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1
Currency Board Systems and Hong Kongs Evolving
ArrangementsProfessor Tsang Shu-kiDepartment
of EconomicsHong Kong Baptist Universitywww.skts
ang.com A presentation at the Central
Banking CourseHong Kong Monetary Authority29
September 2009
2
Outline of the talk (1)
  • How can an exchange rate be fixed?
  • History of currency boards
  • Classical currency boards
  • Classical currency boards and modern monetary
    economy
  • Modern currency boards and the AEL Model

3
Outline of the talk (2)
  • Hong Kongs currency board system before and
    after the seven technical measures of 9/1998
  • Hong Kongs currency board system and the three
    refinements of 5/2005
  • The prospects for currency boards
  • References

4
I. How can an exchange rate be fixed?
(1)
  • Basically there are two ways to do so, assuming
    that a fixed exchange rate regime is desirable
    (which in itself is a separate issue).
  • Government controls and intervention
  • Foreign exchange controls e.g. China and
    Malaysia.
  • Foreign exchange market intervention by the
    central bank difficult for an economy with large
    capital flows, e.g. Bank of England in 1992.

5
I. How can an exchange rate be
fixed? (2)
  • Market-driven methods
  • The Gold Standard (?????) late 19th Century and
    early 20th Century
  • Currency Boards (???) previously mainly in
    British colonies now in Hong Kong, Estonia,
    Lithuania, Bulgaria etc. (Argentina adopted the
    system in 1991 but abandoned it in early 2002.)

6
I. How can an exchange rate be fixed?
(3)
  • Both II (a) and (b) depend on self-interested
    market force to fix the exchange rate, without
    the need for government controls or intervention.
    The key activity is arbitrage (??). If the prices
    for the same product in two sub-markets differ
    from each other, then any market participant can
    buy the product at a lower price in one
    sub-market, and sell the product in the other at
    a higher price. A profit will be obtained at no
    risk. As many market participants perform similar
    arbitrage, the two prices should equalise,
    provided that the transaction cost is negligible.

7
I. How can an exchange rate be
fixed? (4)
  • e.g. If A and B are functional or geographical
    sub-markets of the same product and PA lt PB,
    then arbitrage of buying low in A and selling
    high in B can be performed to obtain profit at no
    risk
  • Buy low in A Sell high in B

PA
PB
8
I. How can an exchange rate be
fixed? (5)
  • If the price, say PA, in one sub-market can be
    firmly locked, because of sufficient reserves of
    the party that fixes it, the price in the other
    sub-market, PB, will converge to PA, subject to
    the transaction cost (????). That was how the
    Gold Standard worked. That is how the currency
    board system is supposed to work, although A and
    PA refer to a different component and its price
    in the monetary base (????).

9
II. History of currency boards (1)
  • The first currency board was set up in Mauritius
    in the 19th Century to be exact 1849. Dozens of
    economies---many former colonies of Britain, e.g.
    Falkland Islands, Malaya, Singapore,---adopted
    the system. It worked well in fixing their
    exchange rates.

10
II. History of currency boards (2)
11
III. Classical currency boards (1)
  • The idea is surprisingly simple. A currency
    board issues currency notes (paper money), and
    trivially coins, with 100 per cent foreign
    reserves backing at a fixed exchange rate. This
    represents a strong commitment to economic
    discipline (????). Any holder of paper money
    therefore rests assured that he can exchange his
    notes into foreign currency at the fixed rate.

12
III. Classical currency boards (2)
  • In a modern financial system, people hold much
    more than paper money. Bank deposits typically
    exceed currency notes by ten to twenty times. No
    currency boards can have reserves that fully
    match bank deposits. Hong Kong's foreign
    currency reserves (being the 8th largest in the
    world) are about 41 of the total amount of notes
    and coins and deposits in Hong Kong dollar.

13
III. Classical currency boards (3)
  • How is the exchange rate of bank deposits fixed?
    Like the gold standard, it is through arbitrage.
    First, if there is speculation against the
    currency, funds will flow out of the economy and
    domestic interest rates will rise. This should
    attract back the funds and the exchange rate can
    be stabilised. Such a phenomenon is called
    specie flow, or interest rate arbitrage (????).

14
III. Classical currency boards (4)
  • However, in a time of crisis, it is doubtful
    whether higher interest rates alone could fix the
    exchange rate. Hence a more important form of
    arbitrage, i.e. currency/exchange rate arbitrage
    (????), is necessary. Since the exchange rate of
    paper money is fixed, the exchange rate of bank
    deposits has to follow suit. Any rate
    differential gives rise to profitable activity of
    cash arbitrage (????), that closes the gap.

15
III. Classical currency boards (5)
  • Take Hong Kongs system since 1983 as a
    theoretical example. Since HK notes are issued
    against certificates of indebtedness (CIs) backed
    by US at the rate of 7.80, if the market rate of
    deposit weakens to say 8.00 against the US
    dollar, anyone can theoretically withdraw cash
    from his HK dollar deposit account, surrender the
    paper money through the NIBs or other banks to
    the "currency board" (the Exchange Fund) and get
    US at the fixed but stronger rate of 7.80.

16
III. Classical currency boards (6)
  • With HK 7.8 million in cash, he will be given
    US 1 million. By selling the US 1 million in
    the market, he fetches HK 8 million. So he
    obtains a profit of HK 200,000. That is
    arbitrage, risk-free (???), except that there may
    be transaction costs. Many others will want to do
    the same. The selling pressure on the US dollar
    will push the market rate back to 7.80, i.e.,
    equalising prices in the two sub-markets (the
    cash market and the deposit market).

17
III. Classical currency boards (7)
  • In sum, there are three anchors for a classical
    currency board (1) economic discipline because
    of the 100 foreign reserves requirement for the
    issuance of currency (so theoretically paper
    money cannot be increased without a balance of
    payments surplus) (2) specie flow in the form of
    interest arbitrage and (3) exchange rate (cash)
    arbitrage that binds the spot exchange rate.
  • As illustrated in Diagram 1, these three anchors
    reinforce one another.

18
Classical currency boards (8)
  • Diagram 1 tripod for a classical CB to fix
    the exchange rate

Full reserves cover and economic discipline
Specie flow
Cash arbitrage
19
IV. Classical currency boards and modern monetary
economy (1)
  • The inefficiency of cash arbitrage in a modern
    monetary economy is however a big problem. In HK,
    for example, there are only about 7 dollars of
    cash for every 100 dollars of bank deposit.
    Moreover, just 50 cents of the cash are in the
    hands of banks.
  • If people engage actively in converting their
    deposits into cash to do arbitrage, it will be
    equivalent to a bank run.

20
IV. Classical currency boards and modern monetary
economy (2)
  • Since the establishment of the linked exchange
    rate system, there has been very little, if at
    all, cash arbitrage activity.
  • Between 1983 and 1998, the link was defended with
    a combination of market interventions including
    direct foreign exchange operations and
    manipulation of liquidity and interest rates.

21
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (1)
  • Argentina, Estonia and Lithuania adopted
    varieties of the currency board system in 1991,
    1992 and 1994 respectively. I have dubbed them
    as the AEL Model (?????). Though latecomers, all
    three AEL countries used an improved version of
    the system. It overcame the problem of cash
    movements for arbitrage, with which Hong Kong was
    struggling.

22
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (2)
  • They instituted a reserves system whereby each
    bank had an account with the central bank, in
    which any reserves for notes and deposits as well
    as the clearing balances were kept. The central
    bank guaranteed the full convertibility of all
    the claims of each bank, at the fixed exchange
    rate. In effect, the convertibility undertaking
    (????)covers the whole monetary base (??????),
    i.e. essentially all the domestic liabilities of
    the central bank, and not only cash. This set-up
    bypassed the problem of moving cash around for
    arbitrage.

23
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (3)
  • Under such a system, no banks will dare quote an
    exchange rate that deviates from the official
    rate, say 7.80. If Bank A quotes a rate of 8.00,
    Bank B can immediately sell US 1 million to it,
    fetching HK 8 million, with an instruction that
    Bank A transfers the amount to its account at the
    central bank, which will convert HK 8 million
    into US 1.026 million for Bank B at the fixed
    rate of 7.80. A profit of US26,000 then goes to
    Bank B. Other banks will also be jumping at the
    arbitrage opportunity if Bank A does not change
    its quote.

24
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (4)
  • Note that no cash movements are involved in all
    these electronic transactions (????), as the
    central bank plays the role of settling arbitrage
    activities between banks by providing the
    necessary foreign reserves. The market exchange
    could only deviate from the official rate for the
    small amount of transaction costs involved, if at
    all.
  • With this improved currency board system,
    Argentina, Estonia and Lithuania were able to
    ensure 100 per cent stability in their spot
    exchange rates.

25
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (5)
  • In 1995, Argentina faced serious crises
  • 20 per cent of bank deposits were lost in less
    than three months
  • sixty banks folded up
  • economic growth rate was a negative 4.6 and
  • unemployment shot up to 16.
  • Yet the spot market exchange rate adhered
    strictly to the official rate (of 1 peso against
    1 US).

26
V. Modern currency boards and the AEL Model (6)
  • The same miracle occurred in Lithuania. A
    banking crisis broke out in December 1995
  • The nation's two largest banks were closed.
  • Deposits fell by 15 in the first quarter of
    1996.
  • Yet the official rate of 4 litas against 1 US
    dollar was not challenged at all.

27
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (1)
  • Between 1984 and April 1998, the Hong Kong
    currency board system did not behave according to
    the theory of the classical currency board. The
    key problem was that there was no effective
    currency arbitrage mechanism. Cash-based
    arbitrage was a non-starter, because it
    represented a very small, and increasingly small,
    of total money supply. There was simply very
    little cash to use for arbitrage.

28
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (2)
  • Other than the CIs, there were no explicit
    reserves backing or convertibility undertaking.
    As a result, currency arbitrage outside cash
    could not be carried out. The monetary authority
    had to depend on the manipulation of interbank
    liquidity and interest rates, as well as outright
    intervention in the foreign exchange market to
    defend the Hong Kong dollar. Some would call that
    central banking in disguise.

29
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (3)
  • In the meantime, HK embarked on a process of
    strengthening monetary control. In 1988, the
    Accounting Arrangements were imposed, giving the
    monetary authority an indirect handle on banking
    liquidity. In the 1990s, the issuance of EFBNs
    (Exchange Fund bills and notes), the setting up
    of the LAF (liquidity adjustment facility), and
    the eventual establishment of the HKMA (Hong Kong
    Monetary Authority) were key milestones.

30
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (4)
  • The HKMA made it known that it would defend the
    Hong Kong dollar by having flexible ways to
    manipulate the monetary base and to influence
    interest rates.
  • Mr. Andrew Sheng, then Deputy Chief Executive of
    the HKMA, said on the heel of the Mexican crisis,
    .... in recent years the HKMA has introduced
    various reforms to its monetary management tools,
    or more aptly, our monetary armoury, to maintain
    exchange rate stability.

31
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (5)
  • ... As was seen in January (1995), our
    determination to use the interest rate tool was
    sufficient to deter further speculation against
    the HK dollar. In fact, currently, the HK dollar
    is at a stronger level than it was at 1994 year
    end. (Sheng, 1995, p.60) To the extent that the
    HKMA intervenes through the use of foreign
    exchange swaps, any increase in the monetary base
    is fully backed by foreign exchange. We use a
    whole range of instruments in influencing the
    level of interbank liquidity to manage interbank
    interest rates, and consequently, maintain
    exchange rate stability. (p.61)

32
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (6)
  • In October 1997, the Hong Kong dollar suffered a
    strong speculative attack. Doubts were cast on
    the nature and the robustness of Hong Kongs
    currency board. A controversy arose concerning
    whether and to what extent the HKMA did intervene
    in the markets on 23 October 1997, and was
    therefore responsible for the unprecedented high
    interest rates---with overnight interbank rates
    going up to 280 at one point.

33
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (7)
  • In April 1998, the HKMA announced a commitment
    not to actively manage the clearing balance of
    the banking system to defend the exchange rate
    (FSB, 1998, paras. 3.36-3.41 Annex 3.5), the
    HKMA would keep to the rule of automatic
    adjustment.
  • However, the HKMA reserved the option of
    discretionary intervention to defend the exchange
    rate near the 7.80 level.

34
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (8)
  • Diagram 2 The tripod for HKs CB after April
    1998

Full reserves cover and economic discipline
Discretionary intervention near 7.80
Specie flow
35
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (9)
  • The intervention in the stock and futures markets
    by the Hong Kong government in August 1998
    touched off a huge controversy. On 5 September
    1998, the HKMA announced seven technical measures
    (??????) to strengthen the link. These measures
    can actually be grouped into two categories (1)
    the convertibility undertaking (CU) that banks
    could exchange their Hong Kong dollar balances
    with the HKMA into US dollars at the fixed
    exchange rate of 7.75 and (2) the replacement of
    the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) by a
    formal Discount Window (with no penalties against
    frequent users).

36
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (10)
  • The first move means that the coverage of
    convertibility was effectively extended from bank
    notes to the whole monetary base. The Discount
    Window, on the other hand, enlarged the monetary
    base. As said above, a system of convertible
    reserves is the core mechanism in the AEL
    (Argentina, Estonia and Lithuania) Model of
    modernised currency board arrangements. The new
    tripod of CB that the HKMA instituted in
    September 1998 can be depicted as in Diagram 3.

37
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (11)
  • It was a partial adoption of the AEL model. The
    CU was one-way (??????) (on the weak side) only,
    but currency arbitrage ensured that the 7.80
    fixed rate could not be breached. Further tidying
    up of the system since then included the 500-day
    shift of the CU rate from 7.75 to 7.80, the
    increase in the transparency of currency board
    operations and the changes in the transferability
    and convertibility among the components of the
    monetary base etc.

38
VI. Hong Kongs currency board before and after
the 7 technical measures (12)
  • Diagram 3 The tripod for HKs CB after
    September 1998

Full reserves cover and economic discipline
Oneway Convertibility Undertaking at 7.80
Specie flow
39
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (1)
  • Since late 2003, speculative pressure on a
    revaluation of the Chinese renminbi rose and
    there were large inflows into Hong Kong, leading
    to near zero short term interest rates, large
    aggregate balances and strong spot rates for the
    HK dollar (at one point to about 7.70).

40
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (2)
  • The very low interest rates failed to generate
    sufficient and effective interest arbitrage to
    offset the revaluation pressure, i.e. to weaken
    the exchange rate to the 7.80 level supposedly as
    a result of outflow of funds.
  • This was the reverse of the difficulty
    experienced before the seven technical measures
    of September 1998. Then very high interest rates
    were not powerful enough in strengthening the HK
    dollar against devaluation pressure supposedly
    through attracting inflow of funds.
  • Hence a two-way CU (??????) seemed necessary.

41
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (3)
  • On May 18, 2005, the HKMA introduced the three
    refinements (??????)
  • a strong-side Convertibility Undertaking by the
    HKMA to buy US dollars from licensed banks at
    7.75
  • the shifting over 5 weeks of the existing
    weak-side Convertibility Undertaking by the HKMA
    to sell US dollars to licensed banks from 7.80 to
    7.85, so as to achieve symmetry around the Linked
    Rate of 7.80

42
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (4)
  • within the zone defined by the levels of the
    Convertibility Undertakings (the "Convertibility
    Zone"), the HKMA may choose to conduct market
    operations consistent with Currency Board
    principles. These market operations shall be
    aimed at promoting the smooth functioning of the
    Linked Exchange Rate System, for example, by
    removing any market anomalies that may arise from
    time to time.
  • With these three refinements, the latest currency
    board system can be depicted as follows

43
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (5)
  • Diagram 4 The tripod for HKs CB after May
    2005

Full reserves cover and economic discipline
Twoway Convertibility Undertaking at 7.75 and
7.85
Specie flow
44
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (6)
  • The wide corridor of 7.75-7.85 The
    convertibility zone (????) is regarded as very
    wide by some commentators but vulnerable to
    speculation by others. In my article Liquidity
    management, two-way CU ., I discussed the
    possibility of a powerful speculator pushing the
    exchange rate up and down the corridor of 50
    pips (http//www.sktsang.com/ArchiveI/Tsang021201
    .pdf)

45
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (7)
  • From this perspective, a two-way CU with no
    spread would kill its fun. The problems that
    this generates are familiar. The foreign exchange
    market in HKD/USD will be displaced, leading to
    layoffs. (Some could argue that it is a matter of
    sacrificing private interests for the sake of the
    public good.) Moreover, imagine a CU with no
    spread and a near-zero AB in an international
    financial centre. I cant honestly recommend it
    as a solution and I didnt, especially given
    Hong Kongs post-1998 developments.

46
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (8)
  • What is the alternative? Interestingly, we have
    to travel some distance to find it. A
    convertibility zone of hundreds of pips would
    mean that any speculating party, in spite of its
    market power, faces a relatively spacious
    corridor and the risk and cost of his actions
    are increased.
  • See Tsang Shu-ki, The convertibility zone and
    operations to remove market anomalies
    (www.sktsang.com/ArchiveI/Convertibility zone and
    anomalies.pdf)

47
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (9)
  • I remember long time ago I used to play
    one-a-side (plastic) football games with my
    younger brother in the narrow corridor of our old
    home. The goals were simply conceived to exist
    at either end of the corridor, but long-range
    shooting was forbidden. Being physically
    stronger, I always resorted to the ploy of
    kicking the ball to one side and then speeding
    past him on the other to collect the ball back
    after its rebound from the wall. The rest was
    peanut.

48
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (10)
  • What if the corridor had been quite wide? The
    rebound from the wall, from whether the left or
    the right, would have taken longer to reach me.
    So my little brother would have had time to turn
    around and chase the ball almost on a par with
    me. I would not have had the easy job of rushing
    it towards an open goal.
  • A convertibility zone is a trade-off between
    stability as well as credibility on the one hand,
    and liquidity and flexibility on the other.
  • This is a reality for the CBA in Hong Kong, which
    is an international financial centre with huge
    daily capital flows. Too rigid a system would
    mean that any pressure cannot be shared by
    several buffer variables.

49
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (11)
  • However, a consequence of this flexibility is
    the phenomenon of multiple equilibria among the
    spot exchange rate, the interest rate and the
    aggregate balance. And there is no
    mean-reverting tendency towards 7.80 as our
    linked exchange rate.
  • In a period of global financial disturbances from
    outside, these non-reverting phenomena involving
    different variables are going to become more
    pronounced. In any case, the currency board
    system in HK would probably remain intact. Any
    cost, if at all, would be borne by other economic
    variables.

50

51
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52
VII. Hong Kongs currency board and the three
refinements (12)
  • In the aftermath of the latest financial tsunami,
    the aggregate balance has risen to historically
    unprecedented levels, with interest rates falling
    to near zero. Yet the exchange rate has been
    consistently strong, close to the CU of 7.75.
    Actually the CU has been triggered on quite a
    number of occasions.
  • This is a testimony to the robustness of the
    currency board system in Hong Kong.
  • One risk is of course that there might be a
    drastic swing to the weak-side CU of 7.85, if
    internal and/or external shocks arise.

53
VIII. The prospects for currency boards (1)
  • The currency board system is supposed to be the
    most disciplined and transparent fixed exchange
    rate regime in the world.
  • Through arbitrage in a situation of sufficient
    reserves covering the monetary base and sound
    banking, the efficiency risk of the spot exchange
    rate is largely eliminated.
  • However, the systemic risk still remains.

54
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(2)
  • Systemic risk refers to the risk of the system
    being abandoned not because the spot exchange
    rate cannot be fixed, but as a result of the
    economic pains associated with a misaligned
    exchange rate or very weak economic fundamentals
    (e.g. Argentina), and of any decision based on
    politics. Risk premium will be reflected in
    interest rates and forward exchange rates.
    Argentina was forced to abandon the system in
    early 2002.

55
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56
VIII. The prospects for currency
boards (3)
  • The beginning of the end for the AEL Model?
    Estonia and Lithuania both became a member of
    the EU in 2004. Both then joined the Exchange
    Rate Mechanism II (ERM II) and officially stated
    their objective to adopt the euro soon after the
    mandatory minimum requirement of two years.
    Estonia has been maintaining the currency board
    arrangement with a fixed rate of one euro to
    15.6466 Estonian kroons, while Lithuanias
    currency has been pegged at the rate of 3.4528
    litas per euro.

57
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(4)
  • However, the process is nothing automatic. Both
    have been on the watch list by the European
    Central Bank on the basis of convergence criteria
    and conditions for final accession to the euro
    area, i.e. the replacement of their own national
    currencies by the euro. Estonia's effort has been
    hindered by failing to meet the inflation target
    (a nominal convergence criterion) set by the EU
    (Eesti Pank, Estonia's National Changeover
    Plan, July 2009, www.eestipank.info/pub/en/EL/ELi
    it/euro/eplaan_1.pdf
  • Lithuania has been bothered by a similar problem,
    and according to the current data, the most
    favourable period for Lithuania to join the euro
    area will begin from 2010. (Lietuvos Bankas,
    Adoption of the Euro in Lithuania,
    www.lb.lt/eng/euro/index.htm.

58
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(5)
  • The debate between a fixed exchange rate system
    and a floating rate regime is a long standing
    one, and unlikely to be solved any time soon.
  • In between, there can of course be basket peg,
    crawling peg, target zone, managed float,
    and their various combinations.
  • The purists would argue for corner solutions
    either hard peg or clean float, as the
    various combinations suffer from a lack of
    credibility.

59
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(6)
  • A small open economy with very flexible asset and
    factor markets will find it beneficial to adopt a
    fixed rate because the certainty will promote
    long term investment and facilitate structural
    changes.
  • For developing and emerging markets, it will help
    to impose monetary discipline and promote the
    development of long-term capital market (and
    avoid the original sin).

60
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(7)
  • There may be a fear of floating for small open
    economies, because of the absence of a nominal
    anchor. Some have resorted to inflation
    targeting as an alternative.
  • On the other hand, though, whether the fixed rate
    is an appropriate one, particularly in times of
    significant structural or international sea
    changes, is always a headache. A fixed rate can
    also become a sitting duck for speculators.

61
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(8)
  • The merit of floating is that it serves as a good
    barometer giving early warning signals about
    the economy. One could say that it actually
    imposes continuing discipline on the authorities
    as well as the private enterprises and they
    should adjust in time. The demerit is volatility
    and overshooting typical of financial markets.
  • Well, the debate will no doubt go on.

62
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(9)
  • Although the AEL Model is disintegrating, the
    principles behind its operations are sound and
    can serve as lessons for aspiring fixed exchange
    rate regimes, provided that the rate is not
    misaligned in a fundamental sense and suitable
    economic policies are implemented to support its
    viability.
  • There seems to be little choice for Hong Kong but
    to stick with the currency board system in the
    near term.

63
VIII. The prospects for currency boards
(10)
  • In the future, the authorities may consider the
    possibility of re-pegging the Hong Kong dollar to
    the Renminbi or even a monetary union with the
    Mainland. However, many conditions (including the
    full convertibility of the Renminbi) need to be
    fulfilled first.

64
References (1)
  • Blejer, Mario (2003), Argentina Managing the
    Financial Crisis, a presentation at the World
    Bank on 22 October 2003 (http//info.worldbank.org
    /etools/bspan/PresentationView.asp?PID940EID328
    ).
  • Financial Services Bureau (FSB) (1998), Report on
    Financial Market Review, Hong Kong SAR
    Government, April.
  • Gulde-Wolf, Anne-Marie and Keller, Peter (2002),
    Another Look at Currency Board Arrangements And
    Hard Exchange Rate Pegs for Advanced EU Accession
    Countries, in Urmas Sepp and Martti Randveer
    (eds.), Alternative Monetary Regimes in Entry to
    EMU, Eesti Pank, November.

65
References (2)
  • Hanke, Steve H. and Schuler, Kurt (1994),
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