Preparing For the Rest of the 21st Century

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CHALLENGES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE TWENTY-FIRST
CENTURY Professor Paul Kennedy CATHOLIC
CHARITIES CONFERENCE
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Global Population Growth, 1950-2050
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Projected Population Developed and Developing
World
Source United Nations Department for Economic
and Social Information and Policy Analysis, World
Population Prospects The 1996 Revision (New
York United Nations Department for Economic and
Social Information and Policy Analysis,
Population Division, 1996), pp. 10, 12, 14.
Figures are based on the medium variant
population projection.
4
Population Forecast of the World Population
Report (Medium Variant), by Regions in billions
Source UNFPA 1992.
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World Gross Domestic Product, 2000
Source United Nations Development Program.,
Human Development Report 2001.
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Gross World Product, 1950-2050
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GDP/Capita Disparities (PPP US 1999)
Luxembourg 42,769 United States
31,872 Japan 24,898 United
Kingdom 22,093 Singapore 20,767 Haiti
1,464 Tajikistan 1,031 Yemen
806 Niger 753 Sierra Leone 448
UNDP Human Development Indicators, 2001
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The Income Gap Will Not Close
Hammond
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Sweden Uganda Socioeconomic Indicators
GDP/Capita PPP USD 1999
22, 636
Adult literacy rate (), 1995
66.1
100
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births),
1999
83
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UNDP, Human Development Indicators 2001
10
Growth of the World Labor Force1950-2020
Source International Labour Organization
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Industrial Countries Proportion of the World
Labor Force in percent
Source International Labour Organization
12
United States Population Growth, 1950-2050
Source United States Census (middle projection)
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US Leads in Inequality
How Many Dollars Those in the Richest Fifth Earn
for Every Dollar Earned by Those in the Poorest
Fifth
Source Kevin Phillips, Wealth and Democracy
(2002), 124.
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CEO-Worker Pay Gap

• 1982 421
• 2000 5311
• 2002 2821

Source Executive Excess, 2003 Report
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Percent Change in After-Tax Income, 1977-1994 (US)
Source Kevin Phillips, Wealth and Democracy
(2002), 137.
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US Economic Polarization, 1967-1997
Average Inflation-Adjusted Annual After Tax
Income of Poor, Middle Class and Rich Households
Source Kevin Phillips, Wealth and Democracy
(2002), 128.
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Federal Revenues, Outlays, Deficits and
Surpluses, 1950 to 2075 (as percentage of GDP)
Source Congressional Budget Office
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US Defense Budget (FY 2004)
Source Center for Defense Information (updated
19 March 2003)
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World Defense Expenditures, 2001
Source Stockholm International Peace Research
Institute