Title: Spectrum Estimation in Helioseismology
1Spectrum Estimation in Helioseismology
- P.B. Stark
- Department of Statistics
- University of California
- Berkeley CA 94720-3860
-
- www.stat.berkeley.edu/stark
Source GONG website
2Acknowledgements
- Most media pirated from websites of
- Global Oscillations Network Group (GONG)
- Solar and Heliospheric Observer (SOHO) Solar
Oscillations Investigation - Collaboration w/ S. Evans (UCB), I.K. Fodor
(LLNL), C.R. Genovese (CMU), D.O.Gough
(Cambridge), Y. Gu (GONG), R. Komm (GONG), M.J.
Thompson (QMW)
Source www.gong.noao.edu
Source sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov
3The Difference between Theory and Practice
- In Theory, there is no difference between Theory
and Practice, but in Practice, there is. - Im embarrassed to give a talk about practice to
this lofty audience of mathematicians. - My first work in helioseismology was
theory/methodology for inverse problems. - Surprise! Data not K? ? , ?i iid, zero mean,
Var(?i) knownbut everyone pretends so.
4The Sun
- Closest star, 1.5108 km
- Radius 6.96105 km
- Mass 1.9891030 kg
- Teff 5780 K
- Luminosity 3.8461026 J/s
- Surface gravity 274 m/s2
- Age 4.6109y
- Mean density 1408 kg/m3
- Z/X 0.02 Y 0.24
5The Sun Vibrates
- Stellar oscillations known since late 1700s.
- Sun's oscillation observed in 1960 by Leighton,
Noyes, Simon. - Explained as trapped acoustic waves by Ulrich,
Leibacher, Stein, 1970-1.
Source SOHO-SOI/MDI website
6Pattern is Superposition of Modes
- Like vibrations of a spherical guitar string
- 3 quantum numbers l, m, n
- l and m are spherical surface wavenumbers
- n is radial wavenumber
Source GONG website
7Waves Trapped in Waveguide
- Low l modes sample more deeply
- p-modes do not sample core well
- Sun essentially opaque to EM transparent to
sound to neutrinos
Source forgotten!
8Spectrum is very Regular
- Explanation as modes, plus stellar evolutionary
theory, predict details of spectrum - Details confirmed in data by Deubner, 1975
Source GONG
9More data for Sun than for Earth
- Over 107 modes predicted
- Over 250,000 identified
- Will be over 106 soon
Formal error bars inflated by 200.Hill et al.,
1996. Science 272, 1292-1295
105-minute oscillations
- Takes a few hours for energy to travel through
the Sun. - p-mode amplitude 1cm/s
- Brightness variation 10-7
- Last from hours to months
- Excited by convection
1 mode 3 modes all
modes
40-day time series of mode coefficients,
speeded-up by 42,000. l1, n20 l0, 1, 2, 3 A.
Kosovichev, SOHO website.
11Oscillations Taste Solar Interior
- Frequencies sensitive to material properties
- Frequencies sensitive to differential rotation
- If Sun were spherically symmetric and did not
rotate, frequencies of the 2l1 modes with the
same l and n would be equal - Asphericity and rotation break the degeneracy
(Scheiner measured 27d equatorial rotation from
sunspots by 1630. Polar 33d.) - Like ultrasound for the Sun
12Different Modes sample Sun differently
Left raypath for l100, n8 and l2, n8
p-modesRight raypath for l5, n10 g-mode.
g-modes have not been observed
l20 modes. Left m20. Middle m16. (Doppler
velocities)Right section through eigenfunction
of l20, m16, n 14.
Gough et al., 1996. Science 272, 1281-1283
13Can combine Modes to target locally
Cuts through kernels for rotationA l15, m8.
B l28, m14. C l28, m24.D two targeted
combinations 0.7R, 60o 0.82R, 30oThompson et
al., 1996. Science 272, 1300-1305.
Estimated rotation rate as a function of depthat
three latitudes.Source SOHO-SOI/MDI website
14Goals of Helioseismology
- Learn about composition, state, dynamics of
closest star sunspots, heliodynamo, solar cycle - Test/improve theories of stellar evolution
- Use Sun as physics lab conditions unattainable
on Earth (neutrino problem, equation of state) - Predict space weather?
15Successes so far
- Revised depth of the solar convection zone
- Ruled out dynamo models with rotation constant on
cylinders - Found errors in opacity calculations of numerical
nuclear physicists - Progress in solar neutrino problem
16Plasma Rivers in the Sun
- SOHO imaged rivers of solar plasma moving 10
faster than the surrounding material. - NASA top-10 story, 1997.
Source SOHO SOI/MDI website
17Sun Quakes
- Can see acoustic waves propagating from a solar
flare - Time-distance helioseismology new field
- Source SOHO-SOI/MDI website
18Current Experiments
Experiments range from high-resolution to
Sun-as-a-star.The most extensive with highest
duty cycle are
- Global Oscillations Network Group (GONG)
- 6-station terrestrial network Sun never sets
- Funded by NSF
- Solar and Heliospheric Observer Solar
Oscillations Investigation (SOHO-SOI/MDI)
satellite - Orbits L1 Sun never sets
- Funded by NASA and ESA
19Velocity from Doppler Shifts Michelson Doppler
Interferometer
- Measure amplitudes of 3 light frequencies in Ni I
absorption band, 676.8nm - Probes mid-photosphere
- Get velocity in each pixel of CCD image
- Developed by T. Brown (HAO/NCAR) in 1980's
Source GONG website
20Data Reduction
Harvey et al., 1996. Science 272, 1284-1286
21Why Reduce the Data to Normal Modes?
- GONG data rate 4GB/day cant invert a year of
data Mode parameters are a much smaller
set.(N.b. 4GB/day ? asymptopia) - Identifying mode parameters helps separate the
stochastic disturbance from the characteristics
of the oscillator - Relationship between the time-domain surface
motion of a stochastically excited gaseous ball
with magnetic stiffening not well understood
22GONG Data Pipeline
- Adjust spherical harmonic coefficients for
estimated modulation transfer function - Merge time series of spherical harmonic
coefficients from different stations weight for
relative uncertainties - Fill data gaps of up to 30 minutes by ARMA
modeling - Compute periodogram of time series of spherical
harmonic coefficients - Fit parametric model to power spectrum by
iterative approximate maximum likelihood - Identify quantum numbers report frequencies,
linewidths, background power, and uncertainties
- Read tapes from sites.
- Correct for CCD characteristics
- Transform intensities to Doppler velocities
- Calibrate velocities using daily calibration
images - Find image geometry and modulation transfer
function (atmospheric effects, lens dirt,
instrument characteristics, ...) - High-pass filter to remove steady flows
- Remap images to heliographic coordinates,
interpolate, resample, correct for line-of-sight - Transform to spherical harmonics window,
Legendre stack in latitude, FFT in longitude
23Steps in Data Processing
Doppler velocity image
High-pass filtered to remove rotation flows
24And more steps
Time series of spherical harmonic coefficients
Spectra of time series, and fitted parametric
models Top GONG website. Bottom Hill et al.,
Science, 1996.
25Duty Cycle
- Both GONG and SOHO-SOI/MDI try to get
uninterrupted data - Other experiments at South Polelong day
- Gaps in data make it harder to estimate the
oscillation spectrum artifacts in periodogram
26Effect of Gaps
- Dont observe process of interest.
- Observe process window
- Fourier transform of data is FT of process,
convolved with FT of window. - FT of window has many large sidelobes
- Convolution causes energy to leak from distant
frequencies into any particular band of interest.
95 duty cycle window
Power spectrum of window
27Tapering
- Want simplicity of periodogram, but less leakage
- Traditional approachmultiply data by a smooth
taper that vanishes where there are no data - Smoother taper?smaller sidelobes, but more local
smearing (loss of resolution) - Pose choosing taper as optimization problem
28Optimal Tapering
- What taper minimizes leakage while maximizing
resolution? - Leakage is a bias optimality depends on
definition - Broad-band asymptotic yield eigenvalue problems
29Prolate Spheroidal Tapers
- Maximize the fraction of energy in a band -w, w
around zero - Analytic solution when no gaps
- 2wT tapers nearly perfect
- others very poor
- Must choose w
- Character different with gaps
T 1024, w 0.004. FodorStark, 2000. IEEE
Trans. Sig. Proc., 48, 3472-3483
30Minimum Asymptotic Bias Tapers
- Minimize integral of spectrum against frequency
squared - Leading term in asymptotic bias
T 1024 FodorStark, 2000. IEEE Trans. Sig.
Proc., 48, 3472-3483
31Sine Tapers
- Without gaps, approximate minimum asymptotic bias
tapers - With gaps, reorthogonalize w.r.t. gap structure
T 1024.FodorStark, 2000. IEEE Trans. Sig.
Proc. 48, 3472-3483.
32Optimization Problems
- Prolate and minimum asymptotic bias tapers are
top eigenfunctions of large eigenvalue problems - The problems have special structure can be
solved efficiently (top 6 tapers for T103,680 in
- Sine tapers very cheap to compute
33Sample Concentration of TapersT1024, w 0.004
Fodor Stark, 2000. IEEE Trans. Sig. Proc., 48,
3472-3483
34Sample Asymptotic Bias of Tapers, T 1024
Fodor Stark, 2000. IEEE Trans. Sig. Proc., 48,
3472-3483
35Multitaper Estimation
- Top several eigenfunctions have eigenvalues close
to 1. - Eigenvalues drop to zero, abruptly for no-gap
- Estimates using orthogonal tapers are
asymptotically independent (mild conditions) - Averaging spectrum estimates from several good
tapers can decrease variance without increasing
bias much. - Get rank K quadratic estimator.
36Multitaper Procedure
- Compute K orthogonal tapers, each with good
concentration - Multiply data by each taper in turn
- Compute periodogram of each product
- Average the periodograms
- Special case break data into segments
37Cheapest is Fine
- For simulated and real helioseismic time series
of length T103,680, no discernable systematic
difference among 12-taper multitaper estimates
using the three families of tapers. - Use re-orthogonalized sine tapers because they
are much cheaper to compute, for each gap pattern
in each time series.
38Multitaper Simulation
- Can combine with segmenting to decrease
dependence - Prettier than periodogram less leakage.
- Better, too?
T103,680. Truth in grey. Left panels
periodogram. Right panels 3-segment 4-taper
gapped sine taper estimate. FodorStark, 2000.
39Multitaper SOHO Data
- Easier to identify mode parameters from
multitaper spectrum - Maximum likelihood more stable can identify 20
to 60 more modes (Komm et al., 1999. Ap.J., 519,
407-421)
SOHO l85, m0. T 103, 680. Periodogram (left)
and 3-segment 4 sine taper estimateFodorStark,
2000. IEEE Trans. Sig. Proc., 48, 3472-3483
40Error bars Confidence Level in Simulation
1,000 realizations of simulated normal mode data.
95 target confidence level. Fodor Stark,
2000. IEEE Trans. Sig. Proc., 48, 3472-3483
41Pivot
- Asymptotic pivot asymptotic distribution does
not depend on unknown parameter - For K multitaper estimate, ? 10log10S(f),
Pivot Rn (T- ?)/?
42Depth of Convection Zone
- D. O. Gough showed using helioseismic data that
the solar convection zone probably is rather
thicker than had been thought.
43Falsified dynamo models
- Since the mid-1980s, many studies of solar
rotation using frequency splittings (broken
degeneracy from rotation) have shed doubt on
dynamo models that required rotation to be
roughly constant on cylinders in the convection
zone.
44Errors in Opacity Calculations
- The standard solar model fit the estimates of
soundspeed better with opacity at base of
convection zone modified in an ad hoc way. - Physicists who calculated original opacity found
bound-state contribution of iron had been
underestimated. - Led to 10-20 error in opacity at base of
convection zone. - Revised opacities fit solar data
- Explained mysterious pulsation period ratios of
Cepheid stars
Duval, 1984. Nature, 310, p22.
45Solar Neutrino Problem
- Measurements of solar neutrino flux lower than
predicted by nuclear physics stellar evolution
models - Not clear whether problem with nuclear physics or
with theory of stellar evolution - Helioseismology suggests low Helium abundance in
core not plausible explanation
46Linear Inverse Problem for Rotation
Assumes eigenfunctions and radial structure known.
47Consistency in Linear Inverse Problems
- Xi ?i? ?i, i1, 2, 3, ??? subset of
separable Banach?i? ? linear, bounded on ?
?i iid ? - ? consistently estimable w.r.t. weak topology
iff?Tk, Tk Borel function of X1, . . . , Xk
s.t. ????, ??0, ?? ??, limk P??Tk - ? ??
0
48Importance of Error Distribution
- µ a prob. measure on ? µa(B) µ(B-a), a? ?
- Hellinger distance
- Pseudo-metric on ?
- If restriction to ? converges uniformly on
increasing sequence of compacts to metric
compatible with weak topology, and those compacts
are totally bdd wrt d, can estimate ?
consistently in weak topology. - For given sequence of functionals ?i, µ rougher
? consistent estimation easier.
49Normal is Hardest
- Suppose ? ?? ??0,1, ??T Hilbert
- If ?i iid U0,1, consistent iff ??.
- If ?i iid N0,1, consistent iff ?2
?