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First Offenders in NM

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October 23, 2006. Roth on First Offenders. 1. First Offenders in NM ... October 23, 2006. Roth on First Offenders. 3. The Majority of DWIs Are First Offenders ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: First Offenders in NM


1
First Offenders in NM
  • Dick Roth, Bob Voas, Paul Marques
  • 2006 Ignition Interlock Symposium
  • PIRE
  • funded by NHTSA and
  • RWJ-SAPRP

2
The Percentage of First Offenders Depends on
Look-back Time
75 were First in 5 years
59 were First in 20 years
3
The Majority of DWIs Are First Offenders
  • To Reduce Recidivism, You cannot ignore First
    Offenders
  • To Reduce First Offenders, General Deterrence
    Prevention

4
NM First DWI Conviction Study
  • Time Period First Convictions between January
    2003 and December 2005.
  • Treatment Group 1461 First Offenders who
    installed interlocks within 90 days of
    conviction.
  • Comparison Group 17,562 First Offenders who did
    not install interlocks.
  • Cox Multivariate Proportional Hazards Regression
    (Gender, Age, BAC,Group)

5
Most First Offender Interlocks were installed for
only 3 months
Installation duration for the 943 interlocks that
were removed before the end of the study.
6
Interlocked First Offenders Have 62 Less
Recidivism.
7
After Removal Those Who Were Interlocked Still
Have a 19 Lower Recidivism Ratebut N is not
large enough for it to be statistically
significant. Hazard Ratio 0.81, p0.16, in a
multivariate regression.
A hint that bad actors DWI right after removal
I hope this is not just a statistical
fluctuation. Time will tell.
8
For 3 years following interlock installation,
Those first offenders who installed mandated
interlocks had lower recidivism.
H.R. 0.61 P lt 0.001
9
Interlocks are Effective with Court Mandated
Offenders
Comparison Groups Interlocked Groups
10
Interlocks are Effective with Volunteers
ie. Not court-mandated
Comparison Groups Interlocked Groups
11

Before Interlocks
After Interlocks
12
(No Transcript)
13
NM Judicial Law 1yr for 1st2 for 2nd3 for 3rd
5 for 4th Administrative Drive legally with
interlock while Revoked
14
My Estimate Last year At Annecy
Estimate
5688 So Far
15
Highest in World
Interlock Installation Rate is increasing.
The Number of Currently-Installed Interlocks is
Increasing.
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