Over Thirty Month Scheme - Farmers

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Over Thirty Month Scheme- Farmers Perspective

• Jim Walker

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Over Thirty Month Rule

• Introduced in 1996
• market support
• consumer confidence
• OTM Imports banned
• except from 14 third countries

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Priority Issues

• Product safety
• Consumer confidence
• Science not Treasury-led

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BSE Safeguards

• MBM banned 29 March 1996
• Cohort and offspring culls
• SRM controls in abattoirs
• Passports/movement records database
• Active surveillance

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UK Beef Consumption
Forecast
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Since 1996

• Declining BSE incidence

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UK BSE Incidence
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Since 1996

• Declining BSE incidence in UK

• Low incidence status
• BSE test developed
• Very low number of BARBs
• born after ruminant ban
• Increasing BSE incidence in other MS

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EU BSE Incidence
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Trade Issues

• Declining national self-sufficiency
• 1999 - 74
• 2001 - 70
• 2003 - 59 (forecast)
• Import displacement
• processed product

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EU Cow Beef Prices
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Trade Issues

• Declining national self-sufficiency
• 1999 - 74
• 2001 - 70
• 2003 - 59 (forecast)
• Import displacement
• processed product

• Slower maturing breeds

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Ways Forward

• Test all cattle over thirty months
• increasing incidence
• Re-admit cattle born since 1 Oct 1998
• tested before entry to food chain
• Set OTM cut-off for pre-Oct 98 cattle
• Regional Approach
• low incidence status

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Further Considerations

• Markets for the product
• Imported OTM beef
• Price implications
• Consumer reactions

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