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Resources and Dynamics

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x in Rn; l in R . ( positive or zero) Problem P: Maxx U(x) s.t. g(x) 0. ... L(x,h,l) = St (1 r)-t pt ht St lt (xt - ht -xt 1) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Resources and Dynamics


1
Resources and Dynamics
  • Discrete Time

2
Lagrange
  • A Saddle and an Optimum.
  • x in Rn l in R. (positive or zero)
  • Problem P Maxx U(x) s.t. g(x) ? 0.
  • When g(x) ? 0, we say x satisfies the constraints
    or x is feasible.
  • Define L(x,l) U(x) l g(x)

3
L2
  • Define A Saddle of L is a pair (x,l) that
    satisfies
  • SI L(x,l) ? L(x,l)
  • SII L(x,l) ? L(x,l)
  • Comment 95 of heroin addicts started with
    marijuana. 100 with milk. Heroin implies milk
    but milk does not imply heroin. Can you define
    necessary, sufficient, converse, contrapositive?

4
Theorem.
  • If (x,l) is a saddle of L then x solves
    problem P.
  • Remark I bet Leo talked about If x solves P
    then it is a saddle of L. That was the stuff
    about there being multipliers and the existence
    of prices. This is the converse

5
Sketch of Proof
  • a. g(x) ? 0. if not make l l 1 and the
    value of L would go down. contradicts SII.
  • b. g(x) 0 implies l 0. if not make l
    smaller and value of L would go down.
  • therefore g(x) l 0.
  • called complementary slackness.

6
End of Proof
  • c. SI means U(x) l g(x) U(x) ? U(x)
    l g(x) where the first equality is complementary
    slackness and the ? is SI. Thus For all x for
    which g(x) ? 0, lg(x) ? 0, and U(x) ? U(x).
    This is exactly problem P. The end.

7
Dynamic models.
  • (What I do is dynamic. What you do is sh...)
    Warning, making something dynamic for the fun of
    it gains you nothing and really annoys your
    reader.

8
Definitions
  • Instead of many goods, same good or thing in many
    time periods.
  • Start with xt being the stock of fish in the sea
    or coal in the mine.
  • x is called a state variable, it is the amount
    of stuff.
  • A control variable or control, ht is the action
    taken, like harvesting or mining.

9
State Equations
  • state variable next period in terms of the state
    variable this period and control.
  • Example xt1 xt - ht
  • x 0, is called a state space constraint and
    causes no trouble here, but in continuous time,
    look out.
  • h0 is a control constraint, and they never cause
    problems.

10
Exhaustible as Optimum
  • In the exhaustible resource case let U(x,h) St
    (1r)-t pt ht be the objective function. pt is
    price.
  • The initial stock of resource is given x0. Both
    state and control variable are non-negative.

11
Exhausted Lagrange
  • Problem of exhaustible resources max U s.t.
    state equations
  • in Lagrangian form
  • L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t pt ht
  • St lt (xt - ht -xt1)

12
L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t pt ht St lt (xt - ht
-xt1)
  • Expand a little of this out
  • p0 h0 p1 h1/(1r) l0 (x0 -h0 -x1) l1 (x1 -
    h1 - x2) ...
  • don't talk about where we stop the summations.
    Note that xt - ht -xt1 0 works out fine.
    Since the stuff is valuable it will always zero.

13
Now to Lh
  • L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t pt ht St lt (xt - ht
    -xt1)
  • either h0 or (1r)-tpt lt

14
Lx 0
  • L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t pt ht St lt (xt - ht
    -xt1)
  • L p0 h0 p1 h1/(1r)
  • l0 (x0 -h0 -x1) l1 (x1 - h1 - x2)
  • lt - lt-1 0
  • or the constraint is slack, which it never is.

15
Hotellings rule
  • Putting our two conditions together
  • lt - lt-1 0
  • (1r)-tpt lt
  • (1r)-t-1pt-1 (1r)-tpt or
  • pt1 (1r) pt
  • whenever harvesting is positive

16
Steady State Fish
  • State equation
  • xt1 xt f(xt) - ht.
  • U(x,h) St (1r)-t pt ht
  • here take p as constant
  • L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t pt ht
  • St lt (xt f(xt) - ht -xt1)

17
Growth
xt1 xt f(xt) - ht.
Critical Depensation
f
Largest Stock
Max sustainable yield
x
18
The r f rule
  • L(x,h,l) St (1r)-t p ht
  • St lt (xt f(xt) - ht -xt1)
  • Lx lt(1f) - lt-1
  • Lh (1r)-t p - lt
  • Assuming equality (true in steady state)
  • (1r)-t p (1f) (1r)-t1 p
  • r f(x) The steady state stock.

19
Steady State
  • One can show that the full solution is
  • x x, harvest down to x in one period and then
    set h f(x)
  • x then set h f(x)

20
Growth
The truth is that fisheries that are nominally
regulated to produce MaxSustainableYield regularly
get pushed to the brink of extinction. There
is an interesting political problem here.
rf(x)
f
Max sustainable yield
x
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