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Derivatives

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Lengthening a T-Bill. To lengthen the time to maturity of an existing ... Lengthening a T-Bill. First, we know in 30 days we will have $100,000,000 to reinvest. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Derivatives


1
Derivatives
  • A derivative is any instrument or contract that
    derives its value from another underlying asset,
    instrument, or contract.

2
Managing Interest Rate Risk
  • Derivatives Used to Manage Interest Rate Risk
  • Financial Futures Contracts
  • Forward Rate Agreements
  • Interest Rate Swaps
  • Options on Interest Rates
  • Interest Rate Caps
  • Interest Rate Floors

3
Characteristics of Financial Futures
  • Financial Futures Contracts
  • A commitment, between a buyer and a seller, on
    the quantity of a standardized financial asset or
    index
  • Futures Markets
  • The organized exchanges where futures contracts
    are traded
  • Interest Rate Futures
  • When the underlying asset is an interest-bearing
    security

4
Characteristics of Financial Futures
  • Buyers
  • A buyer of a futures contract is said to be long
    futures
  • Agrees to pay the underlying futures price or
    take delivery of the underlying asset
  • Buyers gain when futures prices rise and lose
    when futures prices fall

5
Characteristics of Financial Futures
  • Sellers
  • A seller of a futures contract is said to be
    short futures
  • Agrees to receive the underlying futures price or
    to deliver the underlying asset
  • Sellers gain when futures prices fall and lose
    when futures prices rise

6
Characteristics of Financial Futures
  • Cash or Spot Market
  • Market for any asset where the buyer tenders
    payment and takes possession of the asset when
    the price is set
  • Forward Contract
  • Contract for any asset where the buyer and seller
    agree on the assets price but defer the actual
    exchange until a specified future date

7
Interest Rate Derivatives-Background
  • Treasury futures
  • Price quotes
  • Treasury bill contracts and treasury bill futures
    are not quoted in the same units
  • Treasury bill contracts are quoted in terms of a
    discount yield
  • Treasury bill futures are quoted in terms of a
    price relative to 100
  • To convert
  • Cash price 100 yield(number of days in
    contract/360)
  • Quoted price 100 yield
  • The value of a T-bill future at maturity
  • FV (yieldfvdays/360)

8
Interest Rate Derivatives-Background
  • Example Suppose that the yield on a 90-day
    T-bill future is 9.8, the value of delivery of
    the bill would be 1,000,000 -
    (.098)(1,000,000)(.25) 975,500.
  • The minimum tick for treasury bill futures is a 1
    basis point change in the discount yield. This
    translates into a 25 per tick price movement in
    the final delivery value of the bill.
  • To see this, assume the yield in the previous
    example were to increase to 9.81. The value of
    the bill at delivery would be
  • 1,000,000 - (.0981)(1,000,000)(.25)
    975,475, or 25 less than the previous example.

9
Interest Rate Derivatives-Background
  • Example Suppose that we purchase a treasury
    bill futures contract with a discount yield of 6
    and that at the end of the life of the contract
    the discount yield on a 90 day T-bill is 6.3.
  • We would have to pay 985,000 for a bill whose
    current cash price is 984,250 for a loss of
    750, or, 25 30 750.

10
Hedging with Futures Contracts
11
A Long Hedge
  • A long hedge (buy futures) is appropriate for a
    participant who wants to reduce spot market risk
    associated with a decline in interest rates
  • If spot rates decline, futures rates will
    typically also decline so that the value of the
    futures position will likely increase.
  • Any loss in the cash market is at least partially
    offset by a gain in futures

12
Long Hedge Example
  • On March 10, 2005, your bank expects to receive a
    1 million payment on November 8, 2005, and
    anticipates investing the funds in 3-month
    Eurodollar time deposits
  • The cash market risk exposure is that the bank
    will not have access to the funds for eight
    months.
  • In March 2005, the market expected Eurodollar
    rates to increase sharply as evidenced by rising
    futures rates.

13
Long Hedge Example
  • In order to hedge, the bank should buy futures
    contracts
  • The best futures contract will generally be the
    December 2005, 3-month Eurodollar futures
    contract, which is the first to expire after
    November 2005.
  • The contract that expires immediately after the
    known cash transactions date is generally best
    because its futures price will show the highest
    correlation with the cash price.

14
Long Hedge Example
  • The time line of the banks hedging activities
    would look something like this

15
Long Hedge Example
16
A Short Hedge
  • A short hedge (sell futures) is appropriate for a
    participant who wants to reduce spot market risk
    associated with an increase in interest rates
  • If spot rates increase, futures rates will
    typically also increase so that the value of the
    futures position will likely decrease.
  • Any loss in the cash market is at least partially
    offset by a gain in the futures market

17
Short Hedge Example
  • On March 10, 2005, your bank expects to sell a
    six-month 1 million Eurodollar deposit on
    August 15, 2005
  • The cash market risk exposure is that interest
    rates may rise and the value of the Eurodollar
    deposit will fall by August 2005
  • In order to hedge, the bank should sell futures
    contracts

18
Short Hedge Example
  • The time line of the banks hedging activities
    would look something like this

19
Short Hedge Example
20
Change in the Basis
  • Long and short hedges work well if the futures
    rate moves in line with the spot rate
  • The actual risk assumed by a trader in both
    hedges is that the basis might change between the
    time the hedge is initiated and closed
  • In the long hedge position above, the spot rate
    increased by 0.93 while the futures rate fell by
    0.06. This caused the basis to fall by 0.99
    (The basis fell from 1.09 to 0.10, or by 0.99)

21
Change in the Basis
  • Effective Return from a Hedge
  • Total income from the combined cash and futures
    positions relative to the investment amount
  • Effective return
  • Initial Cash Rate - Change in Basis
  • In the long hedge example
  • 3.00 - (-0.99) 3.99

22
Basis Risk and Cross Hedging
  • Cross Hedge
  • Where a trader uses a futures contract based on
    one security that differs from the security being
    hedged in the cash market
  • Example
  • Using Eurodollar futures to hedge changes in the
    commercial paper rate
  • Basis risk increases with a cross hedge because
    the futures and spot interest rates may not move
    closely together

23
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25
Example
  • Your bank is a regular borrower in the Eurodollar
    market. You are planning to issue 10 million of
    Eurodollar debt in three months. The current
    Eurodollar rate is 4.71. The corresponding
    futures rate for a three-month Eurodollar futures
    contract is 4.83.

26
Example
  • 1. Should the bank be long or short in
    Eurodollar futures in order to hedge their risk?
  • 2. Suppose that in three months the cash market
    Eurodollar rate is 4.95. What is your gain/loss
    on the futures position?
  • 3. What is your total gain/loss?

27
Lengthening a T-Bill
  • To lengthen the time to maturity of an existing
    T-bill investment an investor can go long in a
    T-bill futures contract with expiration occurring
    at the same time as the expiration of the
    existing T-bill investment.
  • Suppose that we hold 100,000,000 in T-bills that
    mature in 30 days. For what ever reason, we feel
    that interest rates will fall and that the
    current 30 day T-bill futures contract with a
    yield of 9.8 does not already reflect that
    expectation. We would like to extend our
    investment in T-bills.

28
Lengthening a T-Bill
  • First, we know in 30 days we will have
    100,000,000 to reinvest. The yield on the
    T-bill futures contract of 9.8 implies a
    delivery price of 975,000. Hence, we could
    purchase 100,000,000/975,000 102.51 T-bills at
    the delivery price of 975,000. Thus, today we
    could purchase 102 T-bill futures contracts for
    delivery in 30 days. When the contract expires
    we will pay 99,501,000 for T-bill maturing in 30
    days that have a face value of 102,000,000.
    This allows us to extend the life of our existing
    T-bill investment.

29
Converting a floating rate loan to a fixed rate
loan
  • The basic idea behind this strategy is to use a
    sell futures contract to protect against an
    increase in interest rates over the floating legs
    of the loan. This creates a certain interest
    payment over the life of the loan.

30
Converting a floating rate loan to a fixed rate
loan
  • Suppose that we need to borrow 100,000,000 for
    six months. Our bank offers us a floating rate
    loan, with quarterly reset, at 200 basis points
    above the 90 day LIBOR rate. The current LIBOR
    rate is 7.0. We would like to protect ourselves
    against increases in the LIBOR rate. The current
    discount on a 90 day Eurodollar futures contract
    is 7.3. Since Eurodollar futures contracts are
    based on LIBOR, we can use the contracts to hedge
    against increases in interest rates.

31
Converting a floating rate loan to a fixed rate
loan
  • Solution Sell the LIBOR futures contract to
    protect against increases in interest rates. In
    this example, we will assume that LIBOR did
    increase to 7.8 after 90 days.

32
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33
Converting a floating rate loan to a fixed rate
loan
  • Solution Using the contract, we guaranteed that
    we would pay, 9.0 in the first quarter and 9.3
    in the second quarter, or 9.15 over the life of
    the loan.

34
Converting a fixed rate loan to a floating rate
loan
  • In this situation, we will consider the above
    situation from the bank's perspective. We will
    assume that the bank will lend 100,000,000 to
    the investor at a fixed rate of 9.15 for six
    months. This is the average of the current LIBOR
    rate (7.0) and the LIBOR futures rate (7.3),
    with a 200 basis point profit for the bank.

35
Converting a fixed rate loan to a floating rate
loan
  • The bank, however, faces the potential for "gap
    risk." The bank's costs of funds, its
    liabilities (deposits) that fund the assests
    (loans), are short-term, floating rate,
    obligations on which the bank must pay LIBOR.
    Thus, if short term LIBOR rates increase, the
    fixed rate loan may not cover the bank's floating
    rate liability or, more likely, the bank will not
    earn a 200 basis point profit on the fixed rate
    loan.

36
Converting a fixed rate loan to a floating rate
loan
  • Solution Assume that the bank finances the loan
    from 100,000,000 in deposits that have a term of
    90 days and are paid the LIBOR rate. Also,
    assume that LIBOR rates increase to 7.8 after 90
    days.

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38
Converting a fixed rate loan to a floating rate
loan
  • The total cash flows of the bank are
  • - 3,700,000 interest payments to
    depositors
  • 4,575,000 from loan
  • 125,000 from futures contract
  • ________
  • 1,000,000
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