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Why is saving rate high in China

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Title: Why is saving rate high in China


1
Why is saving rate high in China?
  • Made by Xiao Li

2
Introduction
  • Along with the fast growth of the Chinese
    economy, more and more economists, either
    domestic or abroad, are paying attention to the
    persistent high Chinese saving rate.
  • A widely adopted perspective is that Chinas high
    saving rate is attributed to the undeveloped
    financial market and cultural background. That
    is, Chinese residents are used to saving, and
    Chinese households lack diversified investment
    opportunities.
  • However, others believe that the high Chinese
    saving rate is attributed to the imperfect social
    security system, housing demand after the housing
    system reform, unaffordable rise in educational
    expenditure and uncertainty of future incomes.

3
Table of Chinese saving
4
Reasons
  • It depends on the Chinese history, Chinese
    Culture and Chinese characteristic market
    structures. Since 1978, Deng xiaoping started to
    reform economics in China. All the contributions
    and state enterprises need investment to operate.
    Government encourage people to save more in
    banks. So the government had money to invest.
    Foreign investment was little portion.

5
Continue
  • An important reason why ordinary people are
    unwilling to consume lies in the unsound social
    security system---Central Bank governor Zhou
    Xiaochuan
  • He pointed out that the flaws of the social
    security system will be eliminated through future
    efforts, and the Chinese Government should
    accelerate the process of reforming the systems
    of retirement pension, medical care and
    education. Thus China can reduce preventive
    savings of its people and the proportion of
    savings in GDP will drop to a normal level.

6
Effects and Solutions
with the exception of a few years since the late
1980s, the savings rate of China has been higher
than the investment rate, while imports and
exports maintain a surplus. This means that
through the nations favorable balance of trade,
the surplus savings of China has supported
investment of other countries. High saving
rates caused high investment, low consumption,
but the investment or bank loans can not be used
efficiently. Now, Chinese government want to
lower the high saving rates, they encourage
people to spend more. But the deposit is still
45 of GDP.
7
continue
  • China national situation is special. Although the
    overall saving rate remains high, most people are
    still worried about their future retirement
    pension, education fee for their children, and
    expense of medical services and housing.
    Therefore, China's saving rate is unlikely to
    fall at the present stage and will stay at a high
    level in the next 10 to 20 years.

8
Others factors
  • Chinese consumer goods price is rising. People
    spend more on consumer goods than before.
  • The housing cost rises rapidly. People have to
    save more money to offer their houses and their
    childs house.
  • Money spend more on bonds, stocks and insurance.
  • Appreciate Renminbi (not a good way to solve this
    problem)

9
Conclusions
  • First, when the high Chinese saving rate is
    reduced, people like to put money on higher risky
    investment, for example, buying stocks in stock
    market.
  • Second, Chinese government need to establish an
    advance security system, like providing
    reasonable retirement plan, medical care and
    control education fee and housing cost.

Third, the increase in the proportion of
enterprises and governments disposable income
in the national disposable income makes it
possible for high investment, while the
expansionary fiscal policy provoked the
enthusiasm of enterprises investment.
Fourth, in order to get rid of the Chinese
economy from a situation of insufficient
consumption, it is necessary for the government
to play a more important role in
income redistribution.
10
Con.
  • Finally, most of household savings have been put
    into banks and the majority of external financing
    of enterprises comes from bank loans.
  • These make the banking system face more and more
    risks. In order to avoid future financial crisis
    and meet the diversified investment needs of
    households, the reform in the financing sector
    must be speeded up, and the indirect financing of
    enterprises must be reduced further.
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