California Space Infrastructure Study CSIP

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California SpaceInfrastructure Study(CSIP)
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The Evolving Space Marketplace

• Traditional U.S. government dominance in space
  is being challenged
• Space market actions are having a real-time
  impact on the global space industrial base
• Fiscal pressure within the Federal government is
  forcing interdependence across space sectors and
  emergence of new mission postures

There is a growing recognition that space can be
viewed as part of broader infrastructure -- e.g.,
transportation...
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Defining Space Infrastructure

• Space infrastructure cuts across multiple
  dimensions of space industry
• Sectors National security, civil, commercial,
  and international
• Processes RD, manufacturing, integration,
  test, launch, and OM
• Support Suppliers, transportation, ranges,
  logistics, IT, software, economic,
  education
• Users Broad set of commercial and public
  organizations, inside and outside of
  California

CSTAs stakeholders will participate in defining
space infrastructure needs
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What is the California Space Infrastructure
Program (CSIP)?

• A two year program to define viable space
  infrastructure needs in California from business
  and technical perspectives
• An outreach endeavor to engage all stakeholders
  in a process that identifies and defines
  candidate infrastructure projects
• This program will yield the first round of
  prioritized space infrastructure projects in
  California

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CSIP Goals

• Identify and evaluate existing space
  infrastructure within California
• Identify what space infrastructure will be
  needed to increase competitiveness of California
  in National and International marketplaces
• Develop realistic estimates for improvement of
  existing capabilities and development of new
  space infrastructure in California
• Rank the required space infrastructure

Prioritized Space Infrastructure Projects
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CSIP Program Structure
Prioritized Infrastructure Projects
1. Identify and evaluate existing space
infrastructure... 2. Identifyinfrastructure
...to increase competitiveness 3. Develop
realistic estimates for improvement ofspace
infrastructure 4. Prioritize list of required
space infrastructure

• Project 1 -
• Business Plan
• Tech Approach
• Project 2 -
• Business Plan
• Tech Approach
• Project n -

CSIP provides a business solution to these goals
based on technical feasibility
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Business Analyses
Space Market Analysis
Business Model Alt. Development
Stakeholder Analysis
Bus. Model Validation (Cost/Benefit)
Infrastructure Marketing Plan
Business Analyses
Prioritized Infra. Projects
Technical Analyses
Business analyses address the direct space
marketplace along with its supporting structure,
e.g., education institutions, research centers,
and local communities
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Technical Analyses
Team Approach
Baseline Infrastructure
Technical Concept Analysis Systems Eng Design
Eng Security Environment IT, (Others)
Commercial, Federal International Needs
Opportunities
Stakeholder Analysis
Business Analysis
Technical Analyses are based upon identified
business needs and use a multidisciplinary
approach to define the project details, identify
risk areas and provide linkages to existing or
planned programs
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Program Approach
Phase II Identify Infrastructure Needs
Phase III Technical and Business Estimates
Phase IV Prioritization Advocacy
Phase I Baseline
Phase V Implementation

• Baseline ID Evaluation
• Stakeholder Analysis Refinement
• Business Baseline (CA/ National/ International)
• Technical Infrastructure Baseline

• Business Model Development
• Cost/Benefit (ROM)
• Infrastructure Concepts
• Requirements Identification
• California Space Infrastructure Vision

• Infrastructure Analysis and Design
• Infrastructure CONOPs Validation
• Detailed Cost Analysis
• Strategic Simulation

• Prioritize Infrastructure Designs
• Develop Strategic Infrastructure Plan
• Develop Communications Plan

• Update CSTAs Strategic Plan
• Implementation Transition Planning

Feb 01 Prioritized Infra. Projects
Jun 01 Infrastructure Design
Feb 00 Regional Meetings
T18 months
T9 months
T12 months
Turn-on
T1 months
T6 months
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Developing the Business Model

• Creates foundation for requirements collection,
  flowdown, and business model options
• Addresses political, legal, environmental,
  industry, and government perspectives on CA space
  infrastructure

Stakeholder Analysis
Review Relevant Mission Documentation
Identify Key Stakeholders and Their Needs
Design a Tailored Data Collection Plan
Collect, Analyze, and Synthesize Data
Formulate Final Report

• Characterizes global demand,
• trends, and infrastructure
• requirements
• Identifies opportunities in terms
• of addressable markets from a
• global perspective
• Compares existing infrastructure
• and objective market using
• strategic simulation

Market Analysis
Determine Existing Capacity Infrastructure
Conduct Gap Analysis
Determine Addressable Market
Define Objective Market
Forecast Demand
Assess CapturedMarket
Results from Existing Infrastructure Assessment
Identify Infrastructure Shortfalls
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Developing Technical Solutions
Define Programmatic Needs Requirements

• Technical solutions generation uses output of
  business gap analysis opportunities as inputs
• Each opportunity will be scoped and evaluated
  based on measures of performance identified
  through stakeholder analysis
• Maintain technical and business perspectives
• Technical solutions with realistic cost are the
  result

Security
IT
Develop Architectures and Conops
Business Model
Systems
Facilities
Design
Evaluate Concept Measures of Performance
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Understanding the Value of Different Solutions
Getting out of the Box

• One thing a person cannot do, no matter how
  rigorous his analysis or heroic his imagination,
  is to draw up a list of things that would never
  occur to him
• Thomas Schelling

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Strategic Simulation

• Strategic simulations allow stakeholders to
  test drive the future for proposed courses of
  action or strategies
• Strategic simulations
• Identify unseen fatal courses of action
• Ensure stakeholder concerns are visibly
  addressed
• Test multiple alternative courses of actions and
  relationships
• Generate new insights previously not
  identified
• Develop consensus and advocacy

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Strategic Simulation Raisesthe Knowledge Level
TRADITIONAL INPUTS
SIMULATION OPENS THE DOOR
STRATEGIC
TO PLANNING
TO NEW INSIGHTS
DEVELOPMENT
Traditional


Analysis

Stops
Here

What Competitors May Do

Surprises
Proposed
Analysis
Strategy


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Strategic Simulation ExampleStakeholder Scenario
Illustrative

• Market Team
• Responds to competitors
• Drives market dynamics
• Awards market share

Decisions
Objective Find common ground to support, enhance,
and expand states space development business
Assessment
Needs Acceptability

• Control Team
• Structures game
• Introduces external shocks
• Monitors and arbitrates

Control
Impact

• Stakeholder Teams
• Create/expand markets
• Create/dissolve alliances, partnerships
• Invest in technologies, infrastructure
• Manage profitability
• Lobby each other to achieve win-wins

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Illustrating Infrastructure Alternatives
-- Concept Visualization --

• An illustrative way to envision the future
• Allows people to define clearly and communicate
  easily complex ideas
• Facilitates mass communication and enriches
  presentations to promote advocacy and
  understanding
• Briefings
• Training

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Concept Visualization (cont.)

• Visualization of Complex Ideas
• Requirements Definition/Validation
• Risk Identification
• Mission/Organizational Issues
• Development Opportunities
• Business Rules

• Flexible Communication Media
• Multimedia Briefings
• 3D Visualizations
• CD-ROM/DVD
• Videotape Production

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CV Applications to CSIP
Infrastructure Enhancement Designs
Operational Concepts
Strategic Planning
Advocacy
Communication
System Integration
Requirements Definition
Space Infrastructure Concept
Requirements Visualization
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Multi-Point Execution

• BAH office will be opened for joint CSIP Team
  members
• Collaboration environment will be used to enhance
  team interaction

New York
San Francisco - CA Political and policy - CA
Transportation Interface
Colorado Springs - Program Manager - Technical
Analysis Design
Washington, DC - Officer-in-Charge --
Policy legislative interfaces - Environmental -
Occupational HS - Security
CSIP Office - Deputy Program Manager - CSTA,
USAF, CA, Industry Interface
Los Angeles - Market/Business Case San Diego
- Business Analysis Design
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CSIP Schedule Key Milestones

• Parallel, Distributed Delivery Tasks
• Iterative Input - Evaluation - Feedback Loops
• Business And Technical Systems Integration (SI)

• Regular Sessions With CSTA Senior Management

Achievement of Milestones in Partnership with CSTA
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Summary

• CSIP links to current Space Industrial Base
  discussions going on now!
• Builds off foundation of CSTA accomplishments
• Fast-paced, inclusive, leads to specific
  projects
• Business - technical - community approach

See you at the Regional Meetings !