• Border crossing problems identified
• Recommendations for problems alleviation

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Conclusions / Recommendations

• Conclusions
• Presented a realistic investment strategy in the
  wider TEM and TER region, which supports the
• - Extension of TEN-T
• - Implementation of pan-European Corridors
• - Promotion of intermodal transport
• - Maximum effectiveness of transport
  infrastructure

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Conclusions / Recommendations (contd)

• Conclusions (contd)
• Methodological framework for prioritisation
• Wider TEM and TER region Backbone Network
• Specific projects for implementation up to 2020
• Cost estimates for implementation and available
  finance
• Border crossing problems and ameliorative actions
• Impacts of the EU Railway infrastructure
• Truck and Coach transport infrastructure
  considerations
• GIS background work

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Conclusions / Recommendations (contd)

• Recommendations
• Ensure the necessary follow-up of the work
• Complete missing or insufficient data
• Regularly update the Backbone Network
• Monitor the implementation of the Master Plan
• Present status of Backbone Networks (2010 -2015 -
  2020)
• Review of the strategy by 2008

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Remarks

• First TEMTER attempt for an investment strategy
• Assist the development of transport
  infrastructure
• Useful to the work of the EC High Level Group
• Implementation requires political will and
  commitment, close coordination and monitoring
• TEM and TER are ready to follow up this work

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