Thoughts on the Analysis of Model Runs

1
Thoughts on the Analysis of Model Runs

• Theme 2 Comparison of dynamical responses and
  mechanisms Analysis for
• Surface temperature
• Rainfall
• 200-mb heights
• Low-level winds

2
Thoughts on the Analysis of Model Runs

• Mean Response
• Seasonality of response (LTw-LTc) (Pw-Pc)An
  (Aw-Ac)Pn
• Linearity of response LTw vs. LTc PwAn vs.
  PcAn
• Linearity of response for different combination
  on SSTs (Pw-Pc)An vs. (Pw-Pc)Aw vs.
  (Pw-Pc)Ac)
• Summary of consistency of response among
  different AGCMs
• MME response
• Possible comparison with responses inferred from
  the time-varying AMIP simulations (C20C and
  others)

3
Thoughts on the Analysis of Model Runs

• Signal-to-Noise analysis
• Traditional Signal-to-Noise analysis
• Change in the PDF and seasonal rainfall extremes
  (although 30-year runs may not be long enough)
• Statistical properties of area-averaged monthly
  mean rainfall time-series
• Mechanism for the Atlantic Response over the US
• Response in and Role of LLJ
• Wind shear response over the Atlantic and impact
  on the hurricane activity? US rainfall