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India

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Ku-Hyun JUNG views: Europe as the real US challenger not China. Classification. No. 1 country ... some fruitful lessons for the top-down construction of EU; ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: India


1
India Europein the brave New World
Schumacher Centre - EIEBG Delhi club India
International Centre New Delhi 24 September 2009
  • Dr. Jean-Joseph Boillot
  • Economic Advisor co-founder of the EIEBG

2
I- The Euro-India Centric approach1- One
European View of the today World Economy
3
and World Population
4
Ku-Hyun JUNG views Europe as the real US
challenger not China
Outlook for the Change in Global Economic
Leadership in 2030
4
5
2- From the EU Westphalien View to
6
to the  India Inc. Superpower  or tripolar
View
7
3- Some strong arguments in favor of the Indias
 pessimistic  view on EU/Europea) From the
Enlarged Integrated Europe.
8
. To a Westphalian/fragmented Economic
Political Micro/Macro Management
9
b) And a stagnant Economic Growth combined with
an ageing and declining population- not so
appealing!
10
b) And a stagnant Economic Growth combined with
an ageing and declining population- not so
appealing!
11
4- Also some arguments in favor of the EU
 pessimistic  vision of Indiaa) What economic
scales in 2025?
12
b) What matters is Productivity, Size TIME!
13
c) And Education is a major parameter
14
d) Perception of instability Possible Paths
Scenarios for India  Middle Path  or  Unfine
Balance ?
15
e) Last, difficult to buy the BRICs or CHINDIA
stories Fallacy of composition behind
these aggregates
16
II- EU-India cooperation in the brave New
World1- The New Comers in Human capitalChina
India and Africa ( World population 1950-2050)
17
more so within the 15-24 age group
18
Most probably a Multipolar World GDP Population
19
2- Major Reasons Fields of Cooperation
1- Multipolar World means building up of strong
and stable coalitions India and EU may appear
weak unless they join efforts
  • 2- They have 3 main reasons for cooperation in
    the global arena
  • Social-democratic type of political and social
    institutions
  • Mixed economy institutions
  • Weak military Hard Power Versus Strong Soft
    Power
  • 3- They have 4 main fields of Cooperation in the
    global arena
  • A New Economic Architecture including
    Monetary/Financial
  • and IMF/WB reforms with much more power to the
    newcomers
  • b) The agenda for a Sustainable Development
    (Climate change,
  • Water, urbanisation)
  • c) Preserve and Extend the Democratic
    institutions Worldwide
  • d) Promoting the New Technological Revolution
    nanotech,biotech, IT etc.,

20
3- Why India is so relevant for Europe?
1- India see Europe as a Continent alike her, in
particular Busines India. So she can pull
Europeans out of their Westphalien mindset
2- The new paradigms of the XXI Century should
largely take place in India (the Nano
effect,Generic drugs, IT services ) when Europe
still follow the First and Second industrial
Revolution
3- The social and political experience of the
 Multilayer India  may bring some fruitful
lessons for the top-down construction of EU
4- The big success of the Indian offshore
services can definitely be one key for the ageing
Europe. Just open your eyes and your mind!
5- The Young and Entrepreneurial India could be
part of the solution for Many highly efficient
SMEs but with ageing captains
21
4- Why Europe legacy can be useful for some
challenges facing India ?
1- Urbanisation the bad and good experiences of
Europe may help not repeating the same
mistakes
2- Transport systems nobody can avoid the
infinite demand for individual mobility
3- Administrative Fiscal Reforms may be the
Indias key to success (VAT, local taxes,
efficient public services )
4- Technology still Europe very strong and
advanced in many fondamental research fields
large window of opportunity in the application
fieldsneed for a major RD cooperation between
EU India
22
Conclusion not only  What  but  How  to do?
The implementation and delivery mechanisms
1- Dont expect in both cases impulse and
delivery only from the Top EU commission
and Federal Gov in Delhi have the same
limitations At least get them working
together much more effectively on global issues
2- Decentralised cooperation with already
existing European Pan Indian  networks 
should work perfectly they are plenty.
3- The Young Generations of both sides are the
driving forces providing they get the resources
and mostly the attention
4- Business communities and civil societies
should be the most active on the Euro-India
cooperation
23
Conclusion (2) The experience of the EIEBG
network
  • The Euro-India Economic and Business Group
    (EIEBG) is an informal network which offers a
    single platform for contacts and exchanges among
    promoters of projects between India and Euro, in
    particular Young leaders.
  • Launched in January 2006 It has to date nearly
    8000 members and contacts with a dozen of clubs
    in India and in Europe.

Some exemples 1- Sept30-Oct, India Calling 2009,
Brussels - In partnership with the Indian
Merchant Chamber (IMC) and the Euro-India
Chamber of Commerce (EICC) 2- October 13 in
Paris, Special evening with RAJAGOPAL leader of
the NGO Ekta Parishad on the landess issue in
India - and conference in Bhopal in January 2010
on the non-violent economics 3- The Indian
Way of Management , a seminar for European
Managers in Paris 20 Octobre 2009 with
experienced leaders from both sides. 4-
October 20 Festival Tyagaranja in France (south
India classical musinc) 24-30 - New Delhi
partnership for the 11th Osians Cinefan Film
Festival. 5- November 19-22 - Metz, the first
Euro-India Transportation System (EITS)
convention, a joint germano-french initiative
More on http//eiebg.unblog.fr/
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