Dr' Eban Goodstein, Lewis

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Global Warming Solutions for America
Dr. Eban Goodstein, Lewis Clark College,
Portland, Oregon
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The Carbon Blanket Getting Thicker Every Year
Pre-industrial 280 PPM Today 380 PPM 2050 ??
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The Next Century

• Warming of 2.5-10.5 degrees F
• Low end impacts serious but manageable
• High end impacts catastrophic

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Clear Impacts 1º F degree warming
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Temperate glacier retreat is global
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My city Portland, Oregon
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Local Impacts
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Global Impacts

• The BAD (worse as it warms more)
• Water shortages from snowpack loss Increased
  floods and droughts Extinction of many species
  ecosystems Spread of pests diseases More heat
  related illnesses and deaths More intense
  hurricanes and typhoons

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Global Impacts

• The GOOD (lt4 F)Longer growing seasons fewer
  cold-related deathsmore good golf days?
• The SCARY

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Catastrophic Impacts

• Thermohaline shutdown chaotic northern climate
• Ocean acidification potential collapse of marine
  foodchains
• Fire-driven deforestation of Amazon accelerated
  warming
• Methane release from tundra accelerated warming
• Continental Ice Sheet Collapse sea level rise of
  35-40 feet

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http//www.siu.edu/perspect/02_fall/images/larsen
_composite.jpg
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www.net.org/warming/stills.html
1979-2002 Increase in Greenland Melt Zone The
Arctic Climate Impact Assessment 2004
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How far can it go? The last time the world was
three degrees warmer than today which is what
we expect later this century sea levels were
25m higher. So that is what we can look forward
to if we don't act soonI think sea-level rise is
going to be the big issue soon, more even than
warming itself

• How long have we got? We have to stabilize
  emissions of carbon dioxide within a decade, or
  temperatures will warm by more than one degree.
  That will be warmer than it has been for half a
  million years, and many things could become
  unstoppable.We don't have much time left.
• Dr. James Hansen, Director, NASA Goddard
  Institute for Space Studies.
• The Independent 2/ 17/2006

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Emission Reduction Profile to achieve 450 PPM
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The model for a clean energy revolution
Source Goodstein 2004
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Clean Energy EconomicsInvestments that will
transform the global economy in 2030-2040.
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Focus the Nation Goals

• January 31st, 2008 1,000 colleges, universities
  and high schools
• 5,000 organizers
• 20,000 presenters
• 3,000,000 student participants
• 2,000 political leaders
• Beyond campus faith, business, civic groups

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Focus the Nation Goal

• Spark a serious national conversation about
  clean energy solutions to global warming.
• Build a unified national voice for action.

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Focus the Nation Depth

• Faculty, student and staff teams
• Sign up to sponsor a Focus the Nation event
• Get Endorsements from Presidents, Faculty
  Senates, Student Governments
• Organize the event
• Forward Policy Recommendations

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FOCUS

• www.focusthenation.org

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Help Build Focus The Nation

• 1. Plant flags soon!
• 2. Individuals Sign up for our E-bulletin to
  stay Involved
• 3. Connect us with business partners and donors
• 4. 12 Months Change the World

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Focus the NationStabilizing the Climate in the
21st Century

• Advisory Board
• Professor Bunyan Bryant
• Sen. Gary Hart (D-Co)
• Dennis Hayes
• Professor John Isham
• Hunter Lovins
• Professor William Moomaw
• Professor David Orr
• Billy Parish
• Hon. Claudine Schneider (R-RI)
• Professor James Gus Speth

Participating Institutions (partial list) Lewis
Clark College Catlin-Gable School Colorado
College Cornell University Middlebury
College Oberlin College San Francisco State
University University of Central
Florida University of Colorado, Denver University
of the South University of Texas Williams
University Wellesley University
Focus the Nations global warming travel
emissions are offset by Cool Tags from Clif Bar