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Valuation 8: Defensive expenditures HPF

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Title: Valuation 8: Defensive expenditures HPF


1
Valuation 8 Defensive expenditures (HPF)
  • Revealed preference methods
  • Defensive expenditures
  • Damage costs
  • Defensive expenditures A simple model
  • An example Urban ozone

2
Last week
  • Contingent choice modelling and its variants
  • Steps and design stages for choice modelling
  • Some econometrics
  • Application to green product choice

3
Revealed preference methods
  • People make choices within markets prices paid
    and quantities purchased
  • Derive values people place on environmental
    amenities and disamenities from purchase
    decisions
  • Stated preference methods intended behaviour
    non-use values
  • Four commonly used methods TCM, HPM, defensive
    expenditures and damage costs

4
Revealed preference methods -2
5
The Household production function approach
  • A household combines an environmental good/bad
    with market goods to produce and experience
    that directly provides utility
  • To enjoy a national park people must visit the
    park and this costs money
  • To defend against an environmental bad such as
    traffic noise money is spent on insulation
  • The household production function (HPF) approach
    involves investigating changes in the consumption
    of commodities that are substitutes or
    complements for the environmental good of interest

6
Defensive expenditures
  • Measures the demand for environmental bads
  • A rational consumer buys self-protection up to
    the point where the marginal cost of additional
    measures exceeds the marginal benefits from the
    reduction
  • Averting inputs include air filters, water
    purifiers, noise insulation and other defensive
    or self-protection inputs these are substitutes
  • In all these cases an individual combines
    quantities of a public bad with a quantity of a
    market good to produce what actually gives utility

7
Excurse Damage costs
  • The method estimates the resource cost associated
    with environmental change, rather than WTP
  • Does not include any estimate of consumer surplus
    or marginal prices
  • In the health context cost of illness approach
  • This is the sum of direct and indirect costs
    associated with illness, injury, or death
  • Direct costs (out-of pocket expenses)
  • Diagnose, treat, rehabilitate, or support ill or
    injured persons
  • Indirect costs (the value of output that is not
    produced)
  • Mainly foregone earnings

8
Defensive expenditure A simple model
  • Noise pollution (P) from a nearby road
  • higher Ps are worse
  • The individual is only interested in the level of
    quiet within the house (Q)
  • higher Q is better
  • The homeowner buys noise insulation and other
    equipment to reduce the level of noise within the
    house
  • Defensive expenditure D(Q,P) to achieve Q for a
    given P

9
The homeowners problem
  • The homeowners problem to choose between
    conventional goods (X) and Q is
  • Outdoor noise does not enter the utility
    function, it is outside of the control of the
    individual

X
Y
D(Q,P)
X
U1U(X,Q)
U0U(X,Q)
YXD(Q,P)
Q
Q
10
A simple model (2)
  • Suppose the level of noise (P) increases slightly
  • consumer has to spend more to achieve same noise
    level
  • If income increases
  • The level of utility is the same
  • Compensating surplus
  • What happens if income is not adjusted?
  • Lower level of utility
  • Substitution effects Q drops
  • Defensive expenditure lt true marginal WTP

11
The effect of a change in pollution
X
P2 gt P1
YXD(Q,P2)
YXD(Q,P1)
U1
U2
Q
Q2
Q1
12
Algebraically
  • Suppose we change P slightly by DP
  • The consumer adjusts the choice of Q and X
  • Defensive expenditure changes by DD and indoor
    noise levels by DQ
  • DDD(QDQ, P DP)-D(Q,P)
  • D(QDQ, P DP)-D(Q, P DP) D(Q, P
    DP)-D(Q,P)
  • DQDQDPDP
  • DQD(QDQ, P DP)-D(Q, P DP)/ DQ
  • DPD(Q, P DP)-D(Q,P)/ DP
  • The marginal WTP to avoid a change in P
  • DD/DP DQ(DQ/DP)DP
  • Generally DD/DP ltDP

13
An example Urban ozone
  • Significant extension to previous model
  • pollution level enters directly into the utility
    function
  • Study by Dickie and Gerking (1991)
  • Estimate the demand for ozone pollution for two
    cities in the metropolitan area of Los Angeles
  • Burbank and Glendora
  • Compare the results to out-of-pocket medical
    expenses (damage costs) associated with elevated
    ozone in each of the two cities

14
Burbank and Glendora
  • Suppose

Burbank
Glendora
New Standard
Old Standard
15
The basis of the analysis
  • Both cities have a significant amount of air
    pollution
  • What is the WTP for an average resident of each
    city to reduce the maximum ozone level during a
    year to either 12 or 9 pphm?
  • The analysis is based on peoples willingness to
    purchase health care to compensate for the
    health-related damage from ozone pollution
  • Ozone causes coughing and other breathing
    difficulties

16
The modelling approach
  • Utility is a function of market goods (X), health
    (H) and exposure to air pollution (A)
  • Defensive expenditure (M) depends on health (H),
    air pollution (A) and the individuals health
    status (R)
  • We write this as a health production function
    which tells us how much health will result if M
    is spent on medical care
  • The budget constraint is defined on the basis of
    time available to generate income

17
The modelling approach (2)
  • The indirect utility function giving maximum
    utility attainable is
  • If we could observe utility we could
    statistically estimate the equation
  • Dickie and Gerking compensate this by observing
    whether people visit a doctor
  • If they do, there must be a utility gain from
    visiting
  • and V1 (Mgt0) gt V0 (M0)
  • They use a random probability model and estimate
    the probability to visit a doctor
  • The binary choice problem is
  • Mgt0 if V1 - V0 gt 0 and M0 if V1 - V0 0

18
The data
  • Sample of 256 residents of the two cities
  • All are household heads with full-time jobs
  • Married white males with compromised respiratory
    functions are oversampled
  • Respondents were asked about
  • long-term health status
  • contacts with the medical care delivery system
  • socio-economic/demographic and work environmental
    characteristics
  • typical out-of-pocket expenses incurred for a
    visit to their doctor
  • commuting and waiting time required to see their
    doctor
  • Each contact with a respondent was matched to
    daily measures of ambient air pollution
    concentrations

19
The results
20
Conclusion
  • Estimates are lower bounds
  • As expected, out-of-pocket medical expenses are
    much lower
  • Earlier studies on defensive expenditures found
    much smaller values
  • 0.04 to 4.00 per year per person
  • Other regions
  • Lower ozone levels
  • No oversampling of respiratory impaired
  • CV studies found similar values
  • The broad range of WTP estimates poses an awkward
    situation for policy makers
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