FIBI

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FIBI

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Interest rate risk. Default risk. Reinvestment risk. Currency risk. Liquidity risk. Zvi Wiener ... What is the best choice? Zvi Wiener. FIFIBI - 1. 25 ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: FIBI


1
Fixed Income Instruments 1
  • Zvi Wiener
  • 02-588-3049
  • mswiener_at_mscc.huji.ac.il

2
Plan
  • Pricing of Bonds
  • Measuring yield
  • Bond Price Volatility
  • Factors Affecting Yields and the Term Structure
    of IR
  • Treasury and Agency Securities Markets
  • Corporate Debt Instruments
  • Municipals

3
Plan
  • Non-US Bonds
  • Mortgage Loans
  • Mortgage Pass-Through Securities
  • CMO and Stripped MBS
  • ABS
  • Bonds with Embedded Options
  • Analysis of MBS
  • Analysis of Convertible Bonds

4
Plan
  • Active Bond Portfolio Management
  • Indexing
  • Liability Funding Strategies
  • Bond Performance Measurement
  • Interest Rate Futures
  • Interest Rate Options
  • Interest Rate Swaps, Caps, Floors

5
Characteristics of a Bond
  • Issuer
  • Time to maturity
  • Coupon rate, type and frequency
  • Linkage
  • Embedded options
  • Indentures
  • Guarantees or collateral

6
Sources
  • Fabozzi, Bond Markets, Analysis and
    Strategies, Prentice Hall.
  • P. Wilmott, Derivatives, Wiley.
  • Hull, White, Manuscript.

7
Sectors
  • Treasury sector bills, notes, bonds
  • Agency sector debentures (no collateral)
  • Municipal sector tax exempt
  • Corporate sector US and Yankee issues
  • bonds, notes, structured notes, CP
  • investment grade and noninvestment grade
  • Asset-backed securities sector
  • MBS sector

8
Basic terms
  • Principal
  • Coupon, discount and premium bonds
  • Zero coupon bonds
  • Floating rate bonds
  • Inverse floaters
  • Deferred coupon bonds
  • Amortization schedule
  • Convertible bonds

9
Basic Terms
  • The Money Market Account
  • LIBOR London Interbank Offer Rate, see BBA
    Internet site
  • FRA Forward Rate Agreement
  • Repos, reverse repos
  • Strips Separate Trading of Registeres Interest
    and Principal of Securities

10
Basic Terms
  • gilts (bonds issued by the UK government)
  • JGB Japanese Government Bonds
  • Yen denominated issued by non-Japanese
    institutions are called Samurai bonds

11
Major risks
  • Interest rate risk
  • Default risk
  • Reinvestment risk
  • Currency risk
  • Liquidity risk

12
Time Value of Money
  • present value PV CFt/(1r)t
  • Future value FV CFt(1r)t
  • Net present value NPV sum of all PV

13
Term structure of interest rates
Yield IRR
How do we know that there is a solution?
14
Price-Yield Relationship
  • Price and yield (of a straight bond) move in
    opposite directions.

price
yield
15
General pricing formula
16
Accrued Interest
  • Accrued interest interest due in full period
  • (number of days since last coupon)/
  • (number of days in period between coupon payments)

17
Day Count Convention
  • Actual/Actual - true number of days
  • 30/360 - assume that there are 30 days in each
    month and 360 days in a year.
  • Actual/360

18
Floater
  • The coupon rate of a floater is equal to a
    reference rate plus a spread.
  • For example LIBOR 50 bp.
  • Sometimes it has a cap or a floor.

19
Inverse Floater
  • Is usually created from a fixed rate security.
  • Floater coupon LIBOR 1
  • Inverse Floater coupon 10 - LIBOR
  • Note that the sum is a fixed rate security.
  • If LIBORgt10 there is typically a floor.

20
Price Quotes and Accrued Interest
  • Assume that the par value of a bond is 1,000.
  • Price quote is in of par accrued interest
  • the accrued interest must compensate the seller
    for the next coupon.

21
Annualizing Yield
  • Effective annual yield (1periodic rate)m-1
    examples
  • Effective annual yield 1.042-18.16
  • Effective annual yield 1.024-18.24

22
  • Bond selling at Relationship
  • Par Coupon ratecurrent yieldYTM
  • Discount Coupon rateltcurrent yieldltYTM
  • Premium Coupon rategtcurrent yieldgtYTM
  • Yield to call uses the first call as cashflow.
  • Yield of a portfolio is calculated with the total
    cashflow.

23
YTM and Reinvestment Risk
  • YTM assumes that all coupon (and amortizing)
    payments will be invested at the same yield.

24
YTM and Reinvestment Risk
  • An investor has a 5 years horizon
  • Bond Coupon Maturity YTM
  • A 5 3 9.0
  • B 6 20 8.6
  • C 11 15 9.2
  • D 8 5 8.0
  • What is the best choice?

25
Bond Price Volatility
  • Consider only IR as a risk factor
  • Longer TTM means higher volatility
  • Lower coupons means higher volatility
  • Floaters have a very low price volatility
  • Price is also affected by coupon payments
  • Price value of a Basis Point price change
    resulting from a change of 0.01 in the yield.

26
Duration and IR sensitivity
27
Duration
28
Duration
29
Duration
  • Bond duration price impact of 1 YTM
  • A 3 yr
  • B 1 yr
  • C 10 yr
  • D 20 yr

-3 -1 -10 -20
30
Measuring Price Change
31
The Yield to Maturity
  • The yield to maturity of a fixed coupon bond y is
    given by

32
Macaulay Duration
  • Definition of duration, assuming t0.

33
Macaulay Duration
A weighted sum of times to maturities of each
coupon.
  • What is the duration of a zero coupon bond?

34
Meaning of Duration
35
Convexity
36
FRA Forward Rate Agreement
  • A contract entered at t0, where the parties (a
    lender and a borrower) agree to let a certain
    interest rate R, act on a prespecified
    principal, K, over some future time period S,T.
  • Assuming continuous compounding we have
  • at time S -K
  • at time T KeR(T-S)
  • Calculate the FRA rate R which makes PV0
  • hint it is equal to forward rate

37
ALM Duration
  • Does NOT work!
  • Wrong units of measurement
  • Division by a small number

38
ALM Duration
  • A similar problem with measuring yield

39
  • Do not think of duration as a measure of time!

40
  • Key rate duration
  • Principal component duration
  • Partial duration

41
Factors affecting Bond yields and TS
  • Base interest rate - benchmark interest rate
  • Risk Premium - spread
  • Expected liquidity
  • Market forces - Demand and supply

42
Taxability of interest
  • qualified municipal bonds are exempts from
    federal taxes.
  • After tax yield pretax yield (1- marginal tax
    rate)

43
Do not use yield curve to price bonds
  • Period A B
  • 1-9 6 1
  • 10 106 101
  • They can not be priced by discounting cashflow
    with the same yield because of different
    structure of CF.
  • Use spot rates (yield on zero-coupon Treasuries)
    instead!

44
  • On-the-run Treasury issues
  • Off-the-run Treasury issues
  • Special securities
  • Lending
  • Repos and reverse repos

45
Forward Rates
  • Buy a two years bond
  • Buy a one year bond and then use the money to buy
    another bond (the price can be fixed today).

(1r2)(1r1)(1f12)
46
Forward Rates
  • (1r3)(1r1)(1f13) (1r1)(1f12)(1f13)
  • Term structure of instantaneous forward rates.

47
Determinants of the Term Structure
  • Expectation theory
  • Market segmentation theory
  • Liquidity theory
  • Mathematical models Ho-Lee, Vasichek,
    Hull-White, HJM, etc.

48
Home Assignment
  • What is the duration of a floater?
  • What is the duration of an inverse floater?
  • How coupon payments affect duration?
  • Why modified duration is better than Macaulay
    duration?
  • How duration can be used for hedging?
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