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Random Variable:

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X has a countable number of outcomes. the weights of our apples were not finite ? ... Y is the number of hotdogs that I will eat. If rides cost $3 and hotdogs are $2 . – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Random Variable:


1
Random Variable Variable whose value is a
numerical outcome of a random phenomenon
Example apples X the weight in grams of an
apple
x could be N .
2
Random Variables
  • Discrete
  • Continuous

3
  • Discrete Random Variable .X
  • X has a countable number of outcomes
  • the weights of our apples were not finite
  • ? The number of classes passed in a year ?
  • ? The number of states with snowfall ?
  • ? The number of rides taken at the fair ?

4
Discrete Random Variable .X
Each outcome is represented by xi The probability
of each outcome by pi
  • 0 pi 1
  • Spi 1

5
Continuous Random Variable . Takes on all values
in an interval .with a probability distribution
that is represented by a density curve
Our favorite continuous random variable is ..
NORMAL !!!
Ex time to take a test
6
Discrete Random Variable .X
Mean Sxipi Variance S(xi - µ)2pi
7
Number of Speeding Tickets
8
Rules
  • µabX a bµx
  • µXY µX µY

Assuming the variables are independent
9
At the Carnival .
  • X is the number of times I will ride the
    rollercoaster
  • Y is the number of hotdogs that I will eat
  • If rides cost 3 and hotdogs are 2 ..
  • C to be the cost of my trip to the carnival

10
Go to the farm
  • The yield of corn is N ( 120 bushels,20)
  • The yield of soybeans is N(85,7)
  • Corn makes 15 a bushel and soybeans bring in 23
    a bushel.

11
Questions
  • What is the mean number of bushels of corn and
    soybeans that I should expect?
  • What expected price should I get for them?
  • What is the chance that I will farm more than
    215 total bushels?
  • What is the chance that I will make more money
    from the soybeans than the corn?

12
Test scores
13
When is ?
  • x x x ? 3x

14
Hmm.
  • gt A box contains ten 1 bills, five 2 bills,
    three 5 bills, one 10 bill and one 100 bill. A
    person is charged 20 to select one bill.
  • gt a) Identify the RV
  • gt b) Construct a probability distribution
  • gt c) Find the expected value
  • gt d) Is the game fair? Explain.

15
  • Law of Large Numbers
  • the average results of many independent
    observations are stable and predictable
  • how large is large ?
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