Dep.Com. Institute of Advanced Military Studies

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(No Transcript)
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MG. PAHOL SANGANETRA
Dep.Com. Institute of Advanced Military
Studies The Royal Thai Army
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INTELLIGENCE TRANSFORMATION
The prudent approach to minimize risks of
transformation by Maj.Gen. Pahol Sanganetra,
Ph.D. Dep.Com. Institute of Advanced Military
Studies The Royal Thai Army 2 August 2005
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ALL THINGS ARE UNSTABLE, SUFFERING, AND
UNCONTROLLABLE
Lord Buddha

• Transformation is natural, painful, and
  unexpected.

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Risk (Situation, Technology, Institution)
Army Transformation
New ( tech. x op.concept x org. )
character conduct of future warfare,
National Security
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How do we minimize the risk ?
Assure National Security
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Intelligence Transformation
(Army Intellectual Development)
Develop a Learning Army
3.
2.
Select Transformation Strategy
Assess Strategic Environment
1.
Reduce the Risks
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1. Assess Strategic Environment

• Security Environment
• Causes Characters of Conflicts
• Characters of Adversaries
• New Missions
• Other Constraints (Budgets, Values, Culture,
  Policies, Human Resources)

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1. Assess Strategic Environment (Cont.)

• Security Environment (more diverse complex,
  need sophisticated responses)
• Environmental Factors (depletion of water, fuels)
• Causes of Conflicts (traditional
  nontraditional terrorism, information, natural
  resources)
• Characters of Adversaries (more sophisticated,
  unpredictable, rapid, lethal)

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1. Assess Strategic Environment (cont.)

• Information Technology (force multiplier)
• Interdependent Economy (coalitions, cooperation)
• New Missions (MOOTWanti-terrorism, counter
  drug-trafficking, PKO, humanitarian)

Most accurate assessment Reliable
transformation
Reduce security risk
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Three steps of Intelligence Transformation
Develop a Learning Army
3.
Select Transformation Strategy
2.
Assess Strategic Environment
1.
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2.Select Transformation Strategy

• Revolutionary Strategy, (focuses on future,
  abrupt change)
• Evolutionary Strategy, (focuses on short-term,
  slow-pace, small-scope)
• Moderate Strategy (moderate pace, near-term,
  mid-term, long-term)

Reduce risks of transformation
The moderate way is the most proper way of life
Lord Buddha
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Three steps of Intelligence Transformation
Develop a Learning Army
3.
Select Transformation Strategy
2.
Assess Strategic Environment
1.
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3.Develop Learning Army
Why ?

• Army is soldier
• Future is dynamic, complex, ambiguity, uncertain.
• Many kind of threats, and new missions.
• New (concepts capabilities technologies)
• New thinking acting Learning
  Army

We cannot solve problems using the same kind
of thinking we used when we created them.
Albert Einstein
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3.Develop Learning Army (Cont.)
Why ?
. Technology is expensive . Technology needs
soldier to operate Learning
Army-Thinking soldiers
We cannot solve problems using the same kind
of thinking we used when we created them.
Albert Einstein
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3 rd Step
What?

• Learning Army all continuous
  learning,
• developing army competence,
  combines
• knowledge and experiences
• new ways in performing missions.

(Leadership, Team Learning, Systems Thinking)
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3rd Step
How?

• Develop 5 Learning Disciplines

• - Personal Mastery
• - Mental Models
• - Team Learning
• - Shared Visions
• - Systems Thinking

Peter Senge
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3rd Step
Heart (of Success)

• Develop learning System
• Develop leaders
• 3. Develop officer career path synchronized with
  learning process

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1.Develop Learning System

• Education Training Systems
• Learning Society
• Always exchange Knowledge
• Knowledge management System
• New tool, technologies, techniques
• New solutions, culture, knowledge, capabilities

Learning habit 5 disciplines
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2.Develop Leaders

• Education Training
• Empowerment
• Rotating position

Command
Instructor
Staff
New visions, knowledge, capabilities, wisdom,
confidence
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3.Develop career path

• 3 Levels (Company, Battalion, Brigade)
• Each level

Command/ supervise
Study
Practice
Teach
Ed. Unit
Op. Unit
Op/Po. Unit
Ed. Unit
Systemic evaluation
promotion
Capable Soldiers Leaders
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• Develop learning system
• Develop leaders
• Develop career path

Learning Army
Reduce Security Risk
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Intelligence Transformation
Develop a Learning Army learning army reduce
risk
3.
Select Transformation Strategy moderate strategy
reduce risk
2.
Assess Strategic Environment accurate
assessment reduce risk
1.
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Intelligence Transformation
Assess Stra. Env.
Tran. Str.
Learn. Army
Str. domain conflicts threats missions
constraints
Moderate Strat.
Learn.sys. Leaders Career path
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Risk
Intelligence Transformation
3.
Develop a Learning Army
2.
Select Transformation Strategy
Assess Strategic Environment
1.
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Everything is unstable One must do all things
with caution
Lord Buddha