Mats Johansson Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm

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Mats JohanssonRoyal Institute of Technology,
Stockholm

• REGIONAL ENLARGEMENT IN THE MECIBS AREA
• DIFFERENT LOCATIONS,DIFFERENT RECONDITIONS,
• DIFFERENT OUTCOMES
• A schematic and simplified presentation!

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• Regional enlargementFewer but larger and more
  functional local markets
• Central ingredients
• Migration
• Settlement
• Commuting

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• Migration and settlement patterns
• Industrial migration and settlement pattern
• Push- factors dominate
• Strong connections to labour market conditions
• Good times high migration
• Bad times low migration
• Labour a homogenous production factor
• No labour market segmentation cyclical
  unemployment
• Housing and working areas integrated
• Industrial equilibrium

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• Migration and settlement patterns
• Post-industrial migration and settlement pattern
• Pull-factors dominate
• Weak connections to labour market conditions
• Labour a heterogeneous production factor
• Increased labour market segmentation
• structural unemployment
• Bad times and good times high mobility
• Ad hoc migration young people
• Quality of life a pull factor
• Amenities a pull factor
• Housing and working areas separated
• Post-industrial equilibrium

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Regional enlargementFewer but larger and more
functional local marketsA solution of the
population and labor market crisis in smaller and
medium-sized cities?

• Characteristics
• Commuting over longer distances
• Less labour market related migration
• More settlement related migration

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• Results
• Larger local labour markets
• Residence and work more separated
• More efficient matching on the labour market
• Better matching between residence and work
• LLMs more self-sufficient on labour supply
• Stimulated by economic growth
• Stimulates economic growth

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• Regional enlargement A preliminary typology
• (and cases) with regard to the MECIBS area
• Large (monocentric) labour markets
• E.g? Nyköping, Norrtälje, Jüterbog, Randers
• Small (polcycentric) local labour markets
• E.g? Kokkola, Lappeenranta, Kuldiga, Herning
• Remote and isolated labour markets
• E.g? Nakskov, Sillamäe, Viborg. Chojnice

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• Large local markets integrated in metropolitan
  areas
• Densely populated
• Good accessibility
• Out-commuting
• Balanced net-migration
• Families in-movers, youngsters out-movers
• Balanced age structure
• Dependent on the labour market in centre
• High educational level
• Housing areas
• Amenities, a pull-factor
• Good matching on the labour market
• Post-industrial migration and settlement pattern
• Results
• Invulnerable to economic chocks, integrated in a
  large and diversified LLM
• Positive population development
• Monocentric regions
• Regional enlargement a fact

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• Small local labour markets
• Relatively sparsely populated
• Good short-distance accessibility
• Balanced commuting
• Out-migration
• Youngsters out-movers
• Lopsided age structure
• Dependent of labour markets in surrounding cities
• Low educational level
• Jobs are prioritised
• Labour market segmentation
• Still industrial migration and settlement pattern
• Results
• Vulnerable to economic chocks, integrated in a
  small LLM
• Stagnating/decreasing population
• Small polycentric regions?
• Regional enlargement a solution

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• Remote and isolated labour markets
• Sparsely populated
• Low accessibility
• No commuting
• Out-migration, especially youngsters
• Lopsided age structure
• Dependent of its own resources/public sector
• Low educational level
• Jobs are prioritised
• Raw-material based large industries
• Labour market segmentation even regional
  mismatch
• Industrial migration and settlement pattern
• Results
• Very vulnerable to economic chocks, a labour
  market of its own
• Population decrease
• Links to metropolitan regions a solution?
• Regional enlargement no preconditions

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• Concluding remarks
• Different locations
• Different preconditions
• Different outcomes

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• End of the show thanks for your attention!