Title: Why is saving rate high in China
1Why is saving rate high in China?
2Introduction
- Along with the fast growth of the Chinese
economy, more and more economists, either
domestic or abroad, are paying attention to the
persistent high Chinese saving rate. - A widely adopted perspective is that Chinas high
saving rate is attributed to the undeveloped
financial market and cultural background. That
is, Chinese residents are used to saving, and
Chinese households lack diversified investment
opportunities. - However, others believe that the high Chinese
saving rate is attributed to the imperfect social
security system, housing demand after the housing
system reform, unaffordable rise in educational
expenditure and uncertainty of future incomes.
3Table of Chinese saving
4Reasons
- It depends on the Chinese history, Chinese
Culture and Chinese characteristic market
structures. Since 1978, Deng xiaoping started to
reform economics in China. All the contributions
and state enterprises need investment to operate.
Government encourage people to save more in
banks. So the government had money to invest.
Foreign investment was little portion.
5Continue
- An important reason why ordinary people are
unwilling to consume lies in the unsound social
security system---Central Bank governor Zhou
Xiaochuan - He pointed out that the flaws of the social
security system will be eliminated through future
efforts, and the Chinese Government should
accelerate the process of reforming the systems
of retirement pension, medical care and
education. Thus China can reduce preventive
savings of its people and the proportion of
savings in GDP will drop to a normal level.
6Effects and Solutions
with the exception of a few years since the late
1980s, the savings rate of China has been higher
than the investment rate, while imports and
exports maintain a surplus. This means that
through the nations favorable balance of trade,
the surplus savings of China has supported
investment of other countries. High saving
rates caused high investment, low consumption,
but the investment or bank loans can not be used
efficiently. Now, Chinese government want to
lower the high saving rates, they encourage
people to spend more. But the deposit is still
45 of GDP.
7continue
- China national situation is special. Although the
overall saving rate remains high, most people are
still worried about their future retirement
pension, education fee for their children, and
expense of medical services and housing.
Therefore, China's saving rate is unlikely to
fall at the present stage and will stay at a high
level in the next 10 to 20 years.
8Others factors
- Chinese consumer goods price is rising. People
spend more on consumer goods than before. - The housing cost rises rapidly. People have to
save more money to offer their houses and their
childs house. - Money spend more on bonds, stocks and insurance.
- Appreciate Renminbi (not a good way to solve this
problem)
9Conclusions
- First, when the high Chinese saving rate is
reduced, people like to put money on higher risky
investment, for example, buying stocks in stock
market. - Second, Chinese government need to establish an
advance security system, like providing
reasonable retirement plan, medical care and
control education fee and housing cost.
Third, the increase in the proportion of
enterprises and governments disposable income
in the national disposable income makes it
possible for high investment, while the
expansionary fiscal policy provoked the
enthusiasm of enterprises investment.
Fourth, in order to get rid of the Chinese
economy from a situation of insufficient
consumption, it is necessary for the government
to play a more important role in
income redistribution.
10Con.
- Finally, most of household savings have been put
into banks and the majority of external financing
of enterprises comes from bank loans. - These make the banking system face more and more
risks. In order to avoid future financial crisis
and meet the diversified investment needs of
households, the reform in the financing sector
must be speeded up, and the indirect financing of
enterprises must be reduced further.