Title: PROPERTY FINANCE
1PROPERTY FINANCE
Annual Affordable Housing Update Opportunities
in a Changing Economy
Presented By Vincent Rague, Chief Investment
Officer International Finance Corporation,
Washington, DC IPED CONFERENCE - CHICAGO JULY
10 - 11, 2008
2SUMMARY
- GLOBAL TRENDS
- IMPACT of RE ON ECONOMY
- CONSTRAINTS AND CHALLENGES
- IFC ROLE
- IFC PROJECT INVESTMENT CRITERIA
- EXAMPLES OF DEALS
- CONCLUSION
3Global Trends
- Demographics
- Rapid Global Population Growth, most of it in
Emerging Markets - Africas Population 669 million (2000) and
Over 770m (2006) most under 30 years of age - E.g. Turkeys Population 36 million (1970) and
Over 70m (2005) most under 30 years of age - Rapid Urbanization - Rural Urban migration
- Africas Urban Population/Total Pop Less that
20 (1970) vs. 41 (2002) - Turkeys Urban Population/Total Pop 29 (1970)
vs 61 (2002)
4Global Trends (Cont)
- Economics, Politics and Policy
- Compelling GDP Growth Rates for Emerging Markets
vs. OECD ( p.a.)
5Global Trends (cont)
- Economics, Politics and Policy
Source SP, Sept 2001 April 2007
6Rating of Select African Countries
7Global Trends (cont)
- Economics, Politics and Policy
- Political Stability
- Structural Reforms of Economy
- Liberalization globalization econ integration
- Increased Access to Mortgage/Housing Finance
- Economic Integration Regional Blocs, NEPAD,
etc.
8Global Trends (Cont)
- Impact on Real Estate Sector
- Growing pent-up demand for urban infrastructure
- roads, water, electricity, sewage, etc.
- Growing Incomes and Growing Middle Class
- Increased demand for quality accommodation
- housing, commercial, industrial, hospitality and
social space - Growing aspirations
- Adoption of Global Norms and Standards
- Proliferation of Unplanned Settlements
9Role of Real Estate, Housing in Economy
- Huge Economic Impact Employment, Commerce and
Industry - In the US
- Housing Accounts for approx 8 of GNP
- Housing and Housing Services Account for approx.
18 of GNP
10Attractive YieldsYields in Select Countries
11CONSTRAINTS TO REAL ESTATE SUPPLY
- Huge Pent-Up Demand for Housing and Real Estate
IN EMERGING MARKETS - High Transaction Costs (Stamp Duty/Transfer
Taxes) - Lack of Transparency Reputation Issues
- Highly Fragmentated
- Limited Access to Large Pools of Risk Capital
- Limited Capacity by Municipalities and
Governments to deliver Bulk Infrastructure - Roads, Sewage, Water, Electricity, etc.
12Why IFC Property Finance
- Many emerging markets, there is a logjam of
development in Mortgage/housing finance..
Developers not producing sufficient inventory -
lack of risk capital mortgage takeout
Lack of Housing Inventory (supply/demand
imbalance)
Mortgage markets are under-developed due to
scarcity of housing stock
13IFC Role and Additionality
- IFCs Goal is to help create viable communities
By Supporting - Development of Local Property Markets
- Increased Access to Risk Capital for Property
Finance - Catalyst To Attract Foreign Investment
- Deepening of Local Capital Markets
- Supporting Public Private Partnership Initiatives
to Deliver Sustainable Urban Infrastructure - Sustainability, environmental standards and best
practices
14Investment Vehicles Investment Types Options
Integrated Property Company that delivers all
aspects of RE Value Chain
Every market is unique.
Real Estate Investment Trust
Investment solutions are typically Integrated -
tailored based on Sponsors and investment/market
opportunities.
Real Estate Development Facility on a
project-by-project basis
Unbundled parts of R.E. Development upfront
soft costs and infrastructure
Trusts especially for Not-for-profit urban
renewable and affordable housing
15 Unique Solution Driven Service Offering
Property Finance Value Chain
Detailed Design
Infrastructure Devt
Origination
Urban Planning Permits
Land Acquisition
Feasibility Study
Mortgage Finance
Sales Marketing
Construction Finance
Transfer Titling
Construction
16IFC Investment Products
investments at different levels in the value
chain given the risks
Equity Mez Debt PCG Senior Debt
In. Risks
CAPITAL MARKETS
Development Stage Finance
MORTGAGE FINANCE
Senior Debt S-TPCG
Construction Finance
CONSTRUCTION FINANCE
Mortgage Finance
REIT Corp Bond ABS etc.
Capital Markets
17A Typical Deal Prerequisites
- Requirements of the Deal
- Transparency at all operational levels
- On-site full time and professional Project
Management - Clear Land and Property Titling Regime
- Strong Reputable Sponsors
- Adoption of Global Norms and Standards in
corporate governance, financial reporting and
accounting - Adoption of Sustainable Environmental and Social
Standards
18Typical Deal Structure of a Large-Scale Housing
Production Project
Equity Side
Debt Side
50 to 70 of total funding needs
10 to 50 of total funding needs
- Equity Partners
- Core Sponsor
- Others to be decided (could inc. IFC)
- Upfront Costs
- Land
- Soft costs
- Portion of infrastructure works
- Government permits
- Initial construction phase
- Banks
- Major and mid-size banks to share risk and gain
experience in Construction Finance - Capital Markets
- SPV issues MTN w/tranches and rollover
provisions, in local currency, variable rate, IFC
partial guarantee
19 Case Study 1 ARECO - South Africa
- Devco is a pure property development company,
likely set up as a JV between Sponsors other
developer(s). - IFC may take a stake in Devco
- It acts as developer of both commercial and
residential properties - Execution of development only, obtaining fees for
development services rendered - Property management fees are earned for
management of completed properties, whether sold
or held.
Investment Committee
Sponsor
P r o p C o
SPV1
IFC
Equity Investment
- Portfolio of residential and commercial
properties - Developed by Devco
- Some properties sold off to Propco (example
SPV4), or to other investment vehicles - Other Properties retained because they are judged
to not yet have matured or attained maximum
valuation
SPV2
Other Investors
SPV3
SPV4
SPV5
- Propco is a portfolo company of Sponsor, plus
other potential investors - It holds for long-term investment a portfolio of
developed properties, many developed by Devco,
some developed by other developers. - Devco originated properties are sold to Propco on
an arms length, full valuation basis - IFC will not be a shareholder in Propco
20 Case Study GRDC, Georgia
- Capitalization of vertically-integrated real
estate company in Georgia to finance the
development of its portfolio of 18 properties - IFC invited to join Round 3 of equity financing
and provide debt facility on a project basis.
Project Description
- Local sponsors
- International sponsors individuals and
institutional - Strong management team Solid execution capacity
and local market experience
Sponsor Management
- Equity Investment up to 20
- Debt Investment Total equity and Debt of Up to
35 of Project cost
IFC Investment
- Valuation
- Investing in a land bank
- Constructions Loans, a new area for IFC?
- Implementation risk
Risks Issues
21Case Study GRDC, Georgia
Equity Investment at Holding Level
Debt Investment at Project/SPV Level
- Valuation
- Methodology
- Negotiation
- Exit
- Sunset/Liquidation
- IPO or Sale
Security Covenants (incl. DSCR, DSRA, etc.)
Cash Flow Analysis
Monitoring and Supervision
22Property/Construction Finance TUHF Multi-Family
IFC
International Finance Market
TUHF
Credit Line
Mortgages
Rent Contracts
Renters
Owners
23Before and After TUHF Financing
24CONCLUDING REMARKS
- Attractive Investment Opportunity for both
local and foreign investors - Opportunity Requires Institutional Approach to
attract capital and large scale projects - RE Has Huge Development Impact
- Helps Develop Local Capital Markets
- Creates Sustainable Urban Environments
- Challenge Remains to Find Solutions to Address
Affordable and Social Housing Needs