The Future of Telecommunications

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The Future of Telecommunications

• John A. Phillips
• Nortel, ETSI General Assembly Chairman
• 2007 World Electronics Forum, Tel Aviv, 5th
  November 2007

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Industry Landscape
Future
2007
Expectations/Trends
2000
1995
Broadband Access is Everywhere
1990
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Pervasive personal broadband

• Hyper-Connectivity evolution from being fully
  connected, (meaning everybody is on the network),
  to being hyper-connected, (meaning the range of
  devices and entities on the network far outpaces
  the number of people consuming the services
  offered by those devices).
• Communications-Enabled Applications
  applications to support new levels of
  network-aware intelligence and an intuitive
  interaction experience through advanced
  technology frameworks such as IMS and Services
  Oriented Architecture (SOA).
• True broadband the communications experience is
  so seamless that users no longer have to consider
  which technology wire line or wireless is
  being used to make a connection. They simply
  communicate, anywhere, anytime from whichever
  device is most convenient. Most importantly, the
  broadband experience becomes so economical that
  the range of uses exceeds any experience of the
  past.

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Hyperconnectivity is Realand Happening Now
Machine to Machine
Person to Machine
Person to Person

• By 2010, worldwide
• 4-fold growth in Internet Commerce to 100B
  transactions
• 1-2 billion A-GPS-enabled handsets

• 98 of all CPUs today are embedded (by 2010 14
  billion connected, embedded devices)
• 70 of all 2007 cars in U.S. have iPOD
  connectivity

• Europe mobile phones now outnumber people (103
  penetration)
• Global mobile IM grew 33 2H06

• 100 million iPODs sold (market to double 2005
  2010)

• Sensor pocket in Nike shoes

• iPhone available in June hyper-connectivity
  at applications level

• One Laptop Per Child

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Anything that can be connected and would benefit
from being connected will be connected
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Addressing the Challenge and Opportunity of
Hyperconnectivity
Hyperconnectivity
Pillars of Hyperconnectivity
Communications- Enabled Applications
True Broadband
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True Broadband

• Broader wireline bandwidth to the home and office
• Ubiquitous wireless coverage with less expensive
  infrastructure, more flexibility, wider bandwidth
• Seamless integration so the user doesnt have to
  know which

Unwired homes, offices and public environments
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True Broadband by Wireless
Connecting Everything That Should Be Connected
Broadband Home
Mobile VOIP
Metro HotSpot
Mobile Video
Mobile Data
Multimedia Distribution
Extended Enterprise
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Communications-Enabled Applications
Every Application will have Built-In
Communications Capabilities
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3GPPs IP Multimedia Subsystem

• IMS 3GPPs IP Multimedia Subsystem is a
  multi-vendor SIP connection engine providing
  access to generic application servers from any
  connected party
• IMS provides applications-enabling service
  capabilities to a service-aware applications
  layer
• SIP connection
• Resource access control
• Collection and delivery of charging data
• Presence, security,
• With recent updates to support wireline access as
  well as wireless,

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Service Oriented Architecture

• Characteristics
• Platform independent Services with describing
  interfaces using XML
• Formally defined Messages
• Services can be discovered
• Policies to define services SLA

• SOA is the collection of policies, practices, and
  frameworks by which the implementer ensures that
  the right services are provided and consumed to
  create business value
• Key business functions are modularized as
  re-usable and loosely coupled services, with
  well-defined interfaces, that can be invoked in a
  defined sequence to form business processes

Composable
Interoperable
Re-Usable
SOA
LooselyCoupled
From a one-service network to a multi-service
network
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From Proposition to Implementation

• The proposition
• Anything that can be connected and would benefit
  from being connected will be connected
• Unwired homes, offices and public environments
• Every Application will have Built-In
  Communications Capabilities
• From a one-service network to a multi-service
  network
• The implementation
• There are opportunities and challenges

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Hyperconnectivity Opportunity Challenge

• Opportunity
• Increased productivity
• Better communications experience
• A more connected world (societal good)

• Challenge
• Scale is unprecedented
• Todays networks not designed for
  Hyperconnectivity
• New technology required to transform much of IT
  and Telecom

Businesses that embrace innovation and scale
will capture the opportunity of Hyperconnectivity
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From the User Point of View

• Simplicity
• New technology has to hide its complexity from
  the user
• Security
• New technology has to provide all of the right
  security attributes, including adequate privacy
  in a hyperconnected world, to inspire confidence
  in its use
• Dependability
• New technology has to be very dependable because
  people will increasingly depend on it

Global standards to achieve the vision
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