What is LED

1
Presented byGary Yakimov, Senior
PartnerCorporation for a Skilled
WorkforceCommunity Indicators
ConsortiumDecember 2, 2005
2
What is LED?

• Local
• State, County, sub-County, Metro Area, Workforce
  Investment Area
• Employment
• Demographics (age, gender)
• Industry (NAICS, SIC)
• Earnings
• Dynamics
• Timing (quarterly, historical back to 1990)
• Worker employment change (new hires, separations,
  turnover rates)
• Firm employment change (firm job gains and
  losses)

3
What LED is Not

• Is not a picture of today but rather about 9
  months rear view image
• Is not occupation specific but rather
  industry-based
• Is not yet distinguishable by race or other
  demographic characteristics other than age and
  gender
• Is not a static program or web page (pending new
  web screens, new nomenclature, new tools, new
  state partners, etc.)

4
LED Quarterly Workforce Indicators
All Quarterly Workforce Indicators can be
analyzed at the detailed industry level

• Total Employment
• Net Job Flows
• Job Creation
• New Hires
• Separations
• Turnover
• Average Monthly Earnings
• Average New Hire Earnings

5
How Does It Work?
Surveys
Administrative Records
Censuses
Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics
Program (LEHD)
Local Immigration Dynamics
Local Employment Dynamics
Local Transportation Dynamics
Maps
QWI Online
Reports
6
Clients
Questions
Businesses Economic development agencies Chambers
of commerce Federal, state and local agencies
Where are the workers? How much are they paid?
Indicators
Workforce Investment Boards Chambers of
commerce School career counselors Job search
professionals Businesses Federal, state, and
local agencies
Geography
Where are the jobs? How much do they pay? Who
needs training?
Demography
Location
How can workers get to their jobs? Where should
a business locate?
Businesses Transportation planners Federal, state
and local agencies
7
Role of State Labor Market Information Offices

• Traditional LMI available
• Industry and occupational employment and wages
  for current period, historical, and projected
• Employment, unemployment, and labor force
• Other information varies by state
• LMI Role in the LED Project
• State consortium guiding the LED work
• Technical assistance to Boards, others
• Creation of Customized Reports

8
Policy Questions that LED Can Help Answer

• What are the industry sectors in which we should
  direct our time and resources?
• Which training programs should I concentrate
  on?
• What is the pattern of new hires in my area?
• What are the industries hiring a particular
  demographic of worker?
• Where are the people in relation to the jobs?
• What is the overall labor market activity in my
  area?
• Where should I locate a new one-stop office?
• and many more

9
LED Home Page
http//lehd.dsd.census.gov/led/index.html
CBSAs to Launch with Next Quarter
10
Major Data Modules

• Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)
• Query Screen
• Comparison Reports
• Industry Focus
• Local Workforce
• Top Industries
• On the Map
• Commute Shed
• Labor Shed

11
Selecting a State
12
QWI Online
13
Indicators and Definitions

14
Accessing Detailed Industries by WIB Area
15
Demographic and Time Queries
16
Accessing Comparison Reports

17
Comparison Reports
18
QWI Review Exercises

• What was the job creation for 19-21 in the 2nd
  quarter of 2004 for Region 55-64 year olds?
• How does the job creation for Region 7 in
  2004-2ndQ compare to the 4 quarter average for
  the area?
• Which workforce area had the highest new hire
  earnings in 2004-2ndQ?

19
Major Data Modules

• Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)
• Query Screen
• Comparison Reports
• Industry Focus
• Local Workforce
• Top Industries
• On the Map
• Commute Shed
• Labor Shed

20
Industry Focus Key Questions

• What are the top industries in my area?
• - On any one indicator?
• - Across all indicators?
• What are the workforce characteristics of key
  industries?
• How do industries rank within or across various
  indicators?

21
Industry Focus Indicator and Demographic Query
22
Industry Focus Query Results
Click on hyperlink to see local workforce details
23
Local Workforce Employment Distribution
24
Local Workforce Other Key Indicators
25
Local Workforce Trends in Average Monthly
Earnings
26
Change Rankings
27
Industry Focus Review Exercises

• What is the top industry in your local area for
• Job Creation
• Average Monthly Earnings for New Hires
• Average Monthly Earnings for All Workers
• What are the key characteristics of the local
  workforce in those industries?
• Discussion What policy or resource decisions
  might you make based on this information?

28
Major Data Modules

• Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI)
• Query Screen
• Comparison Reports
• Industry Focus
• Local Workforce
• Top Industries
• On the Map
• Commute Shed
• Labor Shed

29
On the Map

• Spatial relationship between where people work
  and where they live, and vice versa
• Core data is from the LED program

30
What GIS Maps Used to Look Like
31
On the Map Participating States
32
On the Map Query Screen
33
Commuting Shed

• Where do residents in an area commute to work?

34
(No Transcript)
35
Commuting Shed Area Profile
36
Commuting Shed Shed Profile
37
Labor Shed

• Where do job holders working in a given area
  live?

38
(No Transcript)
39
(No Transcript)
40
(No Transcript)
41
Developing Community Indicators Using LED

• Job Creation ()
• New Hires ()
• Change in New Hire Earnings ()
• Job Churning aka Turnover ()
• Market Penetration Rate
• Stable Jobs
• Localizing Commuter Patterns

42
Total Employment and Employment Change
43
Job Creation and Change (Macro)
44
Average Monthly Earnings and Change
45
New Hires and Change
46
Average New Hire Earnings and Change
47
Separations and Change
48
Indicators as a Ratio of Larger Activity
49
Review

• Current quarterly workforce indicators
• QWI Query Screen
• Comparison Reports
• Industry Focus
• Local Workforce
• Top Industries
• On the Map
• Commuting Shed
• Labor Shed

50
Questions or Comments

• Gary Yakimov
• Senior Partner
• Corporation for a Skilled Workforce
• 301.765.0437
• gyakimov_at_skilledwork.org