Main milestones

1
Main milestones

• 6th Environmental Action Programme 2002-2012
• policy objective AQ is one of the priorities
• 1st COM (2001) 245 final
• Towards a thematic strategy
• Clean Air For Europe 2002 - 2005
• knowledge-based approach
• consultation of stakeholders
• participation of the public
• transparency
• 2nd COM (2005) XXX
• Thematic Strategy itself
• Adoption expected before June 2005

2
CAFE, how it works

• Decision support tools and data
• Tools RAINS, SCENES, PRIMES, TREMOVE, City Delta
• CBA methodology
• EEA, WHO reports
• Position papers
• EU projects results (FP, Life), including
  INTEGAIRE !
• Dialogue, listening
• Workshops
• Steering group meetings
• Results of the public consultation
• see www.europa.eu.int/comm/environment/air/cafe

3
Main results of CAFE (1)

• Emissions EU-25 projected to decline in 2020
• Positive effects of current legislation for
  traditional pollutants
• With/without current legislation 2020
• 3 to 10 times less in 2020
• 2020/1990
• -88 SO2, -58 NOx, -65 VOCs, -44 primary PM2.5
• Shift to other sources
• NH3 hardly change (agriculture)
• Ships (NOx, SO2) land-based emissions
• Small scale combustion plants growing
  contribution (NOx and PM)
• see CAFE baseline assessment report

4
Main results of CAFE (2)

• Ozone and PM exposure remain public health
  concern
• Association between peak levels and health
  effects confirmed
• ozone and small particles significant impacts
  even at low concentrations
• Effects of long-term exposure larger than those
  from peak exposure
• PM2.5 substantial reduction of life expectancy
  (9 months today)
• Effects of ozone and PM exposure in 2020
• PM2.5 still 208,000 premature mortalities per
  year
• Ozone still more than 20,000
• Natural environment still threatened
• Critical ozone levels gt vegetation and crops
• Forests remain at risk from acidification
• see CAFE baseline assessment report

5
Main results of CAFE (3)

• Inaction would have a significant cost
• Still 154 to 476 billion per year in 2020
• Mainly mortality and morbidity effects of ozone
  and PM
• Lessons of the public consultation
• Very strong participation
• Lack of local information about air pollution
• Human health then impacts on environment, first
• Greater protection wanted, willingness to pay for
  it

6
Strategic tracks (1)

• Improve current air legislation
• Streamline AQ legislation
• Control human exposure to PM2.5
• Monitoring reporting
• Attainment and applicability of limit values
• Review NEC Directive

7
Strategic tracks (2)

• New initiatives
• Small combustion plants
• Refuelling passenger cars
• Ships
• Better integration
• Agriculture
• Control of NH3
• Transport
• Emission limits of new road vehicles
• Eurovignette
• Scrapping
• Retrofitting
• Management of urban transport
• Public procurement related to public fleets

8
Strategic tracks (3)

• Ensure consistency/synergy with other policies
• Hemispheric pollution
• Climate change
• Soil
• Water
• Marine
• Biodiversity
• Health
• Urban environment
• Cohesion

9
Next appointments ?

• Analysis of scenarios and definition of ambition
  levels
• Next steering group meetings
• Inter-service consultation
• Adoption by the College (May-June 2005)
• Thanks !