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Post hoc ergo propter hoc ('after this, therefore because of this' ... The Huffington Post, 'Boehmer Cites Cow Farts to Downplay Global Warming' ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Homework


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Homework
  • Study Fallacies 1-18
  • Review pp. 103-137
  • Fallacies (definition)
  • 3.1 Fallacies of Relevance (1 7)
  • 3.2 Fallacies of Weak Induction (8 14)
  • For Next Class pp. 137-144
  • Fallacies of Presumption (15 18)
  • Study Tip
  • How is each fallacy a fallacy of that type?
  • e.g. how is the fallacy of weak analogy a
    fallacy of weak induction?
  • e.g. how is begging the question a fallacy of
    presumption?

3
Informal Fallacies
4
Kinds of Informal Fallacies
  • Fallacies of
  • Relevance
  • Weak Induction
  • Presumption
  • Ambiguity or Whole/Part

See pages 151-52 for a complete list
5
Fallacies of Weak Induction
6
Weak Induction
  • Premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Insufficient evidence to warrant conclusion

7
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Appeal to Ignorance
  • Appeal to Unqualified Authority
  • Hasty Generalization
  • False Cause
  • Weak Analogy
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

8
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Appeal to Ignorance
  • Smoking has not been proven to cause cancer,
    therefore tobacco products are not carcinogenic
  • Premises offer only a lack of evidence
  • A definite assertion is made on this basis
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

9
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Appeal to Ignorance
  • Smoking has not been proven to cause cancer,
    therefore tobacco products are not carcinogenic
  • Exceptions (see text)
  • If search for evidence has been (seemingly)
    exhaustive by qualified personnel
  • American Legal Standard reasonable doubt
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

10
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Appeal to Unqualified Authority
  • I was speaking to my brother at his shop as he
    was fixing my car, and he believes the Obama
    financial plan will produce enormous inflation.
  • Premises offer testimony/opinion from an
    authority
  • Not a credible or qualified authority on subject
    matter
  • A conclusion about subject matter is made on this
    basis
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

11
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Hasty Generalization
  • Issues affecting strength of generalization
  • Sample size
  • A function of representativeness
  • Sample not randomly selected
  • Interviewer bias (in surveys)
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

12
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
Sample not randomly selected
  • Hasty Generalization
  • Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson
    predicted about 42 percent of the voters in
    Kentucky will cast ballots. Kentucky has 2.8
    million registered voters, including about 1.6
    million Democrats, about 1 million Republicans
    and 186,451 people registered as "other."
    Grayson, Kentucky's top election official, said
    the projection was based in part on an increase
    in absentee ballots cast in the days before
    Tuesday's election. The number was up by about 20
    percent from the 2003 election.
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

13
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
Size unknown in relation to population
  • Hasty Generalization
  • Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson
    predicted about 42 percent of the voters in
    Kentucky will cast ballots. Kentucky has 2.8
    million registered voters, including about 1.6
    million Democrats, about 1 million Republicans
    and 186,451 people registered as "other."
    Grayson, Kentucky's top election official, said
    the projection was based in part on an increase
    in absentee ballots cast in the days before
    Tuesday's election. The number was up by about 20
    percent from the 2003 election.
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

14
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • False Cause
  • Four variants (complex fallacy)
  • Post hoc ergo propter hoc (after this, therefore
    because of this)
  • Non causa pro causa (non-cause for the cause)
  • Oversimplified cause
  • Slippery Slope
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

15
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • False Cause
  • Your car is causing global warming.
  • Phenomenon in question caused by complex number
    of factors
  • A single one of these factors is asserted as sole
    cause

oversimplification
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

16
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • False Cause
  • If you fail this class, then your GPA will go
    down. If you GPA falls, youll lose your
    scholarship. If you lose your scholarship,
    youll spend all your money on school. If you do
    this, youll have no money for food and shelter.
    So if you fail this class, you will become a
    starving, homeless beggar.
  • A chain of causal events is asserted
  • The causal connection between some or all events
    is highly unlikely
  • At least the ultimate conclusion is highly
    unlikely

slippery slope
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

17
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Weak Analogy
  • Factors affecting strength
  • Relevance of commonalities to inferred feature
  • Number (extent) of these similarities
  • Diversity among common features
  • Number of analogues
  • No relevant dissimilarities (disanalogy)
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

18
The Five Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Weak Analogy
  • Chimpanzees and humans are genetically almost
    identical. There is only a very small number of
    genetic markers which differ between the two
    species. Chimpanzees are good climbers. Hence
    humans are also likely good climbers.
  • Relevant dissimilarity, since chimps are much
    stronger than humans
  • In each case,
  • The premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Premises provide insufficient evidence to warrant
    conclusion

19
Comparable Entities?
Dog?
My dog
20
Fallacies (on exam)
  • (i) Identify the fallacy or fallacies committed
    in each of the following arguments. (ii) Explain
    clearly how this argument is fallacious. If you
    believe no fallacy is committed, explain this
    choice. (Each question is worth 10 points)
  • Identify
  • Explanation
  • fallacy of relevance
  • fallacy of weak induction
  • fallacy of presumption
  • fallacy of ambiguity or whole/part
  • none of the above

See pages 151-52 for a complete list
21
Fallacies of Relevance
22
Relevance vs. Weak Induction
  • Fallacies of Relevance
  • Premises are logically immaterial to conclusion
  • Typical features
  • tactic of distraction
  • conclusion rests on emotional appeal
  • Premises may appear to be psychologically
    relevant
  • Fallacies of Weak Induction
  • Premises are relevant to conclusion
  • Insufficient evidence to warrant conclusion

23
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Appeal to Force
  • Appeal to Pity
  • Appeal to the People
  • Direct
  • Indirect
  • Argument against the Person
  • Abusive
  • Circumstantial
  • You, too!
  • Missing the Point
  • Of Accident
  • Straw Man
  • Red Herring
  • Latin vs. English names
  • Ad baculum
  • Ad misericordiam
  • Ad populum
  • Ad hominem
  • Ignoratio elenchi

24
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Appeal to Force
  • Appeal to Pity
  • Appeal to the People
  • Direct
  • Indirect
  • Argument against the Person
  • Abusive
  • Circumstantial
  • You, too!
  • Missing the Point
  • Of Accident
  • Straw Man
  • Red Herring
  • Latin vs. English names
  • Ad baculum
  • Ad misericordiam
  • Ad populum
  • Ad hominem
  • Ignoratio elenchi

25
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Appeal to the People
  • Two Kinds
  • Direct Approach
  • Appeal to group
  • Appeal to emotions, either positive or negative
  • Evidence overlooked due to cloud of emotional
    attachment
  • Demagoguery
  • Indirect Approach
  • Appeal to individuals
  • Appeal to attachment or relationship to crowd
  • Evidence overlooked in favor of emotional
    attachment

26
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Example appeal to the people?
  • " The most talked-about aspect of the defense
    case undoubtedly concerned Mark Fuhrman, the LAPD
    officer who had found the bloody glove and who,
    as a prosecution witness, denied using the word
    "nigger." It turned out that Fuhrman had used
    "the n word"--many times--and it was on tape.
    Laura Hart McKinny, an aspiring screenwriter from
    North Carolina, had hired Fuhrman to consult with
    her on police issues for a script she was
    writing. McKinny taped her interviews with
    Fuhrman, who not only used the offensive racial
    slur, but disclosed that he had sometimes planted
    evidence to help secure convictions. Needless to
    say, the defense wanted McKinny on the stand, and
    they wanted the jury to hear selected portions of
    her tapes. The prosecution strenuously objected,
    arguing that McKinny's testimony was irrelevant
    absent some plausible evidence suggesting that
    evidence was planted in the Simpson case. The
    prejudicial value of the testimony, the
    prosecution insisted, would exceed its probative
    value.

The Trial of O.J. Simpson by Doug Linder
27
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Ad Hominem Arguments (against the person)
  • Three varieties
  • Abusive attack on character of arguer
  • Turn attention away from the argument to the
    arguer
  • Circumstantial attack by reference to specific
    irrelevant circumstances affecting arguer
  • Evidence for proposed conclusions overlooked in
    such attacks
  • You, too! attack by charge of hypocrisy
  • Irrelevant behavior characteristics overshadow
    argument

28
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Examples attack against the person?
  • Prof. Smith says to Prof. White, "You are much
    too hard on your students," and Prof. White
    replies, "But certainly you are not the one to
    say so. Just last week I heard several of your
    students complaining."

29
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Straw Man
  • Someone misrepresents anothers argument
  • Presents weaker argument
  • Straw man vs. real man
  • Attacks weaker argument as if it were the
    original
  • Distorted argument often a fabrication

30
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Example straw man?
  • Darwin's theory of evolution asserts that human
    beings developed after a long process of change,
    from pre-hominid ancestors who are also the
    source for our primate relatives - chimpanzees,
    gorillas, etc. If Darwin's theory is correct,
    then we can no longer assert with such arrogance
    that we are above the animals rather, human
    beings and human intelligence are simply
    different, but related results of the same
    evolutionary process that has produced the rest
    of the animal kingdom.

Not Fallacious
31
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Red Herring (stinky fish)
  • Someone diverts attention from subject at hand
  • Introduction of a controversial, hot-button issue
  • The original argument tied illegitimately to
    controversial position (the stinky fish)
  • Controversial position attacked for its
    outlandishness

32
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Example red herring?
  • Appearing on ABC's This Week, the Ohio Republican
    (Minority Leader John Boehner) was asked what to
    describe the GOP plan to dealing with greenhouse
    gas emissions, "which every major scientific
    organization said is contributing to climate
    change."
  • Boehner replied "The idea that carbon dioxide is
    a carcinogen that is harmful to our environment
    is almost comical. Every time we exhale, we
    exhale carbon dioxide. Every cow in the world,
    you know when they do what they do you've got
    more carbon dioxide."
  • "It's clear we've had change in our climate," he
    added. "The question is how much does man have to
    do with it and what is the proper way to deal
    with this? We can't do it alone as one nation."

The Huffington Post, Boehmer Cites Cow Farts to
Downplay Global Warming
33
Fallacies of Relevance
  • Appeal to Force
  • Appeal to Pity
  • Appeal to the People
  • Direct
  • Indirect
  • Argument against the Person
  • Abusive
  • Circumstantial
  • You, too!
  • Missing the Point
  • Of Accident
  • Straw Man
  • Red Herring
  • In each case, attention is drawn away from
    supporting evidence
  • appeal to some irrelevant concern
  • often intentionally deceptive
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