East Coast Blackout

1
East Coast Blackout

• A View from the Operators Perspective

2
Base Case
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
3
305 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
4
312 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
5
312 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
6
318 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
7
332 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
8
332 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
9
341 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
10
343 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
11
344 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
12
344 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
13
345 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
14
346 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
15
346 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
16
352 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
17
352 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
18
359 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
19
359 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
20
359 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
21
402 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
22
406 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
23
406 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
24
406 pm
Perry
Lakeshore
Ashtabula
Avon
Eastlake
Lorain
Mansfield
Beaver Valley
Sammis
Conesville
Tidd
Burger Kammer
Muskingum
25
Game Over!!!!!

26
An Unexpected Disturbance in the West
Power on AC Intertie at California-Oregon
Border Oscillation Predicted by Simulation

This Is What We Thought Would Happen (Simulation)
Power MW
Time sec
This Is What Actually Happened August 4, 2000
Oscillation - Alberta Separation
Power on AC Intertie at California-Oregon
Border Actual Oscillation Measured
Power MW
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Time sec